The move by President Ian Khama to use part of $8.5 billion in foreign exchange reserves to stimulate the economy after a drop in diamond prices hit growth has been endorsed by economic analysts, however they cannot measure to what extent this plan might have on the economy.
President Khama said Botswana will use some of its foreign currency reserves to fund an economic stimulus program after growth slowed. Khama said the objective is to stimulate the economy for accelerated employment creation and diversification. The stimulus plan will target tourism, farming, the construction of buildings and roads and manufacturing.
The country will be “bringing back part of our funds which are managed in other countries for use here at home,” he said in the broadcast. “We have built up sufficient reserves and the time has come to use these reserves.”
Diamonds account for around 75 percent of Botswana's foreign exchange earnings and 30 percent of GDP, but gem demand has slowed since late 2014 as middlemen who buy rough stones struggle with a stronger dollar and liquidity problems.
The program includes fast-tracking the provision of services to 37,000 plots of land, building 4,480 houses and accommodation for teachers and nurses. The government plans to build 144 school classrooms and more than 90 laboratories, plus new roads in the towns of Lobatse, Molepolole and Francistown.
The stimulus package is not peculiar to Botswana only. Different countries around the world have unleashed various forms of stimulus packages to shore up their economy as these times we are in needs solutions that are outside the box. Research manager with First National Bank, Moatlhodi Sebabole noted that the targeted sectors have been experiencing slow growth and are aligned to the identified areas in the special economic zones.
He said there are opportunities to boost tourism sector especially with more of our tourism sites gaining world heritage status; agriculture is vulnerable to drought and disease plagues but potential remains to boost the sector further beyond just the beef exports; manufacturing & construction allow for capacity and therefore focusing on stimulating those areas could be based on their potential to play a bigger role in the economy.
“Whether the sectors will be revived, rests entirely on the successful implementation, allocation and monitoring of the package in creating sustainable jobs; industries and proceeds that will benefit the country,” he said.
However, the stimulus plan is only as good as emphasis on return on investment because tapping into reserves means we reduce the cushion that we have against economic volatilities and therefore the emphasis should be on the value that will be derived from using these reserves at this economic turbulent time.
Sebabole highlighted the need for both the supplementary budget and implementation plan. “There has to be a needs-analysis to identify the best case scenario for allocation of these funds as well as how much of the reserves we want to tap on,” he said.
He said government has an alternative to boost economic activity through debt participation by using its P15billion bond programme which is currently at around 60% utilization and one of its bond, BW003 maturing end of this month at a quantum of P1.6billion.
“Given the favourable sovereign ratings and appetite to lend to government, there needs to be a robust analysis on the pros and cons of tapping on reserves vs. borrowing so as to argue the case for what best serves the interest of proper stimulus,” he noted.
Sebabole cautioned that reserves act as an insurance and buffer against disturbances that can hurt the country’s growth, should we aggressively tap on our reserves and we will leave the economy vulnerable to shocks which might force as to borrow to unprecedented levels.
Investment analyst with Motswedi Securities Garry Juma said any stimulus package will have an effect over the economy. “However to what extent this will have on the economy depends on the size of the stimulus package of which we are still to get more colour on that,” said Juma.
Juma added that the move to have stimulus package will in no way affect inflation. “Our inflation is mostly exogenous; hence we don’t see this move causing any significant inflationary pressures. In any case inflation is at an all-time low of around 3% thanks to lower fuel prices and relatively stable food prices as well as the appreciation of the BWP against the ZAR,” he said.
Juma said International standards require any country to have at least 6months import cover, of which in Botswana’s case there is up to 20 months of import cover. “This leaves us with enough ‘breathing space’ to utilise the money for other developmental expenditure which will have a positive effect on the economy,” he said.
Botswana in September slashed its 2015 growth forecast from 4.9 percent to 2.6 percent and said the southern African country would post a budget deficit this year and next. Botswana forecasts that its budget will swing to shortfall of 4.03 billion pula in the year ending March 2016 from a surplus of 3.67 billion pula in the previous year, due largely to slower sales of rough diamonds and lower metals prices.
The economy expanded by 2.5 percent in the second quarter, compared with 3.4 percent growth a year earlier, the central statistics office said.
“Therefore, a balance has to be maintained, together with the debt management strategy as well as the management of the reserve funds to ensure the maintenance of the financial stability of the country,” he said.
Newly established wholly indigenous citizen owned retail chain Payless Retail (PTY) Ltd is set to partake in the first session of Botswana Stock Exchange (BSE)’s Tshipidi Mentorship Program (TMP) on Monday June 29th.
The TMP aims to train and capacitate SMEs so they can operate as corporates and eventually list on the local bourse. According to local bourse, BSE, the program aims to provide practical training to potential issuers through a comprehensive and interactive program that covers the key themes necessary to position a company to list on the BSE.
Payless Retail is a newly established supermarket chain whose mission is to become a convenient one-stop shopping destination as it is one of the Botswana oldest retailing brands. It started off as Corner Supermarket in January 1976, and to date boasts of nine stores in, among others, Gaborone, Mochudi, Molepolole and Tlokweng. Payless was recently acquired by Ellis Retail Group, which is led by businessman Elliot Moshoke.
The takeover catapulted Ellis Retail to the envious position of being the first wholly indigenous owned major retail chain. “We jumped at this opportunity because it gave us a chance to prove to Batswana that the retail business is open and lucrative.”
The objective is to create a proudly Botswana retail chain that fully supports our national Vision, economic development and citizen economic empowerment ambitions,” Moshoke told BusinessPost.
He further emphasized that Batswana are capable and able to run large scale businesses hence they need to accept invite foreign investors who will come in to support us not take the business. “Our win as Payless in the Fast Moving Consumer goods (FMCG) industry is a win for Batswana. We need their support in this difficult and challenging journey.
As you are aware, Payless is the only retail chain in the hands of Batswana ba Sekei. We need to take advantage of this to generate employment and create small businesses in retail and Agri businesses,” he explained.
The retailer has also partnered with Botswana Investment & Trade Center (BITC) on their #PushaBW campaign with a view to initiating earnest engagement with local producers to iron out bottlenecks and ensure seamless trading.
“Local producers have to be part of the phenomenal growth of the Payless brand. This will in turn facilitate employment creation and economic growth. We did this because we have the utmost respect for local manufacturers and producers,” he mentioned.
Payless is currently restocking all of its stores; a development that Moshoke says is testament to the retailer’s commitment to growing the brand and ensuring continuity of business. He further revealed that renowned retail suppliers like PST and CA Sales have reignited their trust in Payless, opening their doors for Payless as they have faith in the retailer’s new owners.
The takeover has reportedly saved more than 200 jobs and gave a new lease of life to the previously fledging Payless brand. According to a press release from the management team, the Payless work forces are also extremely excited about what the future holds. The TMP is a comprehensive and interactive program that covers the key themes necessary to position a company to list on the BSE.
The program is administered by experts within the listing ecosystem and seeks to bring the potential issuers closer to the listings advisers, investors and leaders of already listed companies. “As a strategic initiative, the BSE decided to set up this mentorship program in a bid to assist SMEs to strategize, corporatize and acclimatize in order to list to access equity finance and expand operations,” said the BSE.
The TMP will avail to SMEs practical insights, knowledge and feedback from institutional investors, increased awareness of the BSE listing requirements as well as an intimate network of advisors and CEOs of listed companies. After training, Payless will graduate with improve governance structures and better knowledge of articulating its business strategy. The retailer will also gain increased visibility through BSE marketing platforms.
Despite Covid-19 interrupting trade worldwide, exporting companies in Botswana which benefited from the Botswana Investment and Trade Centre (BITC) services realised P2.96 billion in export earnings during the period from April 2020 to March 2021.
In the preceding financial year, the sale of locally manufactured products in foreign markets had registered export revenue of P2, 427 billion against a target of P3, 211 billion BITC, which celebrates 10 years since establishment, continues to carry out several initiatives targeted towards expanding the Botswana export base in line with Botswana’s desire to be an export led economy, underpinned by a robust export promotion programme in line with the National Export Strategy.
The main products exported were swamp cruiser boats, pvc tanks and pvc pipes, ignition wiring sets, semi-precious stones, veterinary medicines, hair braids, coal, textiles (towels and t-shirts) and automobile batteries. These goods were destined mainly for South Africa, Zimbabwe, Austria, Germany, and Namibia.
With Covid-19 still a problem, BITC continues to roll out targeted virtual trade promotion missions across the SADC region with a view to seeking long-lasting market opportunities for locally manufactured products.
Recently, the Centre facilitated participation for Botswana companies at the Eastern Cape Development Council (ECDC) Virtual Export Symposium, the Botswana-Zimbabwe Virtual Trade Mission, the Botswana-Zambia Virtual Trade Mission, Botswana-South Africa Virtual Buyer/Seller Mission as well as the Botswana-Namibia Virtual Trade Mission.
BITC has introduced an e-Exporting programme aimed at assisting Botswana exporters to conduct business on several recommended e-commerce platforms. Due to the advent of COVID-19, BITC is currently promoting e-trade among companies through the establishment of e-commerce platforms and is assisting local companies to embrace digitisation by adopting e-commerce platforms to reach export markets as well as assisting local e-commerce platform developers to scale up their online marketplaces.
During the 2019/2020 financial year, BITC embarked on several initiatives targeted at growing exports in the country; facilitation of participation of local companies in international trade platforms in order to enhance export sales of local products and services into external markets.
BITC also helped in capacity development of local companies to compete in global markets and the nurturing of export awareness and culture among local manufacturers in order to enhance their skills and knowledge of export processes; and in development and implementation of trade facilitation tools that look to improve the overall ease of doing business in Botswana.
As part of building export capacity in 2019/20, six (6) companies were selected to initiate a process to be Organic and Fair Trade Certified. These companies are; Blue Pride (Pty) Ltd, Motlopi Beverages, Moringa Technology Industries (Pty) Ltd, Sleek Foods, Maungo Craft and Divine Morula.
In 2019 seven companies which were enrolled in the Botswana Exporter Development Programme were capacitated with attaining BOBS ISO 9001: 2015 certification. Three (3) companies successfully attained BOBS ISO 9001:2015 certification. These were Lithoflex (Pty) Ltd, General Packaging Industries and Power Engineering.
BITC’s annual flagship exhibition, Global Expo Botswana (GEB) to create opportunities for trade and strategic synergies between local and international companies. The Global Expo Botswana) is a premier business to business exposition that attracts FDI, expansion of domestic investment, promotion of exports of locally produced goods and services and promotion of trade between Botswana and other countries.
The portal also provides information on; measures, legal documents, and forms and procedures needed by Botswana companies that intend on doing business abroad. BITC continues to assist both potential and existing local manufacturing and service entities to realise their export ambitions. This assistance is pursued through the ambit of the Botswana Exporter Development Programme (BEDP) and the Trade Promotion Programme.
BEDP was revised in 2020 in partnership with the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) with a vision to developing a diversified export-based economy. The programme focuses mostly on capacitating companies to reach export readiness status.
Prices for goods and services in this country continue to increase, with the latest figures from Statistics Botswana showing that in May 2022, inflation rate rose to 11.9 percent from 9.6 percent recorded in April 2022.
According to Statistics Botswana update released this week, the largest upward contributions to the annual inflation rate in May 2022 came from increase in the cost of transport (7.2 percent), housing, water, electricity, gas & other Fuels (1.4 percent), food & non-alcoholic beverages (1.1 percent) and miscellaneous goods & services (0.8 percent).
With regard to regional inflation rates between April and May 2022, the Rural Villages inflation rate went up by 2.5 percentage points, from 9.6 percent in April to 12.1 percent in May 2022, according to the government owned statistics entity.
In the monthly update the entity stated that the Urban Villages inflation rate stood at 11.8 percent in May 2022, a rise of 2.4 percentage points from the April rate of 9.4 percent, whereas the Cities & Towns inflation rate recorded an increase of 1.9 percentage points, from 9.9 percent in April to 11.8 percent in May.
Commenting on the national Consumer Price Index, the entity stated that it went up by 2.6 percent, from 120.1 in April to 123.2 in May 2022. Statisticians from the entity noted that the transport group index registered an increase of 7.3 percent, from 134.5 in April to 144.2 in May, mainly due to the rise in retail pump prices for petrol and diesel by P1.54 and P2.74 per litre respectively, which effected on the 13th of May 2022.
The food & non-alcoholic beverages group index rose by 2.6 percent, from 118.6 in April 2022 to 121.6 in May 2022 and this came as a result of increase in prices of oils & fats, vegetables, bread & cereal, mineral waters, soft drinks, fruits & vegetables juices, fish (Fresh, Chilled & Frozen) and meat (Fresh, Chilled & Frozen), according to the Statisticians.
The Statisticians said the furnishing, household equipment & routine maintenance group index rose by 1.0 percent, from 111.6 in April 2022 to 112.7 in May 2022 and this was attributed to a general increase in prices of household appliances, glassware, tableware & household utensils and goods & services for household maintenance.
The prices for clothing & footwear group index moved from 109.4 to 110.4, registering a rise of 0.9 percent during the period under review. Bank of Botswana has projected higher inflation in the short term, associated with the likelihood of further increases in domestic fuel prices in response to persistent high international oil prices and added that the possible increase in public service salaries could add also upward pressure to inflation in this country.