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BTCL returns to profitability

Botswana Telecommunications Corporation Limited (BTCL) has managed to grow its revenues across its core services, returning the telecommunication giant back to profitability after a major impairment loss in the previous year end financial results.


“The half year results for the six months period ended 30 September 2016, reflect a continued growth in BTC revenues. The increase in revenue is a result of more focus on high revenue growth areas, both in the retail and wholesale sectors,” the board said in a statement signed by Ms. Lorato Boakgomo-Ntakhwana, the board chairperson.


BTC increased its revenue to P774 million, up by 4% from the previous P741 million. This increase was largely driven by a 4.6% increase in sales of goods and services. The highest revenue growth achievements were mainly in the areas of National Telephony which went up by 9%, followed by a 6% increase in mobile services and an 8% surge in data services.


There was also marked improvement in the gross profit which went up by 4.5% to P468 million. However, the gross profit was later eroded by a slight increase in total costs. Total costs in the period under review totalled P400 million, a 3% increase from the previous corresponding period. While the uptick in total costs is in line with the prevailing inflation rate, the company’s board and management says the increase in costs calls for more robust cost management initiatives that will ensure long-term growth in net earnings and company value.


In the end BTC declared a profit of P88 million, an impressive increase of 19% from the previous interim results. BTC further announced that it remains well capitalised to fund its capital expenditures from internal resources. The company has grown its cash reserves by 23% to P502 million, putting it in an enviable position considering that the company has no large borrowings.


The company’s return to profitability in 6 months comes as little surprise as the company and analysts have always maintained that the company has a healthy balance sheet underpinned by strong operations. But it hasn’t been an easy road for BTC after its historic listing in the Botswana Stock Exchange (BSE).


BTC which listed in April boasts of a large pool of investors who snapped up shares on offer during the oversubscribed Initial Public Offering (IPO). Although the IPO was restricted to citizens, the historic IPO ushered in about 47, 125 new investors, representing 65% of all registered investors. The BTCL share price debuted at P1 and quickly reached highs of P1.34 on the first weeks of trading but the share price later retreated following a raft of negative news.

 

The share price started dropping after the company recorded a once off impairment loss which was larger than expected. While investors were trying to wrap their heads around that, the telecommunication giant announced that it will not be renewing the Mr. Paul Taylor’s contract as managing director. The news shocked investors as there had not been an indication that Mr. Taylor’s contract will not be renewed. The share price then tanked to new lows of 0.85t, representing a loss of 15% from the IPO price.


Mr. Garry Juma, Head of Research at Motswedi Securities, says the listing of BTCL was met with great excitement from investors. “There was lots of buying especially from those investors who missed out during the IPO.” Mr. Juma went on to say that after BTCL released its financials which showed a loss, the market reacted negatively despite prior warning from BTCL contained in their IPO prospectus that the corporation will incur a once off impairment charge. Perhaps it was the larger than expected loss that rattled the investors as evidenced by how quickly the share price fell in the usually slow to react stock exchange.


“There was panic selling. Some investors were selling at any price. Unfortunately because of the demand side which was low, we had a market in which there were many sellers but not many buyers, creating a mismatch which pushed the price down to current levels,” Mr. Juma said.
With  the share price at 0.90t, representing a 10% discount of the IPO price, Mr Juma says real investors who know the value of shares see BTC as a sitting duck as the share price is low therefore creating opportunities. Mr. Juma is one of the analysts who maintained that BTC will quickly return to profitability in its next set of financials hence stabilization in the share price.


“So investors are now seeing value. We are also seeing lots of buying from participants. As a market maker we have not participated much because our role is only to interfere as the last resort to avoid a mismatch between sellers and buyers.” The company’s board of directors was bolstered with an addition of experienced administrators, signalling a new dawn for telecommunication titan.

 

The appointment of two independent non-executive directors, Ms Lorato Boakgomo-Ntakhwana and Mr. Maclean Letshwiti, was well received by investors as the duo are highly revered in the business circles following impressive track records in managing and running successful companies. BTC further announced that Ms Boakgomo-Ntakhwana has been appointed the board chairperson, replacing Daphne Matlakala whose tenure had expired. The board has since appointed Mr. Anthony Masunga as managing director after a brief stint as the acting managing director.


Now with the company back to profitability and with the share price stabilised, the board and management of BTC are now looking forward with optimism. “Our future focus therefore is to derive an increased proportion of our revenues from broadband and data related products and services. This shall be backed by continued investments in the fixed and mobile broadband solutions, making use of new and more efficient fibre based technologies and latest Long Term Evolution (LTE) mobile solutions,” the board said, also adding that the business product mix shall continue to include the traditional fixed and mobile voice businesses, which have showed a significant increase, during the reporting period.

The board also announced that their journey continues to be premised on customer focus in conjunction with seamless delivery of fixed and mobile and convergence based products and services. Furthermore, the board says the journey will require being responsive to changing needs of the market. “With increasing performance of our revenue streams, both fixed and mobile, and heightened levels of cost management, the Board remains confident of meeting the forecast for March 2017 outturn, which is projected to be an improvement on the previous year’s performance.”

For the period under review, the board declared a 3.6t dividend to shareholders who will also be buoyed by the 4t jump in share price to trade at P0.92.

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Business

Lucara jumps back to positive figures as revenue surges by 56%

12th May 2021
LUCARA

Lucara Diamond Corporation, 100% owners of Karowe Diamond mine, has released its results for the first quarter of 2021 ending March 31, 2021.

Figures contained in the report depict strong financial and operational performance for the quarter. Revenue for the three months period jumped by 56% to $53.1 million (approximately P540 million) or $579 per carat sold in Q1 2021.

This includes diamonds sold through a combination of regular tenders, Clara, and through HB Antwerp (HB) under the supply agreement announced in July 2020.

This 56% increase in revenue comes after a slow Q1 2020 which was characterized by intensifying COVID pandemic. Lucara then announced it would hold on and suspend sale of its large stones until the market normalizes.

During the quarter total operating cash costs of $29.24 per tonne processed was incurred, this was 7% lower than Q1 2020. Adjusted EBITDA closed the quarter at $22.2 million, marking a return to higher levels of operating margin.

The company recorded net income of $3.4 million during Q1 2021 (earnings per share of $0.01), as compared to a net loss of $3.2 million for Q1 2020 (loss per share of $0.01).

The value of the rough diamonds transacted through the Clara platform in Q1 2021 was $6.0 million over six sales, double the $3.0 million transacted on the platform in Q1 2020.

Strong price increases have been observed in each of the sales conducted since the beginning of the year.

As at March 31st 2021, the company had cash and cash equivalents of $27.9 million, an increase of $23.0 million from December 31st 2020 and a net debt of $22.2 million.

Following the quarter-end on May 5th 2021, the Company’s $50 million working capital facility was extended with Rand Merchant Bank, a division of FirstRand Bank Limited, London Branch.

In January 2021, Lucara announced the recoveries of two, top white gem quality diamonds (341 carats and 378 carats) from ore sourced from the M/PK(s) unit within the South Lobe. Both stones were recovered unbroken.

In April 2021, Lucara announced the 24-month extension of its novel supply agreement with HB in respect of all diamonds produced in excess of 10.8 carats in size from the Karowe mine to be sold as polished.

In May 2021, Lucara received credit approved commitments from a syndicate of five international lenders for a senior secured project financing debt package of up to $220 million (over P2.3 billion) to fund an underground expansion at the Karowe Mine in Botswana.

Eira Thomas, President & CEO commented: “Lucara has bounced back in the first quarter of the year, demonstrating its resiliency at a time of continued uncertainty in respect of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. Our solid performance in the first quarter reflects a stronger business environment, Lucara’s continued focus on operational discipline and our innovative approach to sales.

We also made significant progress towards the completion of a supplemental debt financing package with credit approved commitments received from five international lenders, in support of our plans for underground expansion.

Our outlook for the diamond market remains strong, and with close to 20 years of future mining now ahead of us at Karowe, Lucara is highly levered to an improving diamond price environment, particularly in respect of large, high value gem diamonds, the hallmark of Karowe’s production profile.”

KAROWE PERFORMANCE

Ore and waste mined of 1.1 million tonnes and 0.8 million tonnes, respectively.0.67 million tonnes of ore processed resulting in 80,014 carats recovered, achieving a recovered grade of 11.9 carats per hundred tonnes.

188 Specials (+10.8 carats) were recovered from direct milling during the first quarter, representing 6.8% weight percentage of total direct milling recovered carats, in line with resource expectations.

2 diamonds were recovered greater than 300 carats in weight and 2 diamonds were recovered greater than 200 carats in weight.

DIAMOND SALES

Diamond sales in Q1 2021 were held through a combination of regular tenders, and the Clara platform, for diamonds less than 10.8 carats, and through HB under the supply agreement for those diamonds greater than 10.8 carats.

The Company recognized revenue of $53.1 million or $579 per carat from the sale of 91,760 carats. Price recovery was observed in most size and quality classes.

Included in this amount is variable consideration of $9.1 million which relates to “top-up” payments which arise from polished diamond sales in excess of the initial planned value paid to Lucara.

Beginning in Q2 2020, all +10.8 carat diamonds mined from Karowe were sold to HB pursuant to the terms of the diamond supply agreement described below.

Karowe’s large, high value diamonds have historically accounted for approximately 60% to 70% of Lucara’s annual revenues.

Though the mine remained fully operational following the declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic, Lucara made a decision not to tender any of its +10.8 carat production after early March 2020 amidst the uncertainty caused by the global crisis and the significant weakness observed in the rough diamond market.

LUCARA- HB SALES AGREEMENT

The polished diamond market performed better through this period and subsequently, in July 2020, Lucara announced a ground breaking partnership agreement with HB, entering into a definitive supply agreement for the remainder of 2020, for all diamonds produced in excess of +10.8 carats from their 100% owned Karowe Diamond mine in Botswana.

This agreement was subsequently extended for a 24 month period, from January 1, 2021 to December 31, 2022.

Under the supply agreement with HB, Lucara’s +10.8 carat production is being sold at prices based on the estimated polished outcome of each diamond, determined through state of the art scanning and planning technology, with a true up amount payable to Lucara on actual achieved polished sales in excess of the initial estimated polished price, less a fee and the cost of manufacturing.

This unique pricing mechanism delivers regular cash flow for this important segment of our production profile.

Revenue from stones delivered to HB in 2020 will continue to be recognised in 2021 as polished diamonds are sold and “top-up” payments are realised.

CLARA SALES PLATFORM

With global restrictions impeding travel for many diamond manufacturers, interest in Clara- Lucara’s proprietary, secure, web-based digital sales platform- grew significantly in 2020 and that positive momentum continued through Q1 2021.

Six sales were held in the first quarter with total sales volume transacted of $6.0 million, more than double the volume from the comparable period in 2020.

Encouragingly, Clara also observed consistent price increase at each subsequent sale throughout the period.

The number of buyers on the platform increased to 80 and the company is maintaining a waiting list to manage supply and demand. Discussions continue with third party sellers to build supply.

KAROWE MINE UNDERGROUND PROJECT

During Q1 2021, Lucara spent $9.9 million (over P100 million) on project execution activities for the Karowe underground expansion, including shaft and geotechnical engineering, surface infrastructure, dewatering and power line engineering and procurement.

Site construction work commenced early in the quarter and in March the production and ventilation shaft box cuts were drilled and blasted to bulk excavation elevations.

A significant amount of time and effort was also spent on due diligence related to technical, environment and social matters as part of ongoing project financing efforts.

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Business

Inflation to accelerate further in 2021

12th May 2021
Inflation

The first quarter of 2021 continued with unprecedented challenges emanating from the 2020 outbreak of the COVID-19. In Botswana, the economy continues to reel from the effect and impact of the pandemic.

The FABI generated a negative quarterly return, with the index declining by 0.3% for the quarter. Government bonds were the main reason for the decline, registering a return of -0.4% for the quarter under review.

According to Kgori Capital Domestic Fixed Income and Macro Commentary Q1 2021, corporate bonds generated positive returns of 0.9% for the quarter.

Kgosi Capital Portfolio Manager, Kwabena Antwi, says government bonds have continued to come under pressure due to increased supply as government looks for funding for its Economic Recovery and Transformation Plan (ERTP). He says there were three auctions held during the quarter where P8.6 billion of bonds and T-Bills were offered.

“There was decent demand with P10.8 billion of bids received, however, in a similar manner to Q4 2020’s auctions, all auctions were under-allotted with an allotment ratio (allotment divided by securities on offer) of 59.0%. The low allotment was likely due to bids received considered too rich. The key question is how the government plans to fund its projected deficits. Even with the possibility of securing bilateral funding, there is an increase likelihood that projects under its ERTP may be delayed.”

Antwi indicated that inflation breached the lower bound of the Bank of Botswana’s objective range, ending the quarter at 3.2% in March 2021. He says, the main driver of inflation was transport inflation which moved out of deflation territory as a result of the 6.9% increase in pump prices effected in March 2021.

“We expect inflation to accelerate further and briefly touch the 6% upper bound of the Bank of Botswana’s objective range in late Q2 2021/Q3 2021 before accelerating. Our expectation is premised on continued supply-push inflation and base effects arising from the Transport basket,” he said.

GROSS DOMETIC PRODUCT

Kgori Capital highlighted that their GDP growth estimate for 2021 has increased following the release of better-than-expected Q4 2021 economic data which indicated that the economy contracted by 7.9% versus their expectation of an 8.5% contraction.

“We have revised our 2021 growth expectation upwards to 7.2% from 6.3% previously with risks balanced. Whilst there have been no hard lockdowns yet in 2021, curfews have been implemented since January 2021 and alcohol sales were banned between January 2021 and February 2021. Current restrictions are less constricting than the lockdown imposed in 2020 but they will nonetheless constrain business activity in 2021. Forecasts will remain fluid as we get more information on the status of the local and global vaccine rollout as well as the implementation of government’s ERTP.”

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Business

Debswana keeps keen eye on growing Lab-grown diamonds  

12th May 2021
diamonds

Debswana — the world’s leading rough diamonds producer by value says it is “watching” the developments around lab grown diamonds closely as events unfold.

The world‘s largest jewellery maker Pandora, this week announced that it will completely abandon mined diamonds and shift totally to lesser expensive stones manufactured in laboratories citing “environmental reasons.”

Pandora is by far one of the most important jewellery makers in the world.

The company which started as a family-run jewellery shop in Copenhagen, Denmark, is now globally known for its customizable charm bracelets, designer rings, necklaces and watches, crafting them from the world’s finest mined diamonds.

In an announcement that sent shock waves across the diamond industry corridors on Monday, the world’s biggest jewellery maker told global media outlets that it will no longer sell mined diamonds and will switch to exclusively laboratory-made diamonds.

Pandora Executives cited concerns about the environment and working practices in the mining industry saying this has led to growing demand for “alternative products”.

Alexander Lacik, Chief Executive Officer of Pandora told UK based media group BBC, that “the change was part of a broader sustainability drive”. He explained that Pandora is taking that direction because, “it’s the right thing to do”.

“Synthetic diamonds are also cheaper, we can essentially create the same outcome as nature has created, but at a very, very different price,” he said.

The move by Pandora, according to Industry experts, reflects a reorientation of the jewellery market brought on by the pandemic and the sentiments of younger buyers, who are more likely to factor in environmental and human rights concerns when choosing products.

“For millennials in particular, the awareness of what a lab-created diamond is, is significantly higher than with the older generation, so it’s a matter of education as well,” Alexander Lacik told American media outlet Bloomberg on Monday.

He added: “These categories of buyers are more concerned about sustainability aspects.”

WE ARE WATCHING THIS SPACE VERY CLOSELY”— DEBSWANA

Two weeks ago, Debswana, a De Beers partly owned company, said the synthetic diamond space is being monitored closely.

In a statement following a virtual stakeholder engagement meeting on the 23rd of April, 2021 Debswana Corporate Affairs said the company is keeping an eye on the new developments.

“We do watch this space very closely and also do know that De Beers does the same, overall, research shows that the size of the lab grown diamond market continues to be very small in comparison to the size of the natural diamond market (a low to mid-single digit percentage of the size,” stated the company.

Debswana said one of the key advancements with regard to lab grown diamonds in 2020 was that new production sources continued to come online, including the new De Beers owned Lightbox facility in Oregon, United States.

The increase in supply, coupled with continued advancements in technology, have seen lab grown diamonds  continue their downward price trajectory throughout 2020, the company said- citing a report by Brain- that lab-grown diamonds are  now retailing at an average of around 35% of the value of an equivalent natural diamond, down from around 65% in 2017.

In addition Debswana cited a research conducted by its parent company De Beers and other industry players that “90% of consumers want gifts that hold their value over time, and natural diamonds are seen as the top gift of this nature, above other jewellery, designer clothing or electronics”.

“Diamonds hold a symbolism, meaning and value that lab-grown diamonds do not provide as a mass-produced product of technology.”

DE BEERS SYNTHETIC DIAMOND BUSINESS

De Beers entered the retail space of synthetic diamonds space in 2018, through its jewellery brand Lightbox.

The company committed an investment of US$94 million (around P1 billion) on an Element Six production facility near Portland, Oregon, US adding to Element Six’s existing UK-based facilities.

Through its wholly owned subsidiary Element Six De Beers Group has been making diamonds in laboratories for 50 years but solely for industrial purposes.

“Lightbox will transform the lab-grown diamond sector by offering consumers a lab-grown product they have told us they want but aren’t getting: affordable fashion jewellery that may not be forever, but is perfect for right now,” said Bruce Cleaver, CEO of De Beers Group in 2018.

Cleaver said his company was making this move informed by an extensive research that signals consumers regard lab-grown diamonds as a fun, pretty product that shouldn’t cost that much.

“We see an opportunity here that’s been missed by lab-grown diamond producers. Lab-grown diamonds are a product of technology, and as we’ve seen with synthetic sapphires, rubies and emeralds, as the technology advances, products become more affordable,” he said.

Initially De Beers has had a policy against synthetic diamonds however in 2018 the global diamond giant reported that after decades of investment into the extensive Research & Development the company could now offer consumers high quality gems with customer tailored cuts that suits fashion requisites better at affordable prices.

“While it will be a small business compared with our core diamond business, we think the Lightbox brand will resonate well with consumers at the same time provide a new, complementary commercial opportunity for De Beers Group,” observed the Group CEO.

De Beers Lightbox Jewellery brand is retailing in the market, with the product uptake by consumers satisfactory.

However, De Beers reiterated in many forums that it will remain a natural diamond business. In 2019 at the Diamond Conference held in Botswana, Bruce Clever said the over 100 year old mining giant will remain a primarily “natural” diamonds business because the mine stones are forever and offer something no any other product could offer.

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