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Economy sinks 27 % in Q2 2020

Botswana’s economy significantly slowed down in the second quarter of 2020 owing to adverse impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic.

The novel virus which broke out in Wuhan China, late 2019 curtailed trade, restricted movements of both goods and people, soiled productivity due to social distancing and eroded business sentiments.

Official statistics released by Statistics Botswana show that the nominal Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the second quarter of 2020 was P36.863.5 billion compared to P50.7 billion registered during the previous quarter. This represents a quarterly decrease of 27.3 percent between the two periods.

During the quarter under review, General Government became the major contributor to GDP for the first time in many years, by 19.7 percent, followed by Finance & Business Services, Trade, Hotels & Restaurants and Mining & Quarrying by 16.7, 16.5 and 8.1 percent respectively.

The contribution of other sectors was below 7.0 percent, with Water & Electricity being the lowest at 1.6 percent.

Real Gross Domestic Product for the second quarter of 2020 decreased by 24.0 percent. The deep contraction was attributed to the huge decline in real value added of Mining & Quarrying and Trade, Hotels & Restaurants industries by 60.2 and 40.3 percent respectively.

Real GDP at constant 2006 prices for the second quarter of 2020 was P18.8 billion compared to the revised P25 billion recorded in the first quarter of 2020. The steep reduction in the domestic economy was observed across all sectors except Government, Agriculture and Water & Electricity.

Statistics Botswana says poor performance of the economy was mainly due to the impact of measures that were put in place to combat the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic.

The General Government industry increased by 2.1 percent in real value added compared to 4.2 percent during the corresponding quarter of 2019. In response to the global COVID-19 pandemic, many governments implemented a wide range of support measures to mitigate its impact on the economy and society.

Botswana Government instigated robust fiscal policy responses in order to influence macroeconomic conditions, including aggregate demand of goods and services, employment, inflation and economic growth.

The Agriculture industry increased by 3.0 percent in real value added during the second quarter of 2020, relative to a narrow contraction of 0.5 percent registered during the same quarter of 2019.

The main driver of the improved performance stems from an increase in real value added of Livestock, Crops and Horticulture farming sub-industries, which posted growth of 1.6, 2.1 and 3.1 percent respectively.

The exceptional performance in the crops sub-industry arose from favorable rainfall experienced during the 2019/20 rainy season, resulting in a bumper crop harvest. Water and Electricity.

Water and Electricity value added at constant 2006 prices for the second quarter of 2020 was P257.8 million compared to P 257.0 million registered in the same quarter of 2019, recording an increase of 0.3 percent.

Even though the industry recorded the positive growth, its contribution to the economy still remained the lowest. In the second quarter of 2020, Electricity recorded a positive value added of P32.0 million compared to P18.9 million registered in the same quarter of 2019, leading to a significant growth of 69.5 percent.

The local electricity production decreased slightly by 0.9 percent while imports of Electricity went down by 13.1 percent during the quarter under review hence increase in real value added.

The water industry recorded a positive value added of P227.7 million compared to P240.2 million registered in the same quarter of the previous year, registering a decline of 5.2 percent.

The main contributor to poor performance of the economy was Mining and Quarryin. The sector registered a decrease in the real value by 60.2 percent mainly influenced by Diamond and Coal real value added.

Diamond production in carats went down by 67.0 percent while Coal production in tonnes decreased by 40.7 percent. Trade, Hotels and Restaurants real value added went down by 40.3 percent in the second quarter of 2020 compared to an increase of 5.1 percent registered in the same quarter of the previous year.

The high reduction is attributed to a decrease in real value added of Hotels & Restaurants, Wholesalers and Vehicle dealer’s sub industries by 61.7, 54.7 and 38.4 percent, respectively.

The suspension of air travel occasioned by COVID-19 containment measures impacted on the number of tourists entering the borders of the country and hence affecting the output of Hotels and Restaurants industry.

The negative growth in the Wholesalers value added is due to the unfavorable performance of downstream diamond industries during the quarter under review. The significant lower sales were driven by the COVID-19 pandemic, negatively impacting activity in key markets.

The Manufacturing industry recorded a decline of 31.3 percent in real value added during the second quarter of 2020, compared to a growth of 3.5 percent registered in the corresponding quarter of 2019. The Construction industry recorded a decline of 36.0 percent as compared to 3.0 percent realized in the corresponding quarter in 2019.

This industry comprises of buildings construction, civil engineering and specialized construction activities. All these activities were affected by COVID-19 restriction measures imposed during the second quarter of 2020.

The Transport and Communications value added decreased by 16.9 percent in the second quarter of 2020, compared to 5.4 percent recorded in the same quarter of the previous year.

The negative performance of the industry was mainly attributed to the decline in real value added of all the sub-industries except Post and Communications with a positive growth of 2.6 percent.

The Finance and Business Services industry registered a negative growth of 11.9 percent due to the decline in the real value added of Business Services and Real Estate by 24.4 and 17.8 percent respectively.

The resilient performance of the industry was reflected in both Banking and Insurance sub-industries that recorded positive growths of 4.4 percent and 1.9 percent in real value added respectively.

The Financial sector introduced accommodative (loose) monetary policy responses. Monetary policy involves changing the interest rate and influencing the money supply. The Non-mining GDP decreased by 20.7 percent in the second quarter of 2020 compared to a 4.3 percent.

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Business

The Bulb World starts operations in South Africa

8th April 2021

Homegrown LED light manufacturing company, The Bulb World, has kick started operations in South Africa, setting in motion the company’s ambitious continental expansion plans.

The Bulb World, which was partly funded by Citizen Entrepreneurial Development Agency (CEDA) at the tune of P4 million, to manufacture LED lighting bulbs for both commercial and residential use in 2017, announced last year that it will enter the South African market in the Special Economic Zone (SEZ) of North West province under the auspices of North West Development Corporation (NWDC).

The company has already secured a deal with South Africa authorities which entails production factory shells and tax incentives arrangements.

The company founder and Chief Executive Officer, Ketshephaone Jacob has also previously stated that the company is looking for just under P50 million to finance its expansion strategy and is reaching out to institutional investors such as Botswana Public Officers Pensioners Fund (BPOPF) and government investment arm, Botswana Development Corporation (BDC).

However, Jacob told WeekendPost that instead of sitting and waiting for expansion funding the company has started hitting the ground running.

“We have decided to get in the streets of SA, start selling lights from door to door, ” said Jacob who is in currently in Rusternburg to oversee the introduction of The Bulb World products in the market.

Jacob explained more brand activations will be undertaken in South Africa. “The plan is to do it the whole of North West and Limpopo province, through hawkers, we give the hawkers the lights to sell at a factory price and they put a mark up and make a living,” he said.

The Bulb World operates from Selibe Phikwe, it currently employees 65 young people, 80 % of which are Phikwe youth. The company plans to add 100 jobs this year alone as it forges ahead with its regional and continental expansion plans.

In July this year Bulb World products will hit South African Shelves:  Pick n Pay, Checkers and Africa’s largest retailer Shoprite.

The Bulb World has been registered as a company in South Africa; the company will start producing lights from Mogwasa after striking a special economic zones deal with North West Development Corporation in North West Province South Africa.

“Over the next 10 years we are looking to create over 5,000 jobs in Africa. Through our expansion into all of Africa we will be able to create employment for various individuals in different sectors namely; manufacturing, distribution electronics and retail,” Jacob told this publication earlier this year.

Jacob said if all goes well, the plan is to have taken over Africa or rather penetrated, and have prevalent presence in the African market.

“We are gunning to have at least 30 percent market share by then. According to a 2016 Market Survey, the total valuation of sales for LED Lighting was 57BN, a portion of which we plan to have taken over by then,” he said.

 

While the company has set its eyes on Africa, Jacob said, the company has not fully exploited its local growth, indicating that there could be strategic factories built to supply neighbouring countries of Angola and Zimbabwe.

“There is potential for further local expansion as well to other areas of Botswana if things run smoothly as anticipated. Hopefully in the long-term if our fellow Africans and all these markets receive us well we are planning to build another factory,” he said.

“We are looking to build another factory in the Chobe/Ngamiland Area that will give priority to markets in Zimbabwe and Angola,” he said

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Business

‘Oil exploration will have minimal impact’

30th March 2021
Okavango-River-Basin

The Maun based Okavango Research Institute (ORI) has downplayed the impacts of oil and gas exploration in part of Okavango delta arguing that given the distance proposed the likelihoods of negative impacts drilling these exploration wells on the surface water systems is likely to be negligible.

The Institution released a position paper titled ‘Proposed Petroleum (Oil and Gas) Exploration Operations in the Petroleum Exploration License (PEL) No. 73,’ with findings stating that, in the event of discovery of economically viable hydrocarbon deposits, much more careful consideration of the impacts and economic benefits of development of the resource will be needed.

For example, the fracking process for gas and oil extraction is known to require large volumes of underground water.

It further argues that increased extraction of the underground water is likely to affect the water table level and further affect the overall water availability in the river-basin.

“The effect on water availability and use may become worse if surface water is reticulated or sourced by any means from the Kavango River. Should the exploration and fracking for oil and gas expand to Block 1720, 1721 and 1821, the impact on water availability and quality will be significant, especially if the wastewater is not well managed,” said the paper.

The research unit recommends close communication between the relevant Basin State Ministries (Mineral Resources, Environment) and the Permanent Commission on the Okavango River Basin, OKACOM, and other stakeholders must be facilitated.

This will facilitate sharing of the correct information on the desired intentions of the basin states and compromises sought for the sustainability of the ecosystems in the downstream of the Cubango-Okavango river Basin, states the position paper.

ORI as a key stakeholder with scientific information says it is positioned to provide scientific advice and guidance to decision-makers on the potential impacts of both exploration and development and operation activities.

It also recommends that while the impacts might be minimal at the exploration stage, environmental impacts during the development and extraction process are significant.

Findings also state that the SADC Protocol places a mandatory duty to make a notification of planned measures undertaken in any riparian state in cases where such measures hold the potential to cause ‘significant adverse effects.’

It further states that where the planned development is trivial and not expected to cause any significant harm, the development state is not under duty to notify other riparian states.

Given that the drilling in the Kavango Region in Nambia is merely for exploratory purpose and the possibility of harm is minor, it is therefore not surprising that the Namibian government did not inform Botswana.

However, should it be found that the oil can be profitably or economically exploited, the Namibian government would be under a duty to notify both Angola and Botswana.

The institution further states that to ensure sustainable development in the Okavango Delta the following in the context of exploration for and potential development of hydrocarbon deposits within the Cubango-Okavango River Basin, it must be considered that the Okavango Delta is a World Heritage Site listed in 2014 by UNESCO and one of the binding requirements of the listing is the non-permissible commercial mining of any mineral, gas or oil within the World Heritage Site.

It states that the Okavango Delta is also a RAMSAR site in which mining is not allowed.

Should the exploration for minerals, oil and gas be allowed, there is a high chance that a mineral, oil or gas may be found given that the Delta is sitting on karoo sediments and shale rocks which in other parts of the world have been found to be sources of oil and gas deposits. Should oil or gas be discovered, there will be a strong socio-economic pressure to mine oil or gas and create jobs for the masses.

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Business

Pakmaya yeast penetrates local market

30th March 2021
Pakmaya Africa Sales Manager: Cem Perdar

Manufactured in Turkey, Pakmaya Instant Dry Yeast can be used in the production of various fermented products, as it is suited for both traditional and industrial baking processes. All kinds of breads, buns and fermented pastry products are typical examples of applications.

Pakmaya Africa Sales Manager Cem Perdar says Pakmaya has 4 plants in across the world, further indicating that all of the plants have the highest standards of quality certificates and approvals. Regarding raw material, molasses is the main ingredient for yeast. Concerning production activities, yeast manufacturing requires high know-how and capability. Pakmaya has all those capabilities and aspects more than 45 years.

According to Perdar, Pakmaya has been existent in African markets since 30 years. From South to North, Central to East and West, a consumer can find Pakmaya in nearly every part of Africa continent.

“With its high quality, rich product selection and good service, our brand has become the favorite yeast of many Africans. On the other hand, our distributors in African countries are working very hardly and loyally in order to promote our products in their markets. After some time, we are becoming like families with our exclusive distributors in Africa and this enables both parts to work harder and keeps our product sustainable in market,” he said in an interview this week.

The yeast manufacturing giant made its way to Botswana market. The company has been smoothly working with Kamoso Distribution, a local distribution company. Perdar told BusinessPost that two entities have been working hard to earn is market locally.

“At the moment we have a good market share with them in Botswana market. I’m sure during 2021 long, we will be increasing our sales and market position. Soon we are going to start a marketing campaign in Botswana, so that means Batswana will see and recognize Pakmaya more and more. Pakmaya wants to be the best friend of bakers in bakeries and ladies at homes in Botswana.”

As per global COVID-19 regulations to curb the spread of the COVID-19, Botswana just like other country closed borders. Providentially, the restrictions did not affect the company destructively.

Perdar says “Kamoso Africa is a very important and strong partner in Botswana territory. With Kamoso’s hard work and strict measurements, we have done a very good job. So as Pakmaya, we have not suffered any distribution problem. Our partner is doing the needful at the reaching our products to end users.”

He further said “We are doing well in Botswana market and hoping to make much more. Our aim is to enter every single corner in Botswana territory. With our new marketing campaigns, we are planning to be the most preferred yeast in Botswana market.”

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