Outgoing President, Lt Gen Ian Khama has this week revealed his plans for his life after retiring from the office at the end of March next year, and his plans would continue to make his ever domineering stature light up.
If there have been any thoughts that Khama would slip into obscurity after his presidency, perhaps it is time to start thinking again. It looks like Khama post presidency years would be dominated by public life activities; perhaps he would be busier than during his presidency both at party and national level.
Khama, the son of the iconic founding president of Botswana, Sir Seretse Khama, arrived at the Botswana Democratic Party (BDP) nearly 20 years ago. His arrival was on the back of a recommendation by the findings of the famous Schlemmer Report.
Professor Lawrence Schlemmer had been engaged by the ruling BDP, abetted infamously by the De Beers, to offer prognosis on the future of the party owing to its 1994 General Elections dismal performance and factional infightings. Schlemmer recommended that the party bring someone with a strong character and who was not tainted by factions in the party. That description then fitted Ian Khama.
Only 45 years at that time, Khama’s arrival in the party saw his stature during his tenure as Vice President dominating that of his predecessor and his boss then, Dr Festus Mogae. This week, Khama assured the multitudes at the Moshupa-Mmanyana constituency that though he is leaving the Office of the President, his public service duties will continue.
He revealed that the cabinet has resolved to appoint him the champion of Vision 2036, a role that will see him travelling around the country engaging citizens on the values and spirit of the vision. If that is not enough, he was also chosen by the Minister of Youth Empowerment, Sports and Culture Development, Thapelo Olopeng to be the patron of Arts and Culture. Khama is also patron for Botswana Football Association (BFA), Botswana Softball Association and Botswana Volleyball Association.
For his departure he is also taking along with him the Presidential Housing Appeal but it will be renamed ‘since there would be a new president.’ Khama revealed that his Presidential Housing Appeal has seen donation of over 800 houses during his presidency.
“I am leaving my post as president as you have already heard, but I would continue with my public service duties. I am going to be the champion of Vision 2036. I have been elected by the cabinet to teach Batswana about the 2036 and I would be engaging you in Kgotla meetings in near future,” said President Khama. Khama would continue be a chancellor for Botswana University of Agriculture and Natural Resources (BUAN). Khama was appointed the chancellor of the university in October this year.
Khama has already revealed previously that he will lead the 2019 general elections campaign. Khama’s willingness to stick around and work for both the party and government has seen many suggesting that he could also be offered the party chairmanship next year, which would become vacant with the ascendance of Masisi to the Presidency.
It is reported that Khama’s close ally, and party Chairperson of Electoral Board, Parks Tafa had suggested to the party central committee back in 2015 that they use Khama as the man who lead the party campaign in 2019 because of the popularity that he still enjoys among the populace of the country.
The retirement of Khama next year will be a watershed moment for the tribe of Bangwato, which has been under regency chieftainship since the death of Sekgoma II in 1925. The Bangwato tribe, the largest and most influential tribe in Botswana will for the first time in almost a century have the opportunity to have a substantive chief since 1925.
Ian Khama (or Khama IV) is the Kgosi of Bangwato but has not been unable to take over the throne ever since being pronounced the chief of the tribe in 1979. â€¨At the time when he was pronounced the chief of Bangwato he was serving in the military as Brigadier General and also army Deputy Commander. Previously, his father was also unable to take the throne first owing to his controversial marriage to British national Ruth Williams, and secondly due to his decision to engage in national politics during the formative years of Botswana.
This week however Khama has said as part of his post presidency roles, he will assist the Bangwato Regent, Kgosi Sediegeng Kgamane in issues relating to chieftanship. His father, never took over the throne too, owing to a scandal he was embroiled – that is his disputed marriage to Ruth Williams, and later to his involvement in national politics. If Ian Khama does not take the throne next year, as he suggested, it would be the 93rd year of Bangwato chieftainship under regency.
The United States (US) will on the 3rd of November 2020 chose between incumbent Donald Trump of the Republicans and former Vice President Joe Biden of the Democrats amid the coronavirus pandemics, which has affected how voting is conducted in the world’s biggest economy.
Trump (74) seeks re-election after trouncing Hillary Clinton in 2016, while Biden (77) is going for his first shot as Democratic nominee after previous unsuccessful spells.
US Presidents mostly succeed in their re-election bid, but there have been nine individuals who failed to garner a second term mandate, the latest being George W H. Bush, a Republican who served as the 41st US President between 1989 and 1993.
Dr Mark Rozell, a Dean of the School of Policy and Government at George Mason University in Arlington, Virginia describes the complex US electoral system that will deliver the winner at the 3rd November elections.
“The founders of our Republic de-centralised authority significantly in creating our constitutional system, which means that they gave an enormous amount of independent power and authority to State and local governments,” Dr Rozell told international media on Elections 2020 Virtual Reporting Tour.
Unlike parliamentary democracies, like Botswana the United States does not have all of the national government elected in one year. They do not have what is commonly called mandate elections where the entire federal government is elected all in one election cycle giving a “mandate” to a particular political party to lead, and instead US have what are called staggered elections, elections over time.
The two house Congress, members of the House of Representatives have two-year long terms of office. Every two years the entire House of Representatives is up for re-election, but senators serve for six years and one third of the Senate is elected every two years.
For this election cycle, US citizens will be electing the President and Vice
President, the entire House of Representatives and one third of the open or contested seats in the Senate, whereas two thirds are still fulfilling the remainder of their terms beyond this year.
An important facet of US electoral system to understand given the federalism nature of the republic, the US elect presidents State by State, therefore they do not have a national popular vote for the presidency.
“We have a national popular vote total that says that Hillary Clinton got three million more votes than Donald Trump or in Year 2000 that Al Gore got a half million more votes than George W. Bush, but we have what is called a State by State winner takes all system where each State is assigned a number of electors to our Electoral College and the candidate who wins the popular vote within each State takes 100 percent of the electors to the Electoral College,” explained Dr Rozell.
“And that is why mathematically, it is possible for someone to win the popular vote but lose the presidency.”
Dr Rozell indicated that in 2016, Hillary Clinton won very large popular majorities in some big population States like California, but the system allows a candidate to only have to win a State by one vote to win a 100 percent of its electors, the margin does not matter.
“Donald Trump won many more States by smaller margins, hence he got an Electoral College majority.”
Another interesting features by the way of US constitutional system, according to Dr Rozell, but extremely rare, is what is called the faithless elector.
“That’s the elector to the Electoral College who says, ‘I’m not going to vote the popular vote in my State, I think my State made a bad decision and I’m going to break with the popular vote,’’ Dr Rozell said.
“That’s constitutionally a very complicated matter in our federalism system because although the federal constitution says electors may exercise discretion, most States have passed State laws making it illegal for any elector to the Electoral College to break faith with the popular vote of that State, it is a criminal act that can be penalized if one is to do that. And we just had an important Supreme Court case that upheld the right of the states to impose and to enforce this restriction”
There are 538 electors at the Electoral College, 270 is the magic number, the candidate who gets 270 or more becomes President of the United States.
If however there are more candidates, and this happens extremely rarely, and a third candidate got some electors to the Electoral College denying the two major party candidates, either one getting a majority, nobody gets 270 or more, then the election goes to the House of Representatives and the House of Representatives votes among the top three vote getters as to who should be the next President.
“You’d have to go back to the early 19th century to have such a scenario, and that’s not going to happen this year unless there is a statistical oddity, which would be a perfect statistical tie of 269 to 269 which could happen but you can just imagine how incredibly unlikely that is,” stated Dr Rozell.
BLUE STATES vs RED STATES
Since the 2000 United States presidential election, red states and blue states have referred to states of the United States whose voters predominantly choose either the Republican Party (red) or Democratic Party (blue) presidential candidates.
Many states have populations that are so heavily concentrated in the Democratic party or the Republican party that there is really no competition in those states.
California is a heavily Democratic State, so is New York and Maryland. It is given that Joe Biden will win those states. Meanwhile Texas, Florida and Alabama are republicans. So, the candidates will spent no time campaigning in those states because it is already a given.
However there are swing states, where there is a competition between about five and 10 states total in each election cycle that make a difference, and that is where the candidates end up spending almost all of their time.
“So it ends up making a national contest for the presidency actually look like several state-wide contests with candidates spending a lot of time talking about State and local issues in those parts of the country,” said Dr Rozell.
High Commissioner of the Federal Government of Nigeria to Botswana, His Excellency Umar Zainab Salisu, has challenged President Dr Mokgweetsi Masisi to move swiftly and lobby Africa’s richest man, Nigerian Billionaire, Aliko Dangote to invest in Botswana.
Speaking during a meeting with President Masisi at Office of President on Thursday Zainab Salisu said Dangote has expressed massive interest in setting up billion dollar industries in Botswana. “We have a lot of investors who wish to come and invest in Botswana , when we look at Botswana we don’t see Botswana itself , but we are lured by its geographic location , being in the centre of Southern Africa presents a good opportunity for strategic penetration into other markets of the region,” said Salisu.
As murder cases and violent incidents involving couples and or lovers continue to be recorded daily, Specially Elected Member of Parliament, Dr Unity Dow has called for more funding of non-governmental organizations and accelerated action from government to come up with laws that could inhibit would-be perpetrators of crimes related to Gender Based Violence (GBV).
Just after Dr Dow had deposited her views on this subject with this reporter, a young man in Molepolole opened fire on a married woman he was having an affair with; and ended her life instantly. While it is this heinous cases that get projected to the public space, the former minister argues that the secrecy culture is keeping other real GBV cases under wraps in many spaces in the country.
The former Minister of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation said there is GBV all the time in all kinds of places. “We have become accustomed to stories of rapes, marital rapes, defilement of children, beatings and psychological violence and even killings,” she said.
Gender-based violence is a phenomenon deeply rooted in gender inequality, Dow is worried that there is absolutely no social punishment for perpetrators; they will continue to have the same friends, jobs, wives, homes, as before. Yet another factor, she said, is that there is little or no “justice” for victims of GBV.
The renowned activist said justice for GBV victims is not just the jailing of the perpetrator. “Justice for victims means an agile, victim-friendly, accessible (time, money and procedures) and restorative justice system.”
Asked what could be leading to a spike in Gender Based Violence cases or incidents, she observed that there is no one factor to which this spike can be attributed. “The most obvious factor is stress as a result of economic distress and or poverty. Poverty makes one vulnerable and open to compromises that they would otherwise not make. For perpetrators with anger management issues, economic stress leads to lashing out to those closest to them. Another factor is the disintegration of families and family values,” she opined.
According to Dow, no government anywhere in the world is doing enough, period. “We know the places and spaces where women and girls are unsafe. We know the challenges they face in their attempts to exit those spaces and places.” The former Judge of the High Court said GBV undermines the health, dignity, security and autonomy of its victims, yet it remains shrouded in the culture of silence.
Asked what could be done to arrest GBV cases, Dow said it is critical to involve and fund civil society organizations. She observed that much of the progress done in the area of women’s human rights was during the time when Botswana had strong and funded civil society organizations.
“The funding dried up when Botswana was declared a middle-income country but unfortunately external funding was not replaced by local funding,” she acknowledged.
Further Dow said relevant government institutions must be funded and strengthened.
“Thirdly, create a society in which it is not okay to humiliate, rape, beat or kill women. You create this by responding to GBV the same way we have responded to livestock theft. We need to create agile mechanisms that hear cases quickly and allow for the removal of suspected perpetrators from their homes, work places, boards, committees, etc.”
The former Minister said the much anticipated Inter-Ministerial Task Force on Gender Based Violence will have its work cut out for it. According to Dow, GBV is not just a justice issue, it’s not just a gender issue, but rather an issue that cuts across health, education, labour, economic, housing and politics. “As long as any one believes it is someone else’s problem, we will all have the problem,” she said.
In her view, Dow said every work, educational and other place must have a GBV Policy and/or Code of Conduct. “It is important that we acknowledge that the majority of men are law-abiding. The problem is their silence, in the face of injustice,” she observed.