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P8 billion budget deficit projected

Matambo decries misuse and reckless spending by Government

The Minister of Finance and Economic Development Kenneth Matambo has warned that the 2018/19 budget will carry a deficit of around 8 billion pula primarily due to continued slow growth in revenues and increased expenditure pressures.


Minister Matambo revealed the development to stakeholders at a Budget Pitso on Tuesday. Government had also expected the first three financial years of National Development Plan 11 to run on budget deficit.


According to the minister, growth in total revenue had been restrained by relatively weak commodity prices.


Reading from the Budget Strategy Paper, a blueprint for the budget produced annually at least three months before the Budget Speech, Matambo noted clearly the need to apply strict fiscal discipline throughout the public sector if government is to contain the expected budget deficits in the medium term, given the constrained resources envelope.


Minister Matambo further advised against misuse of resources and reckless spending by government arms and department encouraging the citizenry and civil service to efficiently and effectively deploy government limited resources to provide the necessary economic infrastructure needed for growth and basic social services.


The Finance Minister told attendants that government will closely monitor expenditure and exit funds during the 2018/2019 financial year to ensure that the limited resources and funds are put to good use.


“The projected global growth rates for 2017 and 2018 although higher than 2016 are below the pre-crisis averages, especially for most advanced economies and for commodity-exporting emerging and developing economies,” he said.


It also emerged at the meeting that to avoid being caught up in the vicious circle of deficits and debt, there was need for continued focus on prudent management of expenditure in order to achieve goals envisioned under national priority areas identified in the National Development Plan (NDP) 11.


Government emphasized its acting plan as stated in NDP 11 which clearly states the need to tackle the problem of reducing or eliminating abject poverty, creating sustainable employment opportunities and improving income inequality. Botswana’s income inequality is ranked amongst the worst in the world indicating a concerning difference between the rich and the poor.


Matambo also highlighted that the domestic economy had rebounded to register a positive growth rate of 4.3 per cent in 2016, after experiencing mild recession in 2015. He noted that the national economic growth momentum was anticipated to continue in 2017 and 2018 as the economy is expected to register a growth rate of 4.7 per cent and 5.3 per cent respectively.


“The growth rate will largely be supported by the services sector,” he said. The inflation rate was said to have been stable and projected to remain as such in the medium term, within the Bank of Botswana objective range of three to six per cent. Notwithstanding the inflation rate stability it was cautioned that the rebound in commodity prices and food prices posed upside risks to the inflation outlook.


Economic and Financial Policy Secretary in the Ministry of Finance Dr Taufila Nyamadzabo said that Botswana’s economy was stable and impressively recovering from the recent economic meltdown.


Dr Nyamadzabo reiterated Matambo’s sentiments that after recording a decline of -1.7 per cent in 2015, the domestic economy recovered strongly to register a positive growth of 4.3 per cent in 2016.


He observed that the positive rebound in the domestic economy was largely due to the improvement in the trade, Hotels and restaurants as well as transport and communications sectors, which recorded positive growth rates of 13.5 per cent and 5.6 per cent respectively.


The growth in the trade, hotels and restaurants sector was mainly driven by the downstream diamond industries, which contributed significantly to the wholesale sub-sector.


The Financial Policy think tank reiterated that the water and electricity sector, which supported other sectors, registered a higher growth of 123.0 per cent in 2016, but its contribution to the Gross Domestic Product was insignificant. Other sectors, which recorded positive growth rates in 2016, were construction with 4.2 per cent and finance and banking services with 3.8 per cent.


The agriculture and mining sectors, however recorded negative growth rates in 2016 with the latter mainly due to the decline in the copper production as well as the provisional liquidation of the BCL Mine in October last year.


The mining sector was expected to recover in line with the positive global economic prospects, while the other sectors would continue to benefit from the implementation of the Economic Stimulus Programme (ESP) adopted by government to boost economic growth and create employment opportunities.


In terms of domestic economic outlook, Dr Nyamadzabo noted that the GDP was projected to grow by 4.7 per cent, 5.3 per cent and 5.0 per cent in 2017, 2018 and 2019 receptively.


Stakeholders were told that the average economic growth during the National Development Plan 10 was 3.9% per annum, which was slightly above the 3.3 per cent target, but below the 7.5 per cent Vision 2016 target.


Experts have noted that  some downside risks that come with positive global economic outlook, which among others include structural problems such as low productivity growth and high income inequality would negatively impact Botswana’s economic growth is not accommodated for by budgets and fiscal projections.

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Business

Investors inject capital into Tsodilo Resources Company

25th January 2023

Local diamond and metal exploration company Tsodilo Resources Limited has negotiated a non-brokered private placement of 2,200, 914 units of the company at a price per unit of 0.20 US Dollars, which will provide gross proceeds to the company in the amount of C$440, 188. 20.

According to a statement from the group, proceeds from the private placement will be used for the betterment of the Xaudum iron formation project in Botswana and general corporate purposes.

The statement says every unit of the company will consist of a common share in the capital of the company and one Common Share purchase warrant of the company.

Each warrant will enable a holder to make a single purchase for the period of 24 months at an amount of $0.20. As per regularity requirements, the group indicates that the common shares and warrants will be subject to a four month plus a day hold period from date of closure.

Tsodilo is exempt from the formal valuation and minority shareholder approval requirements. This is for the reason that the fair market value of the private placement, insofar as it involves the director, is not more than 25% of the company’s market capitalization.

Tsodilo Resources Limited is an international diamond and metals exploration company engaged in the search for economic diamond and metal deposits at its Bosoto Limited and Gcwihaba Resources projects in Botswana.  The company has a 100% stake in Bosoto which holds the BK16 kimberlite project in the Orapa Kimberlite Field (OKF) in Botswana.

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Business

Global CEOs Back Plan to Unlock $3.4 Trillion Potential of Africa Free Trade Area

23rd January 2023

African heads of state and global CEOs at the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting backed the launch of the first of its kind report on how public-private partnerships can support the implementation of the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA).

AfCFTA: A New Era for Global Business and Investment in Africa outlines high-potential sectors, initiatives to support business and investment, operational tools to facilitate the AfCFTA, and illustrative examples from successful businesses in Africa to guide businesses in entering and expanding in this area.

The report aims to provide a pathway for global businesses and investors to understand the biggest trends, opportunities and strategies to successfully invest and achieve high returns in Africa, developing local, sub-regional and continental value chains and accelerating industrialization, all of which go hand in hand with the success of the AfCFTA.

The AfCFTA is the largest free trade area in the world, by area and number of participating countries. Once fully implemented, it will be the fifth-largest economy in the world, with the potential to have a combined GDP of more than $3.4 trillion. Conceived in 2018, it now has 54 national economies in Africa, could attract billions in foreign investment, and boost overseas exports by a third, double intra-continental trade, raise incomes by 8% and lift 50 million people out of poverty.

To ease the pain of transition to its new single market, Africa has learned from trade liberalization in North America and Europe. “Our wide range of partners and experience can help anticipate and mitigate potential disruptions in business and production dynamics,” said Børge Brende, President, and World Economic Forum. “The Forum’s initiatives will help to ease physical, capital and digital flows in Africa through stakeholder collaboration, private-public collaboration and information-sharing.”

Given the continent’s historically low foreign direct investment relative to other regions, the report highlights the sense of excitement as the AfCFTA lowers or removes barriers to trade and competitiveness. “The promising gains from an integrated African market should be a signal to investors around the world that the continent is ripe for business creation, integration and expansion,” said Chido Munyati, Head of Regional Agenda, Africa, World Economic Forum.

The report focuses on four key sectors that have a combined worth of $130 billion and represent high-potential opportunities for companies looking to invest in Africa: automotive; agriculture and agroprocessing; pharmaceuticals; and transport and logistics.

“Macro trends in the four key sectors and across Africa’s growth potential reveal tremendous opportunities for business expansion as population, income and connectivity are on the rise,” said Wamkele Mene, Secretary-General, AfCFTA Secretariat.

“These projections reveal an unprecedented opportunity for local and global businesses to invest in African countries and play a vital role in the development of crucial local and regional value chains on the continent,” said Landry Signé, Executive Director and Professor, Thunderbird School of Global Management and Co-Chair, World Economic Forum Regional Action Group for Africa.

The Forum is actively working towards implementing trade and investment tools through initiatives, such as Friends of the Africa Continental Free Trade Area, to align with the negotiation process of the AfCFTA. It identifies areas where public-private collaboration can help reduce barriers and facilitate investment from international firms.

About the World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2023

The World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2023 convenes the world’s foremost leaders under the theme, Cooperation in a Fragmented World. It calls on world leaders to address immediate economic, energy and food crises while laying the groundwork for a more sustainable, resilient world. For further information,

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Business

Electricity generation down 15.8%

9th January 2023

Electricity generation in Botswana during the third quarter of 2022 declined by 15.8%, following operational challenges at Botswana Power Corporation’ Morupule B power plant, according to Statistics Botswana Index of Electricity Generation (IEG) released last week.

The index shows that local electricity generation decreased by 148,243 MWH from 937,597 MWH during the second quarter of 2022 to 789,354 MWH during the third of quarter of 2022.

This decrease, according to the index, was mainly attributed to a decline in power supply realized at Morupule B power station. The index shows that as a result of low power supply from the plant, imported electricity during the third quarter of 2022 increased by 76.3 percent (123,831 MWH), from 162,340 MWH during the second quarter of 2022 to 286,171 MWH during the current quarter and Statistics Botswana added that the increase was necessitated by the need to augment the shortfall in generated electricity.

In the index Statistics Botswana stated that Eskom was the main source of imported electricity at 42.0 percent of total electricity imports. “The Southern African Power Pool (SAPP) accounted for 38.4 percent, while the remaining 10.1, 9.1 and 0.5 percent were sourced from Electricidade de Mozambique (EDM), Cross-border electricity markets and the Zambia Electricity Supply Corporation Limited (ZESCO), respectively. Cross-border electricity markets are arrangements whereby towns and villages along the border are supplied with electricity from neighbouring countries such as Namibia and Zambia.”

The government owned statistics entity stated that distributed electricity decreased by 2.2 percent (24,412 MWH), from 1,099,937 MWH during the second quarter of 2022 to 1,075,525 MWH during the third quarter of 2022. The entity noted that electricity generated locally contributed 73.4 percent to electricity distributed during the third quarter of 2022, compared to a contribution of 85.2 percent during the third quarter in 2022 and added that this gives a decline of 11.8 percentage points. “The quarter-on-quarter comparison shows that the contribution of electricity generated to electricity distributed decreased by 11.8 percentage points compared to the 85.2 percent contribution during the second quarter of 2022.”

Statistics Botswana meanwhile stated that the year-on-year analysis shows some improvement in local electricity generation. Recent figures from entity show that the physical volume of electricity generated increased by 36.3 percent (210,319 MWH), from 579, 036 MWH during the third quarter of 2021 to 789,354 MWH during the current quarter. According to Statistics Botswana electricity generated locally contributed 73.4 percent to electricity distributed during the third quarter of 2022, compared to a contribution of 57.7 percent during the same quarter in 2021. This gives an increase of 15.7 percentage points.

 

The entity noted that trends also show an increase in physical volume of electricity distributed from 2013 to the third quarter of 2022, thereby indicating that there are ongoing efforts to meet the domestic demand for power. “There has been a gradual increase of distributed electricity from the first quarter of 2013 to the third quarter of 2022, even though there are fluctuations. The year-on-year perspective shows that the amount of distributed electricity increased by 7.2 percent (71,787 MHW), from 1,003,738 MWH during the third quarter of 2021 to 1,075,525 MWH during the current quarter.”

The statistics entity noted that year-on-year analysis show that during the third quarter of 2022, the physical volume of imported electricity decreased by 32.6 percent (138,532 MWH), from 424,703 MWH during the third quarter of 2021 to 286,171 MWH during the third quarter of 2022. “There is a downward trend in the physical volume of imported electricity from the first quarter of 2013 to the third quarter of 2022. The downward trend indicates the country’s continued effort to generate adequate electricity to meet domestic demand, hence the decreased reliance on electricity imports.”

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