Choppies Enterprises Limited, the leading grocer in the country, has announced in a cautionary note that it is expecting profit to drop following tough trading conditions in East Africa as well as currency fluctuations that have affected their home operations.
“Choppies is currently finalising its results for the half year ended 31 December 2016, which are expected to be released on BSE and SENS on 14 March2017. The group’s EPS is expected to show a reduction of 40% – 50% from the EPS reported for the half year ended 31 December 2015.
Earnings per share will therefore be in the range of Thebe 4.08 to 4.85 compared to Thebe 8.08 last half year. The group’s HEPS is expected to show a reduction of 30% – 40% from the HEPS reported for the half year ended 31 December 2015. Headline earnings per share will therefore be in the range of Thebe 4.08 to 4.85 compared to Thebe 6.84 last half year,” said Mr. Ramachandran Ottapathu, Choppies CEO, in a note to shareholders.
Mr. Ottapathu added that Choppies, which has been aggressive on its expansion plans, will incur trading losses from new regions such as Zambia, Kenya and Tanzania. The local retail giant suffered a 48 percent drop in profit after tax in 2016 after Group operating margins were negatively impacted by the costs of establishing new geographical locations and opening new stores and distribution centres.
The leading grocer targeting budget consumers commenced operations in Zambia and Kenya in 2016, with five stores in Zambia and 8 stores in Kenya. In the same set of the full financial results for the year ended June 2016, Choppies warned that operations in these countries will remain loss making until 2017 as they continue to expand their store base and invest in operational infrastructures.
Choppies first established presence in Zambia with one store in November 2015 at a time of difficult macroeconomic conditions in the country with the downturn in the mining sector and power cuts presenting major economic and operational challenges. Choppies entered the Kenyan market with an acquisition of seven Ukwala stores, with three more Ukwala supermarkets being taken over in 2017.
Choppies acquired the 10 Ukwala Supermarket outlets in Kenya for R102 million after establishing a joint-venture with a local partner in Kenya who will operate 25% of the company’s operations. The Group has recently head hunted a senior Nakumatt Supermarkets manager to serve as chief executive of the struggling Kenyan operations. Choppies appointed Mr. Vijay Kumar, former chief financial officer at Nakumatt, a position he held since September 2009. Nakumatt is Kenya’s biggest retailer and main competitor to Choppies.
The Botswana based Choppies says Mr. Kumar will also be responsible for the retailer’s foray into the Eastern Africa region, where it plans to set foot in Tanzania with one store in the pipeline. The Group plans to grow the loss making Ukwala’s footprint fourfold in as many years to 40 stores, mainly targeting populous areas in urban areas.
The Group is also expecting losses from its South African operations, however Mr. Ottapathu said despite difficult trading conditions in that country, focussed attention resulted in an improvement with losses narrowing compared to 2016. Choppies has had a tough time in South Africa, failing to make profits ever since the company started operating in South African mining towns. In the previous year, Choppies reported that general trading in South Africa remained under severe pressure.
Mining towns, in which the company had a concentrated footprint, were hard-hit by the drop in demand for commodities and accounted for the bulk of the losses. Further, general spending power was curtailed by a stagnant economy, forcing many shoppers to rely on small social grants. Service delivery strikes and political election-related issues also contributed to the lower trading density. Choppies has been forced to change its strategy in South Africa by moving away from mining towns. The Group has since acquired 21 Jwayelani stores in KwaZulu Natal and Eastern Cape, reducing reliance on small mining towns.
Other than narrowing its losses in South Africa, Choppies has also announced that its Zimbabwean operations have returned to profitability despite trading conditions. The Group with about 30 stores in Zimbabwe has endured challenging conditions in the Zimbabwean battered economy marked by liquidity crisis and subsequent introduction of bond notes. Further complicating the matter was the import ban on certain products and Choppies’ close ties to the ruling elites in Zimbabwe.
During last year protests in the country against the import ban, Choppies was singled out by protesters as they trashed some stores and implored people to shun Choppies as it is partly owned by Mr. Phelekezela Mphoko, the other half of President Robert Mugabe’s two vice presidents. Choppies says the situation has stabilised and improved, allowing for trade to return to normal levels.
While the latest cautionary statement from Choppies makes no mention of the profitability of their Botswana operations, the statement says that operations have been affected by the strengthening of rand against the pula. The Botswana operations remain the Group’s biggest cash cow, generating the bulk of the profits. The Group says Choppies remains the market leader in Botswana, supported by extensive logistics infrastructure, further adding that the opportunity to expand formal retail in Botswana continues unabated and currently accounts for around 60% of the market.
While the group pursues regional expansion, shareholders have shown less faith in the Group’s stock after a drastic fall in stock price both in the Botswana Stock Exchange (BSE) and Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE). In 2016, the stock lost almost 50% in value in the BSE and further lost about 48% in the JSE.
Choppies now has a market capitalization of P3.2 billion, down by 28% from the market cap of P4.5 billion in June 2016. The fastest growing grocery retailer in Africa has more than 14,000 employees, more than 183 stores spread across five countries. Choppies says its expansion plans are progressing well and they expect to commence operations in Mozambique and add to their single store in Tanzania in the next few months. The Group plans to roll out at least 20 more stores in all regions by the end of 2017 financial year.
The Bulb World Chief Executive Officer (CEO) and entrepreneur, Ketshephaone Jacob has been selected as a 2021 Top 50 Africa’s Business Hero.
Jacob was chosen from a pool of 12,000 applicants – many of whom are highly-skilled and accomplished entrepreneurs.
Africa’s Business Hero, sponsored by technology entrepreneur, Jack Ma, aims to identify, support and inspire the next generation of African entrepreneurs who are making a difference in their local communities, working to solve the most pressing problems, and building a more sustainable and inclusive economy for the future.
The initiative is as inclusive as possible and applications were open in English and French to entrepreneurs from all African countries, all sectors, and all ages who operate businesses formally registered and headquartered in an African country, and that have a 3 year-track record.
Every year, finalists are selected to compete in the ABH finale pitch competition and participate in a TV Show that will be broadcast online and across the continent.
The finalists will compete for a share of US $1.5 million in grant money.
The Bulb World, is home grown LED light manufacturing company, which was partly funded by Citizen Entrepreneurial Development Agency (CEDA) at the tune of P4 million, to manufacture LED lighting bulbs for both commercial and residential use in 2017.
The Bulb World operate from the Special Economic Zone of Selibe Phikwe. Early this year, The BulB World announced its expansion to South Africa, setting in motion its ambitious Africa expansion plan.
During the first quarter of 2021, production in Botswana’s economic nucleus- the mining sector contracted by 12 percent. This is according to Mining Production Index released by Statistics Botswana this week.
The country’s central data body revealed that Index of Mining production stood at 74.4 during the first quarter of 2021, showing a negative year on-year growth of 12.0 percent, from 84.6 registered during the first quarter of 2020.
The main contributor to the decline in mining production came from the Diamonds sector, which contributed negative 11.7 percentage points. Soda Ash was the only positive contributor in the mining production, contributing 0.1 of a percentage point. However Soda Ash’s contribution was insignificant to offset the negative contribution made by Diamonds.
The quarter-on-quarter analysis by Statistics Botswana experts shows an increase of 16.3 percent from the index of 64.0 during the fourth quarter of 2020 to 74.4 observed during the period under review.
Diamond production decreased by 12.1 percent during the first quarter of 2021 compared to the same quarter of the previous year. The decrease was as a result of planned strategy to align production with weaker trading conditions mostly linked to Covid-19 protocols restrictions.
Botswana’s diamond sector is underpinned by Debswana, the country’s flagship rough producer- a 50-50 joint venture between government and global mining giant De Beers Group. The other producer is Canadian based Lucara Diamond Corp through its wholly owned Karowe Mine which is a relatively small but significant production that has made a name for itself worldwide with rare diamond recoveries of unprecedented carat size.
On the other hand, quarter-on quarter analysis shows that production has improved, registering a positive growth of 17.5 percent during the first quarter of 2021 compared to the preceding quarter – 2020 Q4.
Though production was significantly lower in the first quarter, the two producers ended Q2 with rare diamond recoveries. Debswana early last month found the world’s third largest gem diamond – weighing 1098 carat at Jwaneng Mine, its flagship gem quality diamonds producer, also regarded the world’s richest diamond mine.
A week later Lucara announced its second biggest recovery, the 1174 carat clivage near-gem dug from its Karowe Mine. The diamond is the world third in carat size after the plus-3000 carat Cullinan found in South Africa back in 1905 and the 1758 carat Sewelo unearthed at its Karowe mine in 2019. Debswana and Lucara are investing billions of pulas in underground mining projects to extend the life of its mines, Jwaneng & Karowe respectively.
In terms of Gold which is produced at Mupani mine near Botswana’s second city of Francistown output decreased by 17.9 percent during the first quarter of 2021 compared to the same quarter of the previous year.
Similarly, quarter-on-quarter analysis reflects that production decreased by 21.4 percent during the first quarter of 2021, compared to the preceding quarter. The decrease was as a result of the deteriorating lifespan of the mine as well as the impact of COVID-19 which slowed down the mining activities.
Soda Ash production increased by 11.1 percent during the first quarter of 2021 compared to the same quarter of the previous year. In terms of quarter-on-quarter Soda Ash production also showed an increase, picking up by 2.1 percent during the period under review. The increase in production is attributable to the effectiveness of the plant following refurbishment which occurred in the third quarter of 2020.
Salt production decreased by 34.0 percent during the first quarter of 2021, compared to the same quarter of the previous year. Similarly, the quarter-on-quarter analysis shows that salt production registered a decrease of 32.9 percent during the period under review. Both salt and Sodash are produced by partly government owned Botswana Ash (BotsAsh) operating from Sowa town near Makgadikgadi pans.
Coal production decreased by 11.2 percent during the first quarter of 2021, compared to the corresponding quarter of the previous year. The decrease was attributed to the reduced demand from Morupule B Power Station following the remedial works being undertaken, as one boiler was in operation during the period under review.
Although production fell, Statistics Botswana says there was no shortfall in supply of coal due to stockpiling. On the other hand, the quarter-on-quarter comparison shows that coal production increased by 20.4 percent compared to the preceding quarter.
Botswana’s flagship coal producer is Morupule Coal Mine; a wholly state owned mining company located in Palapye producing primarily for Botswana Power Corporation (BPC)’s power generation plants Morupule A & B.
The other coal producer is Botswana Stock Exchange listed Minergy which operates a 390 MT Coal Resource mine in Masama near Media in the southwestern edge of the Mmamabula Coalfields.
Department of Mines in the Ministry of Mineral Resources, Green Technology & Energy Security has awarded mining licence to Tshukudu Metals-a subsidiary of Aussie firm Sandfire Resources ,giving the company a green light to start piecing the ground at its Motheo Copper Project near Gantsi.
Lefoko Moagi, minister in charge of mineral resources in Botswana confirmed to weekendpost on Tuesday. Minister Moagi revealed that “the licence has been approved , but Sandfire Resources as a listed company will report to its shareholders and investors then make an official public statement” he said.
Based on a forecast copper price of US$3.16/lb (reflecting current long-term consensus pricing) the Base Case 3.2Mtpa – Ghantsi copper project is forecast to generate US$664 million (over P7 billion) in pre-tax free cash-flow and US$987 million (over P10 billion) in EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Tax, Depreciation and Amortisation), at a forecast all-in sustaining cost of US$1.76/lb over its first 10 years of operations.
In December 2020, the Board of Sandfire Resources approved the commercial development of the Motheo Copper Mine located in the Kalahari Copper Belt in Botswana, marking a key step in its transformation into a global, diversified, and sustainable mining company.
Tshukudu Metals Botswana (Pty) Limited (Tshukudu) a 100% owned subsidiary will be the owner and operator of the Motheo Copper Mine which is scheduled to produce up to 30,000 tonnes per annum of copper in concentrate over a 12 year mine life.TMB is targeting development of its Motheo Copper Mine in 2021 and 2022, with its first production in 2023.
GOVERNMENT NOT TAKING UP 15 % STAKE ON OFFER
Beginning of this year presentations were made to the Department of Mines as part of the Mining Licence approval process and to the Ghanzi Regional Council, additional information was requested by Department of Mines in April and was duly supplied by the company.
As part of the Mining Licence approval process, the Government of Botswana has a right to acquire up to a 15% fully contributing interest in all mining projects locally. Quizzed on whether government through Mineral Development Corporation Botswana (MDCB) would be taking up stake in the project Minister Moagi said, “No consideration is being made on that regard”.
“Government is not considering taking up a stake in the Ghantsi Copper Mine project, every opportunity is assessed on all risks, but Government makes money all the while from leases, taxes and royalties, remember if you take stake you are liable for liabilities of the project as well,” Moagi said.
Last month Sandfire announced that it has awarded over P5 billion worth mining contract to African Mining Services (AMS), a subsidiary of Perenti, to deliver the open cast operation.
The contract, which has an estimated value of US$496 million (over 5 billion), is the largest single operational contract for the new Motheo Project covering a period of 7 years and 3 months, with provision for a one-year extension.
The contract according to Sandfire Resources was awarded following a competitive 3-stage tender process which saw a number of key factors taken into consideration when selecting the preferred contractor.
These included Citizen Economic Empowerment, safety culture, equipment suitability and availability, commercial terms and identified improvement opportunities. Under the terms of the contract, AMS has agreed to form a 70:30 Joint Venture with a suitable local Botswana partner or partners.
The JV is expected to be finalized ahead of commencement of mining in early 2022. African Mining Services has been operating in Africa for over 30 years. AMS’ parent company, ASX listed diversified mining services group Perenti, already has a presence in Botswana through Barminco, their underground mining division, at the large-scale Khoemacau Copper Mine located 200km north-east of Motheo.
Last month Sandfire executives said the award of the open pit mining contract represents another key milestone in advancing the Motheo Project towards production, with all components of the contract in line with the key parameters outlined in the December 2020 Definitive Feasibility Study (DFS).
The company said full-scale construction of the US$279 million (over P 3 billion ) mine development is expected to commence immediately upon receipt of the Mining Licence, with mining scheduled to commence in early 2022 ahead of first production in early 2023. This week Sandfire Resources advertised over 10 positions in calling on applications from geologists, mining engineers and geotechnical engineers.
The Motheo mine has an initial mine life of 12.5 years based on production from the T3 pit. The initial development is expected to generate approximately 1,000 jobs during the construction phase and 600 direct full-time jobs during operations, with at least 95% of the total mine workforce expected to be made of up of Botswana citizens.
Later in the week Sandfire Resources announced in the company website that it has received the licence. Sandfire’s Managing Director and CEO, Mr Karl Simich, said the award of the Mining Licence represented a major milestone that would see a significant increase in construction and development activities on site.
“We are absolutely delighted to now be in a position to move to full-scale construction at Motheo, with our construction crews expected to mobilise to site over the next few days. I would like to thank the Government of Botswana for their support throughout the approvals process, which will see Motheo come on-stream in 2023 as one of very few new copper mines commencing production globally.”
Simich said the project is expected to generate approximately 1,000 jobs during construction and 600 full-time jobs during operations, and represents the foundation for Sandfire’s long-term growth plans in Botswana.
“Our vision is that Motheo will form the centre of a new, long-life copper production hub in in the central portion of the world-class Kalahari Copper Belt, where we hold an extensive ground-holding spanning Botswana and Namibia,” he said.