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Alcohol Levy has failed – BIDPA report

President Mokgweetsi Masisi and other relevant stakeholders are expected to seriously consider findings of a consultancy report carried out by government think-tank Botswana Institute for Development Policy Analysis (BIDPA) on the alcohol levy.

A 171 paged report titled: A study to evaluate the National Interventions against Alcohol Abuse in Botswana, has punched holes on the imposed government alcohol interventions with specific interest on Alcohol Levy. The study which was carried out last year as per the recommendations of Ministry of Health and Wellness (MoHW) has labelled the levy as redundant and costly for the economy.

Originally introduced in 2008, the alcohol levy was raised every year until 2015 at point which it was sitting at 55 percent. The levy has since been revised to between 50 and 55 percent depending on the alcoholic volume of the liquor. This year it was reported that the levy made P2.6 billion. Generally, it is said, the drinking behavior has not changed much since the introduction of the alcohol levy and its associated interventions such as restrictions in the hours of sale.


However, it is also clear that a combination of the intervention has potential and can make significant impact overtime. “An insignificant 2.5 percent attributed their change in drinking pattern to the imposition of the alcohol levy as a confirmation that the alcohol levy had very little impact on reduction of alcohol abuse in Botswana.”

The alcohol levy did not affect the decision of members to drink or reduce the numbers of households with at least one-member drinking. In terms of consumption expenditure, alcohol and tobacco remained among the top four commodities after food, transport and housing costs. It has been therefore concluded that the alcohol levy has resulted in a slight decrease in expenditure on alcohol and tobacco (0.4 percentage points) at national level which may have a positive effect on household well-being.

 “However, in rural areas the effect has been negative since expenditure has been shifted from food to compensate for the increase in alcohol prices due to the levy, and this has negatively impacted on the livelihoods of members of such households especially children and the elderly.”

BIDPA as per the research says the levy which was intended to curb excessive alcohol consumption has in fact increased consumption. People, as per the perception that alcohol is expensive have resorted to other means of getting themselves intoxicated.

“People are now drinking more, using money meant for basic households needs such as food, clothing, school uniform etc. to buy alcohol, drinking cheaper home brews, and increasingly using other substances such as glue sniffing and marijuana to sustain addiction,” the report read in part.

 As consumers switch to alcoholic beverages with high alcohol content and spirits, the local brand, St Louis has suffered as it has low alcohol content. In addition, the report states, the alcohol producer and distributors have observed that consumers have switched to buying in bulk as this is relatively cheap. “For instance, consumers have switched from buying 330 ml to 440 ml cans and more importantly to 750 ml bottled beer.”

BIDPA says before the implementation of this, there was need to be based on evidence. “The industry players argue that when the alcohol levy and other measures introduced to curb excessive alcohol consumption were introduced there was no research to back the interventions or benchmarking undertaken to ensure their effectiveness.” Further the report argues that “alcohol Levy Fund should be used for its original purposes such as building of rehabilitation centers to help those already addicted.”

The effect of the levy on household cannot be underestimated. “The reality on the ground is that since the introduction of the different measures to curb alcohol abuse many people who drink alcohol in excess have resorted to diversion of household income to alcohol at the expense of other pressing needs such as food switching to and drinking low cost alcohol resorting to the use of drugs such as marijuana mixing alcohol with drugs to get the maximum effect.”

The alcohol levy has made poor people poorer, according to the report. All their income is spent on buying alcohol. “All the money received is blown in one day … to buy nothing but this devil,” one respondent was quoted saying. The report which is expected to guide policy makers on other interventions reveal that the levy did not lead to a reduction in alcohol consumption. “Instead, people who drink continued to drink the same way they did before the imposition of the levy, some drink even more.”

 The alcohol levy, reduction in trading hours and other interventions meant to reduce excessive alcohol consumption have not been effective. Some of the interventions such as reduction in trading hours have been rendered ineffective because people have resorted to buying beer in bulk, mainly at bottle stores where it is relatively cheap, to later drink at bars outside the stipulated trading hours or at their homes.

 “A simulation exercise to analyses the impact of alcohol levy introduced in 2008 based on 50 percent temporary increase in alcohol prices and a 50 percent permanent increase in alcohol prices indicate that the levy had a slightly small impact on the demand for alcohol. In light of the results we can conclude that more investigations are needed to explore the real impacts of the alcohol levy,” report says.

The reasons as to why people drink varied from as high as 50 percent for those who drink alcohol in order to socialize. Other reasons that push people into drinking include, among others, enjoy the taste (31 percent) to get drunk (22 percent).
 Other reasons for alcohol consumption rated below 20 percent were; the urge to be mentally alert, relieve pressure and tension, as well as to forget about social problems and painful memories.

EFFECTS OF THE LEVY ON EMPLOYMENT

According to the research KBL indicated that after the introduction of the levy in 2008 and subsequent increase in 2010, job losses were minimal as they were able to absorb the costs through the sales of sorghum beer (Chibuku). However, the introduction of the Traditional Beer Regulations in 2012 resulted in loss in employment starting from 2013.

The traditional beer regulations made it mandatory for chibuku to be sold in licensed premises. Before the regulations were introduced the majority (over 80 percent according to KBL) were selling chibuku from their homes without licenses. After the introduction of these regulations the majority of the retailers, most of whom are women closed down their businesses because they could not comply with the law.

 As a result of their low income status they could not find suitable places to sell their chibuku and hence could not get licenses to do so. This drastically reduced (80 percent) the amount of chibuku sales by KBL and hence revenue. KBL had to close some of its distributions depots (Selibe Phikwe and two breweries one in Palapye and another one in Lobatse). This led to direct job losses, which KBL estimates at between 150-200 people.

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The  Bulb World CEO selected for Africa’s prestigious award

22nd July 2021

The Bulb World Chief Executive Officer (CEO) and entrepreneur, Ketshephaone Jacob has been selected as a 2021 Top 50 Africa’s Business Hero.

Jacob was chosen from a pool of 12,000 applicants – many of whom are highly-skilled and accomplished entrepreneurs.

Africa’s Business Hero, sponsored by technology entrepreneur, Jack Ma, aims to identify, support and inspire the next generation of African entrepreneurs who are making a difference in their local communities, working to solve the most pressing problems, and building a more sustainable and inclusive economy for the future.

The initiative is as inclusive as possible and applications were open in English and French to entrepreneurs from all African countries, all sectors, and all ages who operate businesses formally registered and headquartered in an African country, and that have a 3 year-track record.

Every year, finalists are selected to compete in the ABH finale pitch competition and participate in a TV Show that will be broadcast online and across the continent.

The finalists will compete for a share of US $1.5 million in grant money.

The Bulb World, is home grown LED light manufacturing company, which was partly funded by Citizen Entrepreneurial Development Agency (CEDA) at the tune of P4 million, to manufacture LED lighting bulbs for both commercial and residential use in 2017.

The Bulb World operate from the Special Economic Zone of Selibe Phikwe. Early this year, The BulB World announced its expansion to South Africa, setting in motion its ambitious Africa expansion plan.

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Mining production down 12 % IN Q1 2021

14th July 2021

During the first quarter of 2021, production in Botswana’s economic nucleus- the mining sector contracted by 12 percent. This is according to Mining Production Index released by Statistics Botswana this week.

The country’s central data body revealed that Index of Mining production stood at 74.4 during the first quarter of 2021, showing a negative year on-year growth of 12.0 percent, from 84.6 registered during the first quarter of 2020.

The main contributor to the decline in mining production came from the Diamonds sector, which contributed negative 11.7 percentage points. Soda Ash was the only positive contributor in the mining production, contributing 0.1 of a percentage point. However Soda Ash’s contribution was insignificant to offset the negative contribution made by Diamonds.

The quarter-on-quarter analysis by Statistics Botswana experts shows an increase of 16.3 percent from the index of 64.0 during the fourth quarter of 2020 to 74.4 observed during the period under review.

Diamond production decreased by 12.1 percent during the first quarter of 2021 compared to the same quarter of the previous year. The decrease was as a result of planned strategy to align production with weaker trading conditions mostly linked to Covid-19 protocols restrictions.

Botswana’s diamond sector is underpinned by Debswana, the country’s flagship rough producer- a 50-50 joint venture between government and global mining giant De Beers Group. The other producer is Canadian based Lucara Diamond Corp through its wholly owned Karowe Mine which is a relatively small but significant production that has made a name for itself worldwide with rare diamond recoveries of unprecedented carat size.

On the other hand, quarter-on quarter analysis shows that production has improved, registering a positive growth of 17.5 percent during the first quarter of 2021 compared to the preceding quarter – 2020 Q4.

Though production was significantly lower in the first quarter, the two producers ended Q2 with rare diamond recoveries. Debswana early last month found the world’s third largest gem diamond – weighing 1098 carat at Jwaneng Mine, its flagship gem quality diamonds producer, also regarded the world’s richest diamond mine.

A week later Lucara  announced its second biggest recovery, the 1174 carat clivage near-gem dug from its Karowe Mine. The diamond is the world third in carat size after the plus-3000 carat Cullinan found in South Africa back in 1905 and the 1758 carat Sewelo unearthed at its Karowe mine in 2019. Debswana and Lucara are investing billions of pulas in underground mining projects to extend the life of its mines, Jwaneng & Karowe respectively.

In terms of Gold which is produced at Mupani mine near Botswana’s second city of Francistown output decreased by 17.9 percent during the first quarter of 2021 compared to the same quarter of the previous year.

Similarly, quarter-on-quarter analysis reflects that production decreased by 21.4 percent during the first quarter of 2021, compared to the preceding quarter. The decrease was as a result of the deteriorating lifespan of the mine as well as the impact of COVID-19 which slowed down the mining activities.

Soda Ash production increased by 11.1 percent during the first quarter of 2021 compared to the same quarter of the previous year. In terms of quarter-on-quarter Soda Ash production also showed an increase, picking up by 2.1 percent during the period under review. The increase in production is attributable to the effectiveness of the plant following refurbishment which occurred in the third quarter of 2020.

Salt production decreased by 34.0 percent during the first quarter of 2021, compared to the same quarter of the previous year. Similarly, the quarter-on-quarter analysis shows that salt production registered a decrease of 32.9 percent during the period under review. Both salt and Sodash are produced by partly government owned Botswana Ash (BotsAsh) operating from Sowa town near Makgadikgadi pans.

Coal production decreased by 11.2 percent during the first quarter of 2021, compared to the corresponding quarter of the previous year. The decrease was attributed to the reduced demand from Morupule B Power Station following the remedial works being undertaken, as one boiler was in operation during the period under review.

Although production fell, Statistics Botswana says there was no shortfall in supply of coal due to stockpiling. On the other hand, the quarter-on-quarter comparison shows that coal production increased by 20.4 percent compared to the preceding quarter.

Botswana’s flagship coal producer is Morupule Coal Mine; a wholly state owned mining company located in Palapye producing primarily for Botswana Power Corporation (BPC)’s power generation plants Morupule A & B.

The other coal producer is Botswana Stock Exchange listed Minergy which operates a 390 MT Coal Resource mine in Masama near Media in the southwestern edge of the Mmamabula Coalfields.

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Gov’t awards mining licence for Gantsi Copper Mine

14th July 2021
Moagi

Department of Mines in the Ministry of Mineral Resources, Green Technology & Energy Security has awarded mining licence to Tshukudu Metals-a subsidiary of Aussie firm Sandfire Resources ,giving the company a green light to start piecing the ground at its Motheo Copper Project near Gantsi.

Lefoko Moagi, minister in charge of mineral resources in Botswana confirmed to weekendpost on Tuesday. Minister Moagi revealed that “the licence has been approved , but Sandfire Resources as a listed company will report to its shareholders and investors then make an official public statement” he said.

Based on a forecast copper price of US$3.16/lb (reflecting current long-term consensus pricing) the Base Case 3.2Mtpa – Ghantsi copper project is forecast to generate US$664 million (over P7 billion) in pre-tax free cash-flow and US$987 million (over P10 billion) in EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Tax, Depreciation and Amortisation), at a forecast all-in sustaining cost of US$1.76/lb over its first 10 years of operations.

In December 2020, the Board of Sandfire Resources approved the commercial development of the Motheo Copper Mine located in the Kalahari Copper Belt in Botswana, marking a key step in its transformation into a global, diversified, and sustainable mining company.

Tshukudu Metals Botswana (Pty) Limited (Tshukudu) a 100% owned subsidiary will be the owner and operator of the Motheo Copper Mine which is scheduled to produce up to 30,000 tonnes per annum of copper in concentrate over a 12 year mine life.TMB is targeting development of its Motheo Copper Mine in 2021 and 2022, with its first production in 2023.

GOVERNMENT NOT TAKING UP 15 % STAKE ON OFFER

Beginning of this year presentations were made to the Department of Mines as part of the Mining Licence approval process and to the Ghanzi Regional Council, additional information was requested by Department of Mines in April and was duly supplied by the company.

As part of the Mining Licence approval process, the Government of Botswana has a right to acquire up to a 15% fully contributing interest in all mining projects locally. Quizzed on whether government through Mineral Development Corporation Botswana (MDCB) would be taking up stake in the project Minister Moagi said, “No consideration is being made on that regard”.

“Government is not considering taking up a stake in the Ghantsi Copper Mine project, every opportunity is assessed on all risks, but Government makes money all the while from leases, taxes and royalties, remember if you take stake you are liable for liabilities of the project as well,” Moagi said.

MINING CONTRACT

Last month Sandfire announced that it has awarded over P5 billion worth mining contract to African Mining Services (AMS), a subsidiary of Perenti, to deliver the open cast operation.

The contract, which has an estimated value of US$496 million (over 5 billion), is the largest single operational contract for the new Motheo Project covering a period of 7 years and 3 months, with provision for a one-year extension.

The contract according to Sandfire Resources was awarded following a competitive 3-stage tender process which saw a number of key factors taken into consideration when selecting the preferred contractor.

These included Citizen Economic Empowerment, safety culture, equipment suitability and availability, commercial terms and identified improvement opportunities. Under the terms of the contract, AMS has agreed to form a 70:30 Joint Venture with a suitable local Botswana partner or partners.

The JV is expected to be finalized ahead of commencement of mining in early 2022. African Mining Services has been operating in Africa for over 30 years. AMS’ parent company, ASX listed diversified mining services group Perenti, already has a presence in Botswana through Barminco, their underground mining division, at the large-scale Khoemacau Copper Mine located 200km north-east of Motheo.

Last month Sandfire executives said the award of the open pit mining contract represents another key milestone in advancing the Motheo Project towards production, with all components of the contract in line with the key parameters outlined in the December 2020 Definitive Feasibility Study (DFS).

The company said full-scale construction of the US$279 million (over P 3 billion ) mine development is expected to commence immediately upon receipt of the Mining Licence, with mining scheduled to commence in early 2022 ahead of first production in early 2023. This week Sandfire Resources advertised over 10 positions in calling on applications from geologists, mining engineers and geotechnical engineers.

The Motheo mine has an initial mine life of 12.5 years based on production from the T3 pit. The initial development is expected to generate approximately 1,000 jobs during the construction phase and 600 direct full-time jobs during operations, with at least 95% of the total mine workforce expected to be made of up of Botswana citizens.

Later in the week Sandfire Resources announced in the company website that it has received the licence. Sandfire’s Managing Director and CEO, Mr Karl Simich, said the award of the Mining Licence represented a major milestone that would see a significant increase in construction and development activities on site.

“We are absolutely delighted to now be in a position to move to full-scale construction at Motheo, with our construction crews expected to mobilise to site over the next few days. I would like to thank the Government of Botswana for their support throughout the approvals process, which will see Motheo come on-stream in 2023 as one of very few new copper mines commencing production globally.”

Simich said the project is expected to generate approximately 1,000 jobs during construction and 600 full-time jobs during operations, and represents the foundation for Sandfire’s long-term growth plans in Botswana.

“Our vision is that Motheo will form the centre of a new, long-life copper production hub in in the central portion of the world-class Kalahari Copper Belt, where we hold an extensive ground-holding spanning Botswana and Namibia,” he said.

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