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Masisi rebukes Guma, Sadique

Attempts by Vice President Mokgweetsi Masisi to intervene in the row involving Tati East legislator, Samson Moyo Guma and Minister of Mineral Resources, Green Technology and Energy Security, Advocate Sadique Kebonang hit a snag this week as Kebonang failed to attend a party meeting organised by the VP to deal with the feud.

Last week, the duo was involved in an online spat. The exchange followed Guma’s utterances in parliament, in the absence of Kebonang who chose to respond via social media instead. The two legislators’ feud is resultant of the landmark case regarding the misuse of the P250 million of the National Petroleum Fund (NPF).

According to reports reaching WeekendPost the Vice President decided to step in because he is worried the two MP’s public row could cost the party particularly at next year’s general elections. Sources close to developments quote Masisi as having said: “We are leaders and we should behave as such, not casually like it is the case. BDP is the only party and we should discuss such things as it might cost us big time in the future.”

Botswana Democratic Party (BDP) chief whip Liakat Kablay confirmed that this week’s party meeting was purely meant to address the duo’s squabbles. “As a party we should be united especially in public fora and the intention was to call both Sadique and Guma to reconcile them unfortunately the former was on an official trip to London so the matter could not go any further.” The VP has reportedly taken the issue to heart and it is expected that the two will be called again next week to appear before him (Masisi) and smoke a peace pipe.

THE EXCHANGE…

“Honourable minister kindly put your house in order before you talk of increasing fuel prices. Put your house in order with regards to the National Petroleum Fund (NPF). We are not saying anyone is corrupt but what is happening at your ministry is pure thuggery. As the minister, the buck stops with you," Moyo said when responding to the budget proposal by Minister Kebonang.

Kebonang who had kept quiet for some time took to Facebook and posted in response to Moyo: “Guma has the tendency to malign people’s characters. Just a few years ago he had a case of money laundering. Nobody asked him to resign. Was he an embarrassment to the party and the country? Once he also threatened to resign from parliament. He didn’t. He carries himself like this angel of high moral standards when he is far from it. He is no saint and a role model. One doesn’t even know his educational background even though he likes to claim to be this sophisticated accountant and auditor. This is a man who never lasted as assistant minister or even chairman of the party. I have come to the conclusion that he is not mentally stable and is very silly.”

According to the sources, the party is equally shocked by the two’s public squabbles as they have always been close allies. While others within the BDP suggested that this could be a gimmick by the MPs for them to win the heart of the incoming president and position themselves better for the impending cabinet reshuffle, Guma has always been clear that he doesn’t want any ministerial portfolio. On the other hand it is said Kebonang is worried the same allegations may hamper his return to the ministerial seat either after the inauguration of Masisi or post the general elections. 

“I’m not going to be afraid to speak about the National Petroleum Fund just because the minister is somewhere out there posting about me on Facebook. It does not matter and am not scared of a graduate of some mental asylum. I repeat he must resign. As we sit here the NPF has not been audited for 2 years. I will not fear to talk about him because he will write on Facebook. In fact he needs to come here to parliament,” Moyo said in parliament.

Maele mum over dustbin money

Meanwhile at the same meeting, it was also expected that Minister of Land Management, Water and Sanitation Services, Prince Maele would clear his name regarding the dustbin saga, but he is said to have avoided commenting all together. “He didn’t say anything and there was no pressure for him to say anything but we thought he would say something regarding the recent dustbin drama and if possible other reports that have implicated him. The thing is you can’t understand him, sometimes he is jolly and going around greeting others and at times he is just tough, so no one could bother him at the meeting since he was hard again,” a source highlighted.

But elsewhere Minister Maele has made his position clear. He has pointed out that the P50 000 loot found at his vacant residence inside a dustbin was a setup and he has named his suspects. Maele believes that he is a threat to some in the BDP and they are trying all tricks to have him removed as Minister and by extension from his constituency. He has vowed to clear his name.

With these scandals threatening the ruling party, Members of Parliament have cautioned the incoming president to be careful when selecting his cabinet. “The thing we have been talking about is when Masisi assumes power he should be cautious about who he chooses for his cabinet. He must avoid young boys; this is a senior position that should be given to a mature person. Again he should look at the background of the potential ministers, you can’t put a hungry person there and not expect corruption and these other bad things which tarnish the image of the party,” a source cautioned.

These reports and many more which are threatening BDP’s rule are expected to be discussed at length at the party’s 54th National council this weekend (Friday& Saturday). The party is said to be treating the matter with sensitivity hence the decision to deal with the issues at their internal meeting. “Some questions are expected to be fielded at the national council because party members want to know and for sure they will ask questions,” Kablay said.

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Understanding the US Electoral College and key election issues 

28th October 2020
Mark J Rozell

The United States (US) will on the 3rd of November 2020 chose between incumbent Donald Trump of the Republicans and former Vice President Joe Biden of the Democrats amid the coronavirus pandemics, which has affected how voting is conducted in the world’s biggest economy.

Trump (74) seeks re-election after trouncing Hillary Clinton in 2016, while Biden (77) is going for his first shot as Democratic nominee after previous unsuccessful spells.

US Presidents mostly succeed in their re-election bid, but there have been nine individuals who failed to garner a second term mandate, the latest being George W H. Bush, a Republican who served as the 41st US President between 1989 and 1993.

Dr Mark Rozell, a Dean of  the School of Policy and Government at George Mason University  in  Arlington, Virginia describes the complex US electoral system that will deliver the winner at the 3rd November elections.

“The founders of our Republic de-centralised  authority  significantly  in  creating  our  constitutional  system,  which  means that  they  gave  an  enormous  amount  of  independent  power  and  authority  to  State  and  local governments,” Dr Rozell told international media on Elections 2020 Virtual Reporting Tour.

Unlike  parliamentary  democracies, like Botswana the  United  States  does  not  have  all  of  the  national government elected in one year. They do not have what is commonly called mandate elections where  the  entire  federal  government  is  elected  all  in  one  election  cycle  giving  a  “mandate”  to  a particular political party to lead, and instead US have what are called staggered elections, elections over time.

The two house Congress, members of the House of Representatives have two-year long terms of office. Every two years the entire House of Representatives is up for re-election, but senators  serve  for  six  years  and  one  third  of  the  Senate is elected every  two  years.

For this election cycle, US citizens will be electing the President and Vice

President, the entire House of Representatives and one third of the open or contested seats in the Senate, whereas two thirds are still fulfilling the remainder of their terms beyond this year.

An  important  facet  of  US electoral  system  to  understand  given  the  federalism  nature  of  the republic, the US elect presidents State by State, therefore they do not have a national popular vote for the presidency.

“We have a national popular vote total that says that Hillary Clinton got three million more votes than Donald Trump or in Year 2000 that Al Gore got a half million more votes than George W. Bush, but we have what is called a State by State winner takes all system where each State  is  assigned  a  number  of  electors  to  our  Electoral  College  and  the  candidate  who  wins  the popular vote within each State takes 100 percent of the electors to the Electoral College,” explained Dr Rozell.

“And that is why mathematically, it is possible for someone to win the popular vote but lose the presidency.”

Dr Rozell indicated that in 2016, Hillary Clinton won very large popular majorities in some big population States like California, but the system allows a candidate to only have to  win  a  State  by  one  vote  to  win  a  100 percent of  its  electors,  the  margin  does  not  matter.

“Donald  Trump  won  many  more  States  by  smaller  margins,  hence  he  got  an  Electoral  College majority.”

Another interesting features by the way of US constitutional system, according to Dr Rozell, but extremely rare, is what is called the faithless elector.

“That’s the elector to the Electoral College who says, ‘I’m not going to vote the popular vote in my State, I think my State made a bad decision and I’m going  to  break  with  the  popular  vote,’’ Dr Rozell said.

“That’s constitutionally a very complicated matter in our federalism system because although the federal constitution says electors may exercise discretion, most States have passed State laws making it illegal for any elector to the Electoral College to break faith with the popular vote of that State, it is a criminal act that can be penalized if one is to do that. And we just had an important Supreme Court case that upheld the right of the states to impose and to enforce this restriction”

There are 538 electors at the Electoral College, 270 is the magic number, the candidate who gets 270 or more becomes President of the United States.

If however there are more candidates, and  this  happens  extremely  rarely,  and  a  third  candidate  got  some electors  to  the  Electoral  College  denying  the  two  major  party  candidates,  either  one  getting  a majority, nobody gets 270 or more, then the election goes to the House of Representatives and the House of Representatives votes among the top three vote getters as to who should be the next President.

“You’d have to go back to the early 19th century to have such a scenario, and that’s not going to happen this year unless there is a statistical oddity, which would be a perfect statistical tie of 269 to 269 which could happen but you can just imagine how incredibly unlikely that is,” stated Dr Rozell.

BLUE STATES vs RED STATES

Since the 2000 United States presidential election, red states and blue states have referred to states of the United States whose voters predominantly choose either the Republican Party (red) or Democratic Party (blue) presidential candidates.

Many  states  have  populations  that  are  so  heavily  concentrated  in  the  Democratic party or the Republican party that there is really no competition in those states.

California is a heavily Democratic State, so is New York and Maryland. It is given that Joe Biden will win those states. Meanwhile Texas, Florida and Alabama are republicans. So, the candidates will spent no time campaigning in those states because it is already a given.

However there are swing  states, where  there is a competition between about five and 10 states total in each election cycle that make a difference, and that is where the candidates end up spending almost all of their time.

“So  it  ends  up  making  a  national  contest  for  the  presidency  actually  look  like  several  state-wide contests with candidates spending a lot of time talking about State and local issues in those parts of the country,” said Dr Rozell.

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Masisi to make things right with Dangote

26th October 2020

High Commissioner of the Federal Government of Nigeria to Botswana, His Excellency Umar Zainab Salisu, has challenged President Dr Mokgweetsi Masisi to move swiftly and lobby Africa’s richest man, Nigerian Billionaire, Aliko Dangote to invest in Botswana.

Speaking during a meeting with President Masisi at Office of President on Thursday Zainab Salisu said Dangote has expressed massive interest in setting up billion dollar industries in Botswana.  “We have a lot of investors who wish to come and invest in Botswana , when we look at Botswana we don’t see Botswana itself , but we are lured by its geographic location , being in the centre of Southern Africa presents a good opportunity for strategic penetration into other markets of the region,” said Salisu.

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Dow wants GBV culprits isolated

26th October 2020
Unity Dow

As murder cases and violent incidents involving couples and or lovers continue to be recorded daily, Specially Elected Member of Parliament, Dr Unity Dow has called for more funding of non-governmental organizations and accelerated action from government to come up with laws that could inhibit would-be perpetrators of crimes related to Gender Based Violence (GBV).

Just after Dr Dow had deposited her views on this subject with this reporter, a young man in Molepolole opened fire on a married woman he was having an affair with; and ended her life instantly. While it is this heinous cases that get projected to the public space, the former minister argues that the secrecy culture is keeping other real GBV cases under wraps in many spaces in the country.

The former Minister of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation said there is GBV all the time in all kinds of places. “We have become accustomed to stories of rapes, marital rapes, defilement of children, beatings and psychological violence and even killings,” she said.

Gender-based violence is a phenomenon deeply rooted in gender inequality, Dow is worried that there is absolutely no social punishment for perpetrators; they will continue to have the same friends, jobs, wives, homes, as before. Yet another factor, she said, is that there is little or no “justice” for victims of GBV.

The renowned activist said justice for GBV victims is not just the jailing of the perpetrator. “Justice for victims means an agile, victim-friendly, accessible (time, money and procedures) and restorative justice system.”

Asked what could be leading to a spike in Gender Based Violence cases or incidents, she observed that there is no one factor to which this spike can be attributed. “The most obvious factor is stress as a result of economic distress and or poverty. Poverty makes one vulnerable and open to compromises that they would otherwise not make. For perpetrators with anger management issues, economic stress leads to lashing out to those closest to them. Another factor is the disintegration of families and family values,” she opined.

According to Dow, no government anywhere in the world is doing enough, period. “We know the places and spaces where women and girls are unsafe. We know the challenges they face in their attempts to exit those spaces and places.” The former Judge of the High Court said GBV undermines the health, dignity, security and autonomy of its victims, yet it remains shrouded in the culture of silence.

Asked what could be done to arrest GBV cases, Dow said it is critical to involve and fund civil society organizations. She observed that much of the progress done in the area of women’s human rights was during the time when Botswana had strong and funded civil society organizations.

“The funding dried up when Botswana was declared a middle-income country but unfortunately external funding was not replaced by local funding,” she acknowledged.

Further Dow said relevant government institutions must be funded and strengthened.

“Thirdly, create a society in which it is not okay to humiliate, rape, beat or kill women. You create this by responding to GBV the same way we have responded to livestock theft. We need to create agile mechanisms that hear cases quickly and allow for the removal of suspected perpetrators from their homes, work places, boards, committees, etc.”

The former Minister said the much anticipated Inter-Ministerial Task Force on Gender Based Violence will have its work cut out for it. According to Dow, GBV is not just a justice issue, it’s not just a gender issue, but rather an issue that cuts across health, education, labour, economic, housing and politics. “As long as any one believes it is someone else’s problem, we will all have the problem,” she said.

In her view, Dow said every work, educational and other place must have a GBV Policy and/or Code of Conduct. “It is important that we acknowledge that the majority of men are law-abiding. The problem is their silence, in the face of injustice,” she observed.

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