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Saturday, 20 April 2024

BCP’s goodwill slowly, surely fading away…but there is still a glimmer of hope!

Opinions


BCP leadership may call me a prophet of doom or whatever they prefer to call one like me, but the truth is that BCP leadership is slowly but surely squandering the goodwill of its supporters and symphathisers. The language used by some of their leaders and activists against UDC is shockingly rude and misguided.

If this continues, very soon the 140 000 people who voted for BCP will find new suitors. There is however, still a glimmer of hope, a small light at the end of the tunnel which hopefully will be taken advantage of before it extinguishes and before the last vestiges of hope evaporate forever into thin air.


Three weeks ago, Professor Zibani Maundeni penned an article in the weekend post of the 15-21 November, 2014 premised fittingly on the emerging revolution movement and a seemingly confused counter revolution movement that is sweeping across the country. 

A revolution which he believes should have been driven by a unitary force under the umbrella; a resolute revolution that sought ‘democratic restoration, economic revival and a clean government;  A calm revolution that sought to restore the dignity of our people by creating opportunities, rewarding jobs and providing adequate land for all our people. 

This article was by no means a comprehensive and holistic academic assessment of the 2014 general election.  Such would have been a more rigorous assessment with much more detail for universities and certainly not written for a newspaper like the weekend post.

This was an informed observation, by the learned professor for most people in Batswana who are lay persons. Certainly not for decorated academics like Dr. Kesitegile Gobotswang who in the following week in the same newspaper launched the most untypical venomous attack on Professor Maundeni and his credentials.


 The attack was uncalled for and left many aggrieved and wondering as to what is happening to the BCP top leadership. Some of the BCP people, we have come to admire because of their seemingly level headedness and generous wisdom have degenerated in level of thinking.  This negative and worrying behavior has been consistent since the elections. After their Palapye retreat, the behavior instead of softening has become even more virulent, narrow and self-damaging. This consistent trend is worrying and needs to be reversed.


It looks like Dr. Gobotswang, like some of his colleagues are annoyed by the truth they confuse for lies. Professor Maundeni stated the truth summarised in part herein.  ‘BCP was swept away partly by a revolution it refused to join. BCP became a victim of circumstances which its visionaries failed to see and its policy makers failed to prepare for.

BCP has instead unleashed its activists to attack the UDC, the private media and the trade unions. BCP is now presented with another opportunity to join the revolution or miss out yet another chance presented by history and risk being swept away completely,’ This is the truth, nothing but the truth, that annoyed Dr. Gobotswang and necessitated his vicious, callous and uncouth attack on the professor.


In his response in the WeekendPost of  22-28 November, 2014, ‘when a decorated academic speaks like a lay person – the case of Professor Zibani Maundeni’, Dr Gobotswang who is also an academic totally misses the point and goes out on a total tangent and condemns the professor for failing to unpack the revolution and its material conditions.

I wonder why the good doctor did not do that himself as an academic. Professor Maundeni did not author a thesis or an academic paper to be found in academic journals and or used in lecture rooms. The article was meant for the lay persons who I am sure understood the professor. I do not know how many people understood the good doctor’s response.


The good doctor is bending the truth when he says; it was a lie to say BCP withdrew from umbrella 2 talks. Nobody ever said BCP walked away from the umbrella 2 talks. This is gross hallucination.  What has been said and is the truth is that BCP walked away from the umbrella talks because of disagreement on five if not two constituencies. BCP did not finish the umbrella talks, which talks they initiated and embraced as the only plausible way of effecting ‘regime change’.

They agreed with the unions and the other opposition parties that this was the only way. They further said anyone who will walk away from the talks should be punished by the voters. This is nothing but the truth.  The reasons advanced for the so called collapse of the umbrella 1 talks are pathetic and childish by any reasonable standard.

That is why the other parties continued the difficult talks and succeeded.  BCP must own up and tell the nation the real reason for withdrawing from the talks. Do not tell us about the letter that was signed. To many of us, it was part of a grand scheme to deceive the nation and waggle out of the talks for reasons only known to BCP. I will hazard a guess later in this submission.


He further says it was a lie to say BOFEPUSO supported UDC. Who did BOPEPUSO support?  Is it not true that the majority of BOPEPUSO membership and leadership supported UDC? They may have been some who supported BCP or even BDP and this is quite normal in a democratic dispensation.

However, the majority has the last word and in this case they unequivocally supported the UDC. This is the unfettered truth. They say the truth sometime hurts, but I say it only hurts those who are alien to the truth; those despite all the clarity of facts put on the table, continue to deny these facts.


The doctor, trivialises the origin of the umbrella idea by saying it was their idea in 2007 and 2011. Yes it was their idea and others bought into it, so what.  Why did they walk away from their own brain child? Why are they still consulting about their own brain child? Why? Why? Why? Why all this fuss? 

Why did they say during the elections that BNF will seize to exist after the elections? Can we assume that killing BNF was part of BCP’s grand plan when it gave birth to the umbrella idea? Was part of the reason for BCP walking away from the Umbrella talks not the realisation that they were not going to be able to manipulate Cde Boko and kill BNF? Was the other reason not the fact that they realised they will not be able to take the leadership of the UMBRELLA party?  The truth comrades!


Comrades, my brothers, my sisters and fellow citizens of character, BCP has been very manipulative and this time they have been found out, really wanting. They must admit it, own up and rejoin BNF and UDC! This is the only way they will redeem themselves and survive beyond 2019.


BCP has been saying UDC has lied about BCP. This cannot be farther from the truth. BCP seem to confuse the truth with lies and lies with the truth. This I suspect is deliberate and meant to confuse our people.  Let us look at some of their election messaging and judge for ourselves whether they lied or they told the truth. 

This will also help us to understand whether BCP is justified in saying UDC peddled lies or is BCP blatantly lying to the nation to tarnish the image of UDC for selfish reasons?
Truth no.1: BCP failed to complete the journey towards forming the umbrella party they originated on account of disagreement on five if not two constituencies. Is this not true? Yes or no.


Truth no.2: BCP through its leader said whoever fails to complete the journey towards forming an umbrella party must be punished by the voters; the voters obliged and punished him and his party severely. Is this not true?  Yes or no.


Truth no.3: As part of its campaign message BCP said they were the champions of opposition unity because BCP has several parties under its umbrella. The truth is that they swallowed these smaller parties well before the umbrella talks in question began. So why did they start these talks if they wanted to stand alone in their own umbrella? 

Do I detect some serious insincerity within BCP leadership?  Can we then not logically conclude that BCP was on a mission to swallow the remaining three parties and when they realised it was not going to be so, they quit. The unity talks were only about four parties, so why would BCP be talking of being the champion of opposition unity when they walked away from the only national unity talks we all know about. How disingenuous!


Truth No 4:  As part of their campaign message, BCP branded Cde Boko and UDC as the same as BDP.  If this is not a lie, then I do not know what a lie is. Any reasonable person who understands our politics will never accept this as the truth. How deceitful. What shameless propaganda!


Truth No. 5:  As part of their campaign, they said there where the only party that was going to bring jobs and provide land by a ‘land audit’. They were the only party ‘ready to lead’. Anyone who is discerning enough will know that they were no real difference between BCP and UDC policies. The differences were shallow and cosmetic.  Batswana are no fools and can spot a difference when there is one.


Truth No. 6: Where are the shadow ministers? What was the real purpose of this?  How do you have shadow ministers outside parliament? Shadow ministers are drawn from parliament to counter government ministers. Was this not another grand scheme to hoodwink Batswana into falsely believing BCP was a government in waiting not UDC?  This makes me think BCP is a very disingenuous party.


There is more. They keep on saying they championed a clean campaign during the elections? Really!  Not if the above are true. They even joined BDP in demanding the Motswaledi’s report, when they knew very well that the investigations were not yet concluded.


Where is the declaration of assets promised by the BCP leadership? Was this just an ill-conceived idea or was this yet another dubious attention seeking grand scheme by BCP leadership?


This is the counter revolution Professor Maundeni was talking about. BCP is fighting an enemy that does not exist. The really enemy is within BCP especially its leadership. The sooner they realise this, the sooner the revolution towards authentic change, calm change, people’s change can be consolidated. Lies as they say have short legs, they will not go far, they will come back howling and haunting the perpetuator!
I said at the beginning that there was a glimmer of hope.  This comes from three factors discussed below:


Firstly, I am encouraged by the BCP leader, Dumelang Saleshando who since coming from the Palapye retreat and some of his colleagues since the elections, have not attacked UDC, the union or the press, although they have not condemned the vicious attack on the UDC leadership by the party activists. I assume they are taking serious stock of what happened and considering the road ahead for BCP. I must remind them though that the road ahead without UDC will be full of thistles (very thorny and prickly plants). Please avoid that road as it will lead to the sad extinction of very able and promising young politicians.


Secondly UDC leadership has not responded to the increasingly provocative and viral insults from BCP activists since the election. UDC have been generous, magnanimous and showed true leadership. They must remain steadfast in the face of these attacks. They must not be moved by these attacks and they must stay focused on the many important challenges facing this nation under the BDP misguided rule.


Thirdly, the general UDC members have been very accommodative of BCP insults and are encouraging each other to allow BCP to ‘mourn and heal’. They are hopeful that soon they will understand that their problem is not the UDC. They still believe in their heart of hearts that they belong together with BCP and that BCP will come back and join UDC in order to face the BDP together. The attacks on UDC by BCP are viewed as unfortunate and ill advised.


Having said this, the goodwill is slowly dissipating and soon BCP will be regarded as an enemy of the people. Our people are hungry for change and come 2019 they will make change happen with or without BCP.  By then many ordinary members of BCP will have joined UDC, if the leadership remains outside the umbrella.


In conclusion, there is a clarion call for opposition unity under the umbrella. Batswana for many years have called for this unity. We cannot force BCP to join the unity movement or the revolution as seen by professor Maundeni. We will however, continue to encourage them to do so because it is the right thing to do.  Our God fearing people will watch closely and we will not allow BCP to mislead this nation anymore. 

Politics should not be for the manipulative, calculating and dishonest people, it should be for God fearing people who are prepared to serve the people honestly and diligently; people who will tell the truth no matter how difficult.  Moses said to his people, ‘choose for yourselves wise, understanding and experienced people among yourselves and I will appoint them as your leaders.’

True leaders will acknowledge their failures, pick up the pieces and move on. True leaders do not look for escape goats when they fail; they look from within, determine the cause of action and act graciously.


Bernard Busani can be contacted at Email: bernard.busani@ gmail.com Cell: 71751440

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Opinions

IEC Disrespects Batswana: A Critical Analysis

10th November 2023

The Independent Electoral Commission (IEC) has recently faced significant criticism for its handling of the voter registration exercise. In this prose I aim to shed light on the various instances where the IEC has demonstrated a lack of respect towards the citizens of Botswana, leading to a loss of credibility. By examining the postponements of the registration exercise and the IEC’s failure to communicate effectively, it becomes evident that the institution has disregarded its core mandate and the importance of its role in ensuring fair and transparent elections.

Incompetence or Disrespect?

One possible explanation for the IEC’s behavior is sheer incompetence. It is alarming to consider that the leadership of such a critical institution may lack the understanding of the importance of their mandate. The failure to communicate the reasons for the postponements in a timely manner raises questions about their ability to handle their responsibilities effectively. Furthermore, if the issue lies with government processes, it calls into question whether the IEC has the courage to stand up to the country’s leadership.

Another possibility is that the IEC lacks respect for its core clients, the voters of Botswana. Respect for stakeholders is crucial in building trust, and clear communication is a key component of this. The IEC’s failure to communicate accurate and complete information, despite having access to it, has fueled speculation and mistrust. Additionally, the IEC’s disregard for engaging with political parties, such as the Umbrella for Democratic Change (UDC), further highlights this disrespect. By ignoring the UDC’s request to observe the registration process, the IEC demonstrates a lack of regard for its partners in the electoral exercise.

Rebuilding Trust and Credibility:

While allegations of political interference and security services involvement cannot be ignored, the IEC has a greater responsibility to ensure its own credibility. The institution did manage to refute claims by the DISS Director that the IEC database had been compromised, which is a positive step towards rebuilding trust. However, this remains a small glimmer of hope in the midst of the IEC’s overall disregard for the citizens of Botswana.

To regain the trust of Batswana, the IEC must prioritize respect for its stakeholders. Clear and timely communication is essential in this process. By engaging with political parties and addressing their concerns, the IEC can demonstrate a commitment to transparency and fairness. It is crucial for the IEC to recognize that its credibility is directly linked to the trust it garners from the voters.

Conclusion:

The IEC’s recent actions have raised serious concerns about its credibility and respect for the citizens of Botswana. Whether due to incompetence or a lack of respect for stakeholders, the IEC’s failure to communicate effectively and handle its responsibilities has damaged its reputation. To regain trust and maintain relevance, the IEC must prioritize clear and timely communication, engage with political parties, and demonstrate a commitment to transparency and fairness. Only by respecting the voters of Botswana can the IEC fulfill its crucial role in ensuring free and fair elections.

 

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Opinions

Fuelling Change: The Evolving Dynamics of the Oil and Gas Industry

4th April 2023

The Oil and Gas industry has undergone several significant developments and changes over the last few years. Understanding these developments and trends is crucial towards better appreciating how to navigate the engagement in this space, whether directly in the energy space or in associated value chain roles such as financing.

Here, we explore some of the most notable global events and trends and the potential impact or bearing they have on the local and global market.

Governments and companies around the world have been increasingly focused on transitioning towards renewable energy sources such as solar and wind power. This shift is motivated by concerns about climate change and the need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Africa, including Botswana, is part of these discussions, as we work to collectively ensure a greener and more sustainable future. Indeed, this is now a greater priority the world over. It aligns closely with the increase in Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) investing being observed. ESG investing has become increasingly popular, and many investors are now looking for companies that are focused on sustainability and reducing their carbon footprint. This trend could have significant implications for the oil and fuel industry, which is often viewed as environmentally unsustainable. Relatedly and equally key are the evolving government policies. Government policies and regulations related to the Oil and Gas industry are likely to continue evolving with discussions including incentives for renewable energy and potentially imposing stricter regulations on emissions.

The COVID-19 pandemic has also played a strong role. Over the last two years, the pandemic had a profound impact on the Oil and Gas industry (and fuel generally), leading to a significant drop in demand as travel and economic activity slowed down. As a result, oil prices plummeted, with crude oil prices briefly turning negative in April 2020. Most economies have now vaccinated their populations and are in recovery mode, and with the recovery of the economies, there has been recovery of oil prices; however, the pace and sustainability of recovery continues to be dependent on factors such as emergence of new variants of the virus.

This period, which saw increased digital transformation on the whole, also saw accelerated and increased investment in technology. The Oil and Gas industry is expected to continue investing in new digital technologies to increase efficiency and reduce costs. This also means a necessary understanding and subsequent action to address the impacts from the rise of electric vehicles. The growing popularity of electric vehicles is expected to reduce demand for traditional gasoline-powered cars. This has, in turn, had an impact on the demand for oil.

Last but not least, geopolitical tensions have played a tremendous role. Geopolitical tensions between major oil-producing countries can and has impacted the supply of oil and fuel. Ongoing tensions in the Middle East and between the US and Russia could have an impact on global oil prices further, and we must be mindful of this.

On the home front in Botswana, all these discussions are relevant and the subject of discussion in many corporate and even public sector boardrooms. Stanbic Bank Botswana continues to take a lead in supporting the Oil and Gas industry in its current state and as it evolves and navigates these dynamics. This is through providing financing to support Oil and Gas companies’ operations, including investments in new technologies. The Bank offers risk management services to help oil and gas companies to manage risks associated with price fluctuations, supply chain disruptions and regulatory changes. This includes offering hedging products and providing advice on risk management strategies.

Advisory and support for sustainability initiatives that the industry undertakes is also key to ensuring that, as companies navigate complex market conditions, they are more empowered to make informed business decisions. It is important to work with Oil and Gas companies to develop and implement sustainability strategies, such as reducing emissions and increasing the use of renewable energy. This is key to how partners such as Stanbic Bank work to support the sector.

Last but not least, Stanbic Bank stands firmly in support of Botswana’s drive in the development of the sector with the view to attain better fuel security and reduce dependence risk on imported fuel. This is crucial towards ensuring a stronger, stabler market, and a core aspect to how we can play a role in helping drive Botswana’s growth.  Continued understanding, learning, and sustainable action are what will help ensure the Oil and Gas sector is supported towards positive, sustainable and impactful growth in a manner that brings social, environmental and economic benefit.

Loago Tshomane is Manager, Client Coverage, Corporate and Investment Banking (CIB), Stanbic Bank Botswana

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Opinions

Brands are important

27th March 2023

So, the conclusion is brands are important. I start by concluding because one hopes this is a foregone conclusion given the furore that erupts over a botched brand. If a fast food chef bungles a food order, there’d be possibly some isolated complaint thrown. However, if the same company’s marketing expert or agency cooks up a tasteless brand there is a country-wide outcry. Why?  Perhaps this is because brands affect us more deeply than we care to understand or admit. The fact that the uproar might be equal parts of schadenfreude, black twitter-esque criticism and, disappointment does not take away from the decibel of concern raised.

A good place to start our understanding of a brand is naturally by defining what a brand is. Marty Neumier, the genius who authored The Brand Gap, offers this instructive definition – “A brand is a person’s gut feel about a product or service”. In other words, a brand is not what the company says it is. It is what the people feel it is. It is the sum total of what it means to them. Brands are perceptions. So, brands are defined by individuals not companies. But brands are owned by companies not individuals. Brands are crafted in privacy but consumed publicly. Brands are communal. Granted, you say. But that doesn’t still explain why everybody and their pet dog feel entitled to jump in feet first into a brand slug-fest armed with a hot opinion. True. But consider the following truism.

 

Brands are living. They act as milestones in our past. They are signposts of our identity. Beacons of our triumphs. Indexes of our consumption. Most importantly, they have invaded our very words and world view. Try going for just 24 hours without mentioning a single brand name. Quite difficult, right? Because they live among us they have become one of us. And we have therefore built ‘brand bonds’ with them. For example, iPhone owners gather here. You love your iPhone. It goes everywhere. You turn to it in moments of joy and when we need a quick mood boost. Notice how that ‘relationship’ started with desire as you longingly gazed upon it in a glossy brochure. That quickly progressed to asking other people what they thought about it. Followed by the zero moment of truth were you committed and voted your approval through a purchase. Does that sound like a romantic relationship timeline. You bet it does. Because it is. When we conduct brand workshops we run the Brand Loyalty ™ exercise wherein we test people’s loyalty to their favourite brand(s). The results are always quite intriguing. Most people are willing to pay a 40% premium over the standard price for ‘their’ brand. They simply won’t easily ‘breakup’ with it. Doing so can cause brand ‘heart ache’. There is strong brand elasticity for loved brands.

 

Now that we know brands are communal and endeared, then companies armed with this knowledge, must exercise caution and practise reverence when approaching the subject of rebranding. It’s fragile. The question marketers ought to ask themselves before gleefully jumping into the hot rebranding cauldron is – Do we go for an Evolution (partial rebrand) or a Revolution(full rebrand)? An evolution is incremental. It introduces small but significant changes or additions to the existing visual brand. Here, think of the subtle changes you’ve seen in financial or FMCG brands over the decades. Evolution allows you to redirect the brand without alienating its horde of faithful followers. As humans we love the familiar and certain. Change scares us. Especially if we’ve not been privy to the important but probably blinkered ‘strategy sessions’ ongoing behind the scenes. Revolutions are often messy. They are often hard reset about-turns aiming for a total new look and ‘feel’.

 

 

Hard rebranding is risky business. History is littered with the agony of brands large and small who felt the heat of public disfavour. In January 2009, PepsiCo rebranded the Tropicana. When the newly designed package hit the shelves, consumers were not having it. The New York Times reports that ‘some of the commenting described the new packaging as ‘ugly’ ‘stupid’. They wanted their old one back that showed a ripe orange with a straw in it. Sales dipped 20%. PepsiCo reverted to the old logo and packaging within a month. In 2006 Mastercard had to backtrack away from it’s new logo after public criticism, as did Leeds United, and the clothing brand Gap. AdAge magazine reports that critics most common sentiment about the Gap logo was that it looked like something a child had created using a clip-art gallery. Botswana is no different. University of Botswana had to retreat into the comfort of the known and accepted heritage strong brand.  Sir Ketumile Masire Teaching Hospital was badgered with complaints till it ‘adjusted’ its logo.

 

 

So if the landscape of rebranding is so treacherous then whey take the risk? Companies need to soberly assess they need for a rebrand. According to the fellows at Ignyte Branding a rebrand is ignited by the following admissions :

Our brand name no longer reflects our company’s vision.
We’re embarrassed to hand out our business cards.

Our competitive advantage is vague or poorly articulated.
Our brand has lost focus and become too complex to understand. Our business model or strategy has changed.
Our business has outgrown its current brand.
We’re undergoing or recently underwent a merger or acquisition. Our business has moved or expanded its geographic reach.
We need to disassociate our brand from a negative image.
We’re struggling to raise our prices and increase our profit margins. We want to expand our influence and connect to new audiences. We’re not attracting top talent for the positions we need to fill. All the above are good reasons to rebrand.

The downside to this debacle is that companies genuinely needing to rebrand might be hesitant or delay it altogether. The silver lining I guess is that marketing often mocked for its charlatans, is briefly transformed from being the Archilles heel into Thanos’ glove in an instant.

So what does a company need to do to safely navigate the rebranding terrain? Companies need to interrogate their brand purpose thoroughly. Not what they think they stand for but what they authentically represent when seen through the lens of their team members. In our Brand Workshop we use a number of tools to tease out the compelling brand truth. This section always draws amusing insights. Unfailingly, the top management (CEO & CFO)always has a vastly different picture of their brand to the rest of their ExCo and middle management, as do they to the customer-facing officer. We have only come across one company that had good internal alignment. Needless to say that brand is doing superbly well.

There is need a for brand strategies to guide the brand. One observes that most brands ‘make a plan’ as they go along. Little or no deliberate position on Brand audit, Customer research, Brand positioning and purpose, Architecture, Messaging, Naming, Tagline, Brand Training and may more. A brand strategy distils why your business exists beyond making money – its ‘why’. It defines what makes your brand what it is, what differentiates it from the competition and how you want your customers to perceive it. Lacking a brand strategy disadvantages the company in that it appears soul-less and lacking in personality. Naturally, people do not like to hang around humans with nothing to say. A brand strategy understands the value proposition. People don’t buy nails for the nails sake. They buy nails to hammer into the wall to hang pictures of their loved ones. People don’t buy make up because of its several hues and shades. Make up is self-expression. Understanding this arms a brand with an iron clad clad strategy on the brand battlefield.

But perhaps you’ve done the important research and strategy work. It’s still possible to bungle the final look and feel.  A few years ago one large brand had an extensive strategy done. Hopes were high for a top tier brand reveal. The eventual proposed brand was lack-lustre. I distinctly remember, being tasked as local agency to ‘land’ the brand and we outright refused. We could see this was a disaster of epic proportions begging to happen. The brand consultants were summoned to revise the logo. After a several tweaks and compromises the brand landed. It currently exists as one of the country’s largest brands. Getting the logo and visual look right is important. But how does one know if they are on the right path? Using the simile of a brand being a person – The answer is how do you know your outfit is right? It must serve a function, be the right fit and cut, it must be coordinated and lastly it must say something about you. So it is possible to bath in a luxurious bath gel, apply exotic lotion, be facebeat and still somehow wear a faux pas outfit. Avoid that.

Another suggestion is to do the obvious. Pre-test the logo and its look and feel on a cross section of your existing and prospective audience. There are tools to do this. Their feedback can save you money, time and pain. Additionally one must do another obvious check – use Google Image to verify the visual outcome and plain Google search to verify the name. These are so obvious they are hopefully for gone conclusions. But for the brands that have gone ahead without them, I hope you have not concluded your brand journeys as there is a world of opportunity waiting to be unlocked with the right brand strategy key.

Cliff Mada is Head of ArmourGetOn Brand Consultancy, based in Gaborone and Cape Town.

cliff@armourgeton.com

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