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Opposition may drag BDP to court

BDP MP Eric Molale with Phenyo Butale, Member of Parliament (MP) for Gaborone Central

Members of opposition in Parliament are likely to drag the ruling Botswana Democratic Party (BDP) leaders to the High Court over the nomination of Eric Molale as a Specially Elected Member of the National Assembly.

Members of opposition who voiced their rejection of Molale’s appointment this week insist that the nomination procedure that brought Molale back to Parliament reek of fraud and needs to be investigated further and ultimately settled through the other arm of government, that is, the judiciary.

“The process that brought Honourable Molale back to this house was fraudulent. The law says only MPs can nominate names of candidates…We are sitting here with an MP who was elected through a process that is not legal!” lamented Phenyo Butale, Member of Parliament (MP) for Gaborone Central.

Butale, of the Umbrella for Democratic Change (UDC) together with other opposition MPs tried in vain early this week to get the Speaker of Parliament to reveal the names of MPs who nominated Molale for appointment. Their suspicion is that Molale is President Lieutenant General Seretse Khama Ian Khama’s choice and was imposed on the majority BDP MPs who were compelled to tow the line and vote for him so as to please their leader.  

However what the Opposition is likely to request the court to do, is to compel the Speaker to release the names of MPs who nominated candidates for the position of Special election post. The candidates included, Eric Molale and Botsalo Ntuane both of the BDP, Dumelang Saleshando of Botswana Congress Party and Shampoo Shadikong Matshediso of the UDC. More reasons why the opposition is holding the Speaker answerable in this matter is the fact that both former MPs, Ntuane and Saleshando who suffered a humiliating defeat during the ballot of the said position maintain that they never consented to the nomination.

“The President has the prerogative to choose anybody he wishes to become special elected member of the house, but the name has to be endorsed by elected MPs. However the lack of transparency during nomination of names is what is creating the current status quo. The whole process is questionable and open to abuse,” added Butale on the sidelines.

The constitution allows for four positions of specially elected MPs. Ideally the four representatives are to be chosen to close the gap of the marginalised groups such as people with disability, financially disadvantaged groups like women and youth, minority groups such  as under-represented tribes like Basarwa and others.

However, in most cases the President of the ruling Party is seemingly using the window to balance his party’s political interest and reward his favourite candidates who lost after elections.

Currently all the specially elected MPs, except Kenneth Matambo are made up of losers from the 2014 general elections. They include, the Minister of Minerals, Water and Energy Resources, Kitso Mokaila who lost the Goodhope-Mabule Constituency to James Mathokgwane of the UDC, Minister of Presidential Affairs and Public Administration, Eric Molale who lost to Kgosi Lotlaamoreng II of UDC following a by election in the same constituency this year, and the Minister of Education, Dr Unity Dow who lost to Gilbert Mangole of UDC in Mochudi West.

The criterion used by the President to appoint the specially elected MPs has left the opposition frustrated and currently they want to contest Molale’s appointment as an effective way of protest as they do not have the numbers to over-rule the majority BDP MPs in Parliament.

For Molepolole North MP, Mohammed Khan, President Khama’s mistakes are due to ignorance and lack of foresight of the people who put him in power. “The President said he is not a Politician, then why put him in the highest office of the land! Take a mechanic, put him in hospital and make him a doctor! It is stupidity at its best.”

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Seretse, Kgosi may walk free

30th October 2020
BAKANG SERETSE

The P250 million National Petroleum Fund (NPF) saga that has been before court since 2017 seems to be losing its momentum with a high possibility of it being thrown out as defence lawyers unmask incompetency on the part of the Directorate of Public Prosecution (DPP).

The Gaborone High Court this week ruled that the decision by the State to prosecute Justice Zein Kebonang and his twin brother, Sadique Kebonang has been reviewed and set aside. The two brothers have now been cleared of the charges that where laid against them three years ago.

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Understanding the US Electoral College and key election issues 

28th October 2020
Mark J Rozell

The United States (US) will on the 3rd of November 2020 chose between incumbent Donald Trump of the Republicans and former Vice President Joe Biden of the Democrats amid the coronavirus pandemics, which has affected how voting is conducted in the world’s biggest economy.

Trump (74) seeks re-election after trouncing Hillary Clinton in 2016, while Biden (77) is going for his first shot as Democratic nominee after previous unsuccessful spells.

US Presidents mostly succeed in their re-election bid, but there have been nine individuals who failed to garner a second term mandate, the latest being George W H. Bush, a Republican who served as the 41st US President between 1989 and 1993.

Dr Mark Rozell, a Dean of  the School of Policy and Government at George Mason University  in  Arlington, Virginia describes the complex US electoral system that will deliver the winner at the 3rd November elections.

“The founders of our Republic de-centralised  authority  significantly  in  creating  our  constitutional  system,  which  means that  they  gave  an  enormous  amount  of  independent  power  and  authority  to  State  and  local governments,” Dr Rozell told international media on Elections 2020 Virtual Reporting Tour.

Unlike  parliamentary  democracies, like Botswana the  United  States  does  not  have  all  of  the  national government elected in one year. They do not have what is commonly called mandate elections where  the  entire  federal  government  is  elected  all  in  one  election  cycle  giving  a  “mandate”  to  a particular political party to lead, and instead US have what are called staggered elections, elections over time.

The two house Congress, members of the House of Representatives have two-year long terms of office. Every two years the entire House of Representatives is up for re-election, but senators  serve  for  six  years  and  one  third  of  the  Senate is elected every  two  years.

For this election cycle, US citizens will be electing the President and Vice

President, the entire House of Representatives and one third of the open or contested seats in the Senate, whereas two thirds are still fulfilling the remainder of their terms beyond this year.

An  important  facet  of  US electoral  system  to  understand  given  the  federalism  nature  of  the republic, the US elect presidents State by State, therefore they do not have a national popular vote for the presidency.

“We have a national popular vote total that says that Hillary Clinton got three million more votes than Donald Trump or in Year 2000 that Al Gore got a half million more votes than George W. Bush, but we have what is called a State by State winner takes all system where each State  is  assigned  a  number  of  electors  to  our  Electoral  College  and  the  candidate  who  wins  the popular vote within each State takes 100 percent of the electors to the Electoral College,” explained Dr Rozell.

“And that is why mathematically, it is possible for someone to win the popular vote but lose the presidency.”

Dr Rozell indicated that in 2016, Hillary Clinton won very large popular majorities in some big population States like California, but the system allows a candidate to only have to  win  a  State  by  one  vote  to  win  a  100 percent of  its  electors,  the  margin  does  not  matter.

“Donald  Trump  won  many  more  States  by  smaller  margins,  hence  he  got  an  Electoral  College majority.”

Another interesting features by the way of US constitutional system, according to Dr Rozell, but extremely rare, is what is called the faithless elector.

“That’s the elector to the Electoral College who says, ‘I’m not going to vote the popular vote in my State, I think my State made a bad decision and I’m going  to  break  with  the  popular  vote,’’ Dr Rozell said.

“That’s constitutionally a very complicated matter in our federalism system because although the federal constitution says electors may exercise discretion, most States have passed State laws making it illegal for any elector to the Electoral College to break faith with the popular vote of that State, it is a criminal act that can be penalized if one is to do that. And we just had an important Supreme Court case that upheld the right of the states to impose and to enforce this restriction”

There are 538 electors at the Electoral College, 270 is the magic number, the candidate who gets 270 or more becomes President of the United States.

If however there are more candidates, and  this  happens  extremely  rarely,  and  a  third  candidate  got  some electors  to  the  Electoral  College  denying  the  two  major  party  candidates,  either  one  getting  a majority, nobody gets 270 or more, then the election goes to the House of Representatives and the House of Representatives votes among the top three vote getters as to who should be the next President.

“You’d have to go back to the early 19th century to have such a scenario, and that’s not going to happen this year unless there is a statistical oddity, which would be a perfect statistical tie of 269 to 269 which could happen but you can just imagine how incredibly unlikely that is,” stated Dr Rozell.

BLUE STATES vs RED STATES

Since the 2000 United States presidential election, red states and blue states have referred to states of the United States whose voters predominantly choose either the Republican Party (red) or Democratic Party (blue) presidential candidates.

Many  states  have  populations  that  are  so  heavily  concentrated  in  the  Democratic party or the Republican party that there is really no competition in those states.

California is a heavily Democratic State, so is New York and Maryland. It is given that Joe Biden will win those states. Meanwhile Texas, Florida and Alabama are republicans. So, the candidates will spent no time campaigning in those states because it is already a given.

However there are swing  states, where  there is a competition between about five and 10 states total in each election cycle that make a difference, and that is where the candidates end up spending almost all of their time.

“So  it  ends  up  making  a  national  contest  for  the  presidency  actually  look  like  several  state-wide contests with candidates spending a lot of time talking about State and local issues in those parts of the country,” said Dr Rozell.

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Masisi to make things right with Dangote

26th October 2020

High Commissioner of the Federal Government of Nigeria to Botswana, His Excellency Umar Zainab Salisu, has challenged President Dr Mokgweetsi Masisi to move swiftly and lobby Africa’s richest man, Nigerian Billionaire, Aliko Dangote to invest in Botswana.

Speaking during a meeting with President Masisi at Office of President on Thursday Zainab Salisu said Dangote has expressed massive interest in setting up billion dollar industries in Botswana.  “We have a lot of investors who wish to come and invest in Botswana , when we look at Botswana we don’t see Botswana itself , but we are lured by its geographic location , being in the centre of Southern Africa presents a good opportunity for strategic penetration into other markets of the region,” said Salisu.

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