Botswana Stock Exchange listed banker First National Bank Botswana (FNBB) faces a stubborn burden of borrowers who default on their loan payments or debtors would not pay either principal or interest of the borrowed money.
The latest unaudited half year results for the year ended December 2018 Bank reveal that FNBB has difficulty collecting interest and principal on their credits with a reflection of the non-performing loans (NPL) to gross advances ratio increasing from 6.6 percent to 7.6 percent year-on-year, with the NPL exposure increasing to P1.26 billion.
Two years ago Bank of Botswana governor Moses Pelaelo highlighted that there is a disturbing emerging trend where customers cannot pay their loan. This was after there was a trend which showed that since December 2014, the industry’s NPLs rose from 3.6 percent to 3.9 percent in 2015 and 4.9 percent in December 2016. That same year of 2017 when the central bank governor raised concern statistics shows that at July 31, 2017 the NPLs had increased further to 5.9 percent of total bank loans. Many observers believe the increase of NPLs in 2016 and 2017 were mainly due to the abrupt closure of the BCL mine which left many in financial dire straits.
Furthermore, according to the World Bank statistics, the average value for Botswana during 2012 to 2017 was 3.94 percent with a minimum of 2.62 percent in 2012 and a maximum of 5.28 percent in 2017. As suggested by the recent FNBB half year financial statement, the trend continues.
In its latest financial results which were released this week, FNBB has said consumer indebtedness in the market remains a concern and the bank will continue its cautious approach in lending into this market. The bank further explained that NPLs stubborn growth is due to the deterioration of certain high-value FNB business segment exposures.
“This significant growth in NPLs is largely due to the deterioration of certain high-value FNB business segment exposures, and the relegations that have been experienced in the FNB Retail and WesBank segments,” explained FNBB directors in the financial report. The bank gave an insuring statement that it remains wary of financial risks despite the positive focus. The bank further promised that the resolution of the NPL portfolio remains a top priority and continue to invest in the iterative refinement of processes and systems required to improve collections. On the other hand impairments increased by 23 percent year-on-year largely due to the FNB Business segment inflow into NPL according to FNBB. Impairment grew from P127 160 in 2017 to P156 112 in 2018.
FNBB lining up to cash in on anticipated unlocking business activity
Despite the bogyman of NPLs standing tall before FNBB the bank made slight improvements in the unaudited half year results for the year ended December 2018. This is highlighted by promises like the increase in tax profit after tax by 9 percent, Non-Interest Revenue growth of 10 percent and interest income increase of 6 percent. Furthermore, the half year results show a boom in the banking app, signaling the bank’s dominance in the digital space and an upper-hand in the market, which has recorded registration increase of 11 percent.
According to FNBB when announcing its unaudited condensed consolidated financial results and dividend announcement, the bank also continue to maintain its deposit market share of just below 30 percent. FNBB said it saw customer deposit growth of 3 percent as at December 2018 and it emanated predominantly from increases in transactional balances.
When explaining its increases, FNBB said the Non-Interest Revenue growth of 10 percent which is an increase from P548 811 in the unaudited results for the six months ended 31 December 2017 to P605 824 for the same period of last year (2018), was due to increases in both foreign exchange revenue and transactional revenue.
“The foreign exchange revenue growth was due to a significant increase in the value and volume of foreign exchange transactions as a result of ZAR volatility. The growth in transactional revenue was largely due to increased merchant transactional turnover,” said FNBB. For interest income to grow by 6 percent from P757 421 in 2017 to P804 772 in 2018 is because of increase in advances according to FNBB. The bank said however this increase was largely due to the optimized investment portfolio while the change in the advances portfolio mix resulted in reduced average yields on advances.
With this slight progress FNBB suggested that it is steady on its marks to cash in on anticipated increased business activity and commensurate growth in market advances which coincides with the current positive outlook for the Botswana economy. The bank further anticipates growth in targeted financing for some sectors of the economy such as agriculture, manufacturing and tourism, which are sectors expected to be supported by credit guarantees from development finance institutions.
“The Bank is well-positioned to assist customers in their participation in these developments. The Bank will continue to invest in key strategic enablers to continue to deliver a superior customer experience. Investment in digital capabilities, human capital and process re-engineering will continue,” said FNBB.
While giving an economy outlook for Botswana which gives it confidence to position itself for the time of harvest when the economic activities are ripe, FNBB expects the local economy to register a growth rate of 4.4 percent for 2018 due to higher diamond mining output. The bank’s growth forecasts for 2019 and 2020 at 4.7 percent and 4.5 percent respectively.
“The key to unlocking further growth opportunities for Botswana lies in the success of diversification initiatives such as special economic zones and public private partnerships, with consequent creation of employment opportunities. The service sector has accounted for over 50 percent of the growth in the past decade, thus reflecting some achievements in the diversification of the economy,” said FNBB in its half year results.
The bank has however noted that Botswana remains reliant on diamonds, as they account for over 85 percent of the country’s exports and contribute close to 30 percent of fiscal revenue, thus exposing the fiscus to external volatilities. FNBB says its growth forecasts therefore remain cautiously optimistic as policy implementation, together with effective infrastructure development, has historically been a challenge.
Accordingly, successful diversification will depend largely on investor-friendly regulation and effective implementation of development projects. Given that the economy remains consumer led, with household expenditure at 49.1 percent of GDP in Q3 of 2018, sustained economic growth will depend upon both employment creation and real wage increases,” said FNBB directors in its financial results.
Inflation rates remain cyclical lows
When giving health report on Botswana’s inflationary statue FNBB said headline inflation averaged 3.2 percent in 2018 compared to 3.3 percent in 2017. The inflation was subdued by lower demand-pull pressures, a reduction in the administered prices of mobile network operators and the alcohol levy, as well as continued zero-VAT rating on most staple food products. Upside pressures were mostly led by an increase in fuel prices as well as public transport fares.
“We reiterate that demand-pull pressures are likely to limit the increase in inflation as growth in real income levels remains modest. We anticipate the headline in figure of a short-to-medium-term average of 4.0% through to 2023, being within the 3% to 6% target range of the Bank of Botswana,” said FNBB directors on the half year financial report. FNBB also stated that it believes that the Bank of Botswana will continue to focus on supporting economic growth and keep its monetary policy stance accommodative for the next 12 to 15 months.
“We expect that the Bank of Botswana will leave the bank rate unchanged at 5.0 percent for the rest of 2019. We foresee overall credit extension remaining below 8 percent through to 2020, allowing for a slight increase in business credit as confidence returns, but with household credit remaining restricted by the current pressures on discretionary household income,” said FNBB.
Newly established wholly indigenous citizen owned retail chain Payless Retail (PTY) Ltd is set to partake in the first session of Botswana Stock Exchange (BSE)’s Tshipidi Mentorship Program (TMP) on Monday June 29th.
The TMP aims to train and capacitate SMEs so they can operate as corporates and eventually list on the local bourse. According to local bourse, BSE, the program aims to provide practical training to potential issuers through a comprehensive and interactive program that covers the key themes necessary to position a company to list on the BSE.
Payless Retail is a newly established supermarket chain whose mission is to become a convenient one-stop shopping destination as it is one of the Botswana oldest retailing brands. It started off as Corner Supermarket in January 1976, and to date boasts of nine stores in, among others, Gaborone, Mochudi, Molepolole and Tlokweng. Payless was recently acquired by Ellis Retail Group, which is led by businessman Elliot Moshoke.
The takeover catapulted Ellis Retail to the envious position of being the first wholly indigenous owned major retail chain. “We jumped at this opportunity because it gave us a chance to prove to Batswana that the retail business is open and lucrative.”
The objective is to create a proudly Botswana retail chain that fully supports our national Vision, economic development and citizen economic empowerment ambitions,” Moshoke told BusinessPost.
He further emphasized that Batswana are capable and able to run large scale businesses hence they need to accept invite foreign investors who will come in to support us not take the business. “Our win as Payless in the Fast Moving Consumer goods (FMCG) industry is a win for Batswana. We need their support in this difficult and challenging journey.
As you are aware, Payless is the only retail chain in the hands of Batswana ba Sekei. We need to take advantage of this to generate employment and create small businesses in retail and Agri businesses,” he explained.
The retailer has also partnered with Botswana Investment & Trade Center (BITC) on their #PushaBW campaign with a view to initiating earnest engagement with local producers to iron out bottlenecks and ensure seamless trading.
“Local producers have to be part of the phenomenal growth of the Payless brand. This will in turn facilitate employment creation and economic growth. We did this because we have the utmost respect for local manufacturers and producers,” he mentioned.
Payless is currently restocking all of its stores; a development that Moshoke says is testament to the retailer’s commitment to growing the brand and ensuring continuity of business. He further revealed that renowned retail suppliers like PST and CA Sales have reignited their trust in Payless, opening their doors for Payless as they have faith in the retailer’s new owners.
The takeover has reportedly saved more than 200 jobs and gave a new lease of life to the previously fledging Payless brand. According to a press release from the management team, the Payless work forces are also extremely excited about what the future holds. The TMP is a comprehensive and interactive program that covers the key themes necessary to position a company to list on the BSE.
The program is administered by experts within the listing ecosystem and seeks to bring the potential issuers closer to the listings advisers, investors and leaders of already listed companies. “As a strategic initiative, the BSE decided to set up this mentorship program in a bid to assist SMEs to strategize, corporatize and acclimatize in order to list to access equity finance and expand operations,” said the BSE.
The TMP will avail to SMEs practical insights, knowledge and feedback from institutional investors, increased awareness of the BSE listing requirements as well as an intimate network of advisors and CEOs of listed companies. After training, Payless will graduate with improve governance structures and better knowledge of articulating its business strategy. The retailer will also gain increased visibility through BSE marketing platforms.
Despite Covid-19 interrupting trade worldwide, exporting companies in Botswana which benefited from the Botswana Investment and Trade Centre (BITC) services realised P2.96 billion in export earnings during the period from April 2020 to March 2021.
In the preceding financial year, the sale of locally manufactured products in foreign markets had registered export revenue of P2, 427 billion against a target of P3, 211 billion BITC, which celebrates 10 years since establishment, continues to carry out several initiatives targeted towards expanding the Botswana export base in line with Botswana’s desire to be an export led economy, underpinned by a robust export promotion programme in line with the National Export Strategy.
The main products exported were swamp cruiser boats, pvc tanks and pvc pipes, ignition wiring sets, semi-precious stones, veterinary medicines, hair braids, coal, textiles (towels and t-shirts) and automobile batteries. These goods were destined mainly for South Africa, Zimbabwe, Austria, Germany, and Namibia.
With Covid-19 still a problem, BITC continues to roll out targeted virtual trade promotion missions across the SADC region with a view to seeking long-lasting market opportunities for locally manufactured products.
Recently, the Centre facilitated participation for Botswana companies at the Eastern Cape Development Council (ECDC) Virtual Export Symposium, the Botswana-Zimbabwe Virtual Trade Mission, the Botswana-Zambia Virtual Trade Mission, Botswana-South Africa Virtual Buyer/Seller Mission as well as the Botswana-Namibia Virtual Trade Mission.
BITC has introduced an e-Exporting programme aimed at assisting Botswana exporters to conduct business on several recommended e-commerce platforms. Due to the advent of COVID-19, BITC is currently promoting e-trade among companies through the establishment of e-commerce platforms and is assisting local companies to embrace digitisation by adopting e-commerce platforms to reach export markets as well as assisting local e-commerce platform developers to scale up their online marketplaces.
During the 2019/2020 financial year, BITC embarked on several initiatives targeted at growing exports in the country; facilitation of participation of local companies in international trade platforms in order to enhance export sales of local products and services into external markets.
BITC also helped in capacity development of local companies to compete in global markets and the nurturing of export awareness and culture among local manufacturers in order to enhance their skills and knowledge of export processes; and in development and implementation of trade facilitation tools that look to improve the overall ease of doing business in Botswana.
As part of building export capacity in 2019/20, six (6) companies were selected to initiate a process to be Organic and Fair Trade Certified. These companies are; Blue Pride (Pty) Ltd, Motlopi Beverages, Moringa Technology Industries (Pty) Ltd, Sleek Foods, Maungo Craft and Divine Morula.
In 2019 seven companies which were enrolled in the Botswana Exporter Development Programme were capacitated with attaining BOBS ISO 9001: 2015 certification. Three (3) companies successfully attained BOBS ISO 9001:2015 certification. These were Lithoflex (Pty) Ltd, General Packaging Industries and Power Engineering.
BITC’s annual flagship exhibition, Global Expo Botswana (GEB) to create opportunities for trade and strategic synergies between local and international companies. The Global Expo Botswana) is a premier business to business exposition that attracts FDI, expansion of domestic investment, promotion of exports of locally produced goods and services and promotion of trade between Botswana and other countries.
The portal also provides information on; measures, legal documents, and forms and procedures needed by Botswana companies that intend on doing business abroad. BITC continues to assist both potential and existing local manufacturing and service entities to realise their export ambitions. This assistance is pursued through the ambit of the Botswana Exporter Development Programme (BEDP) and the Trade Promotion Programme.
BEDP was revised in 2020 in partnership with the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) with a vision to developing a diversified export-based economy. The programme focuses mostly on capacitating companies to reach export readiness status.
Prices for goods and services in this country continue to increase, with the latest figures from Statistics Botswana showing that in May 2022, inflation rate rose to 11.9 percent from 9.6 percent recorded in April 2022.
According to Statistics Botswana update released this week, the largest upward contributions to the annual inflation rate in May 2022 came from increase in the cost of transport (7.2 percent), housing, water, electricity, gas & other Fuels (1.4 percent), food & non-alcoholic beverages (1.1 percent) and miscellaneous goods & services (0.8 percent).
With regard to regional inflation rates between April and May 2022, the Rural Villages inflation rate went up by 2.5 percentage points, from 9.6 percent in April to 12.1 percent in May 2022, according to the government owned statistics entity.
In the monthly update the entity stated that the Urban Villages inflation rate stood at 11.8 percent in May 2022, a rise of 2.4 percentage points from the April rate of 9.4 percent, whereas the Cities & Towns inflation rate recorded an increase of 1.9 percentage points, from 9.9 percent in April to 11.8 percent in May.
Commenting on the national Consumer Price Index, the entity stated that it went up by 2.6 percent, from 120.1 in April to 123.2 in May 2022. Statisticians from the entity noted that the transport group index registered an increase of 7.3 percent, from 134.5 in April to 144.2 in May, mainly due to the rise in retail pump prices for petrol and diesel by P1.54 and P2.74 per litre respectively, which effected on the 13th of May 2022.
The food & non-alcoholic beverages group index rose by 2.6 percent, from 118.6 in April 2022 to 121.6 in May 2022 and this came as a result of increase in prices of oils & fats, vegetables, bread & cereal, mineral waters, soft drinks, fruits & vegetables juices, fish (Fresh, Chilled & Frozen) and meat (Fresh, Chilled & Frozen), according to the Statisticians.
The Statisticians said the furnishing, household equipment & routine maintenance group index rose by 1.0 percent, from 111.6 in April 2022 to 112.7 in May 2022 and this was attributed to a general increase in prices of household appliances, glassware, tableware & household utensils and goods & services for household maintenance.
The prices for clothing & footwear group index moved from 109.4 to 110.4, registering a rise of 0.9 percent during the period under review. Bank of Botswana has projected higher inflation in the short term, associated with the likelihood of further increases in domestic fuel prices in response to persistent high international oil prices and added that the possible increase in public service salaries could add also upward pressure to inflation in this country.