A South African based consultancy firm (name known to this publication) that is carrying out a clandestine research on the hostility between President Mokgweetsi Masisi and his predecessor Lt Gen Ian Khama has released the initial findings regarding the two leaders’ relationship and the way forward.
The study which began three months ago was focused on four key areas; offering political intelligence to Khama and aligned members, possibilities of forming a new party, viability of Botswana Democratic Party (BDP) independent candidates surviving outside the party, and lastly uniting BDP after elections (if Pelonomi Venson-Moitoi could have won in Kang).
The research is financed mostly by Khama’s business allies who have developed interest in the animosity since the end results could leave them with un-imaginable repercussions. This publication has also established that the engaged firm was also tasked with facilitating Khama’s media engagement in South Africa last month while enroute to India to meet Tibetan spiritual leader Dalai Lama.
The research firm has looked at the possibilities of Khama aiding the formation of a new party, a thought which Khama and associates long considered. However the report findings shot the idea down highlighting a number of stumbling blocks. ”Khama cannot lead a new party in case he is accused of plotting what one Minister, Unity Dow referred to as a Putin strategy to return to power,” the report indicates.
The findings further posits that with only six months to elections a new party will need to be organised and resourced to make impact in the elections. In addition the report says it is unclear whether the new party will be part of coalition or go it alone. “For the party to be of significant force it will have to rely on BDP members sympathetic to Khama to make a bulk of its leadership and rank and file. The viability of a new party will have to be studied in more depth.”
According to the report the two presidents have reached a point where reconciliation is close to impossible and “attempts to bring them together to reach a truce have failed and they seem to be heading to the cliff edge.” With that, Khama should try by all means to meet Masisi personally or through emissaries. “This is for a truce to be negotiated in the interest of both men and for the sake of the party,” highlights the report.
In the past Khama had made it clear that he would like to meet Masisi privately. This was after many attempts by Masisi to engage his predecessor through the BDP elders committee which the former leader blatantly rejected. The research says with Masisi having registered a hollow victory in Kang, achieved through the price of manipulation, intimidation and abuse of state resource and assets, he may be amenable to a settlement in order to turn his attention to the general elections.
“A big question mark is would Masisi’s conciliatory stance be genuine or only meant to buy him peace for purpose of the election after which he will return to haunt Khama. Our analysis is that for Masisi’s project to become a success, Khama and his associates must continuously be vilified and portrayed in the eyes of the nation as the perennial enemies of the nation,” study observed.
The study which is still ongoing also looked at the possibilities of Khama resigning from the BDP. “In this role he will be less handicapped in carrying out his community upliftment programmes which appears to be another source of the fallout with Masisi who seems to be a man not prepared to share the limelight with anyone, least of all his immediate predecessor,” explains the report findings.
Masisi in the report is said to have developed a charm campaign aimed at cancelling Khama’s role and contributions to the nation by typecasting him as a disreputable individual. It also continues to say; “Masisi’s actions against Khama point to a crafty and calculating individual who had a detailed plan of what he would do as soon as he took over national leadership.”
All the while it is said Khama can still resign from BDP and support opposition candidates well-disposed to him without him seeking return to office in the case of a change of government. “The new government and Khama will be a subject of negotiations and agreements before any commitments can be made.”
This report says all these are based on affection many Batswana have on Khama. “Footage of his community upliftment visits to communities show a man magnetism and is still able to rouse the crowds. It is unlikely his predecessors could retain the appeal Khama still does.”
OF KHAMA SUPPORTING INDEPENDENT CANDIDATES
The compilation also looked at the possibility of Khama supporting independent candidates comprising mainly BDP members who allege to have been cheated in the primary elections. “In carefully selected constituencies, at local government and parliamentary level, independent candidates with enough support can win against BDP official candidates hostile to Khama. If they fail they can take away enough votes for opposition to possibly win the constituencies in question.
The biggest loser in this scenario will be Masisi,” report says. The report findings say this is based on Khama’s loyal following from his chieftainship territory. The study nonetheless concedes that it is impossible for everyone in the areas of royal jurisdiction to support the paramount chief as already evidenced by activists in the territory backing Masisi.
“But as a decidedly rural territory, we are confident Khama’s support for independents and selected opposition candidates can tilt the scales in areas where were previously impregnable if he reaches out to the multitudes who still regard him as a chief than a political party.” A separate thorough feasibility study of individual constituencies in which support will be given to independents and opposition candidates will have to be done, advises the research.
REPORT SAYS MOITOI SHOULD HAVE LONG WITHDRAWN
The Kang congress held earlier this month was also within the research scope and it has long advised that; “Moitoi must pull out the convention because preparations for the presidential elections have been heavily manipulated in favour of the incumbent.” The manipulation according to the report occurred when Masisi’s loyalists manipulated the processes at local levels where electors for the convention are chosen. Masisi and his campaigners enjoyed state media coverage which was supplemented by abuse of state transport including aeroplanes which ferried incumbent’s mobilisers.
“Campaign field was completely tilted in favour of incumbent who was permitted to address members of the party across the country. The few attempts by Moitoi to do likewise have been met with threats and intimidation from BDP administration which is run by incumbent’s operatives,” the researchers found out. Elections board chairman’s endorsement of Masisi, failure to avail voters roll which the report says it was unfair and even low by African standards of dirty politics and cheating were enough signs that Moitoi will not win, says the report.
In a classic and shocking case of disgrace and dishonour to this country, the law enforcement agencies are currently struggling to cover up a damaging and humiliating scandal of having conspired to forge the signature of a Palapye Chief Magistrate, Rebecca Motsamai in an unlawful acquisition of the much-publicised 2019 warrant of arrest against Isaac Kgosi, the former director of the Directorate of Intelligence Services (DIS).
The cloak-and-dagger arrest was led by the DIS director, Brigadier Peter Magosi supported by the Botswana Police, Botswana Defence Force (BDF), with the Botswana Unified Revenue Services (BURS) which accused Kgosi of tax evasion, in the backseat.
Umbrella for Democratic Change (UDC) constituent members are struggling to reach an agreement over the allocation of wards for the imminent ward by-elections across the country.
Despite a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) between Umbrella for Democratic Change (UDC), Botswana Patriotic Front (BPF) and Alliance for Progressives (AP) are said to be active, but the nitty-gritties are far from being settled.
The eight bye-elections will be a precursor of a somewhat delayed finalisation of the brittle MoU. The three parties want to draw a plan on how and who will contest in each of the available wards.
This publication has gathered that the negotiations will not be a run off the mill because there is already an impasse between the Botswana Congress Party (BCP) which is a UDC constituent and AP (currently negotiating to join umbrella).
The by-elections joint committee met last week at Cresta President Hotel in a bid to finalise allocation but nothing tangible came out of the gathering, sources say.
The cause of the stalemate according to those close to events, is the Metsimotlhabe Ward which the two parties have set their eyes on.
In 2019, he ward was won by Botswana Democratic Party’s (BDP) Andrew Sebobi who unfortunately died in a tragic accident in February last year.
Sebobi had convincingly won by 1 109 votes in the last elections; and was trailed by Sephuthi Thelo of the UDC trailed him with 631 votes; while Alliance for Progressives’ Innocent Moamogwe got 371 votes.
Thelo is a BCP candidate and as per UDC norm, incumbency prevails meaning that the BCP will contest since they were runners up. On the other hand, AP has also raised its hand for the same.
“AP asked for it on the basis that they have a good candidate but BCP did not agree to that request also arguing they have a better contestant,” one UDC member confided to this publication.
Notwithstanding Metsimotlhabe Ward squabble, it is said the by-election talks are almost a done deal, with Botswana National Front (BNF) tipped to take Boseja South ward in Mochudi East constituency. Botswana Patriotic Front (BPF) will be awarded Tamasane Ward in Lerala/Maunatlala constituency, sources say.
“But the agreement has to be closed by National Executive Committee (NEC),” emphasized the informant.
The NEC is said to have been cautioned not to back the wrong horse but rather rate with reason and facts.
UDC President, Duma Boko has told this publication that, “allocation is complete with two wards already awarded but with only one yet to be finalized,” he could not dwell into much details as to which party got what and the reasons for the delay in finalisation.
Chairperson of the by-elections committee, Dr. Phenyo Butale responded to this publication regarding the matter: “As AP we contested and as you may be aware we signed the MoU with UDC and BPF to collaborate on bye-elections. The opposition candidate for all bye-elections will be agreed by these parties and that process is still ongoing,” he said when asked if AP is interested on the ward and how far with the talks on bye-elections.
Butale, a former Gaborone Central Member of Parliament, who is also AP Secretary General continued to say, “As the chairperson of the bye-elections committee we are still seized with that matter. We should also do some consultations with the local structures. Once the process is complete we will issue a notice for now we cannot talk about the other two while the other is still pending the other one”.
Butale further clarified: “There is no such thing as AP and BCP not in agreement. It is an issue of signatories discussing and determining the opposition candidates across the three wards.”
Apart from the three wards, there are five more council wards that UDC is yet to allocate to cooperating partners.
FROM PALAPYE MEET: BPP CAUTION NEC MEMBERS
With the UDC cheerful from last weekend’s meeting in Palapye, the meeting however was very tense on the side of both BCP and BNF, with only BPP flexing its muscle and even lashing out.
BCP going into the meeting, had promised to ask difficult questions to the UDC NEC.
BCP VP and also acting Secretary General, Dr. Kesitegile Gobotswang, presented their qualms which were addressed by UDC Chairperson Motlatsi Molapisi, informants say.
It is said Molapisi is fed up and concerned by some UDC members especially those in the NEC who ‘wash party’s dirty linen in public’.
Insiders say the veteran politician cautioned the NEC members that they “will not expel any party but individuals who tarnish the image of the UDC.”
It is not the first time BPP play a paternalistic role as it once expressed its discontent with BCP in 2020, saying it should never wash UDC linen in public.
At first it is said, BPP, the oldest political formation in Botswana, claims disappointment on BCP stance that UDC should be democratised especially by sharing their stand with the media. Again, BPP was not happy with BCP leader Dumelang Saleshando’s decision to air his personal views on social media regarding the merger of UDC party.
Botswana Police Service (BPS) Commissioner, Keabetswe Makgophe, has of late been dousing raging fires from various quarters of society following the infiltration of the police fingerprint system by the Directorate on Intelligence and Security (DIS), WeekendPost has learnt.
Fresh information gleaned from a number of impeccable sources, points to a pitiable working relationship between the two state organs. Cause of concern is the DIS continuous big brother role to an extent that it is now interfering with other institutions’ established mandates.
BPS which works closely with the DIS has been left exasperated by the works of the institution formed in 2008. It is said, the DIS through its Information Technology (IT) experts in collusion with some at BPS forensics department managed to infiltrate the Fingerprint system.
The infiltration, according to those in the know, was for the DIS to “teach a lesson” to some who are on their radar. It is said the DIS is playing and fighting dirty to win the fights they have lost before.
By managing to hack the police finger print system, a number of renowned businessmen and other politically exposed persons found their fingers in the system. What surprised the victims is the fact that they have never been charged of any wrongdoing by the police and they were left reeling in shock to learn that their fingers are on the data-base of criminals.
In fact, some of those who their fingerprints were falsely included in the records of those on the wrong side of law learnt later when other errands demanded their fingerprints.
“We learnt later when we had to submit and buy some documents and we were very shocked,” one politician who is also a businessman confided to this publication this week.
“We then learn that there are some fabricated criminality recorded for us, as to when did we commit those remained secret to the police, but then we had to engage our lawyers on the matter and that is when we were cleared,” said the politician-cum- tenderpreneur.
The lawyers have confirmed engaging the police and that the matters were settled in a gentlemen’s agreement and concluded.
All these happened behind the scenes with the police top brass oblivious only to be confronted by the irked lot, police sources also add. The victimized group who most of them have been fighting lengthy battles with the DIS read malice and did not blink when it was revealed that these were done by the DIS.
“And it was clear that they (DIS) are the ones in this dirty war which we don’t understand. Remember when we sue, it will be the Police at the courts not the DIS and that is why we agreed to a ceasefire more so they also requested that be kept under carpet,” said the victim.
Nonetheless, the Police through its spokesperson Assistant Commissioner, Dipheko Motube, briefly said: “we do not have any system that has been hacked.” On the other hand DIS mouthpiece Edward Robert was not in office this week to comment on the matter.
Reports however say DIS boss, Peter Magosi, who most of the victims accuse of the job, is said to have met his police counterpart Makgophe to put the matter to bed.
COVID-19 RAVAGES POLICE
As frontline workers, Police have not escaped the wrath of Covid-19. Already the numbers of those infected has reached the highest of high and they suggest that they be priorities on vaccine rollout.
“Our job is complicated, firstly we arrest including those who are non-compliant to Covid protocols and we go to accidents and many more. These put us at risk and it seems our superiors are not bothered,” said one police officer this week.
The cops further complain about that working spaces are small, as such expose them to contact the virus.
“Some tests positive and go for quarantine while the rest of the unit will be left without even test carried out. If at all the bosses are serious all the police officers should every now and then be subjected to testing or else we will be no more because of the virus,” added another officer based in Gaborone.
The government has since placed teachers on the priority list for the vaccines, it remains to be seen whether the police, who also man road blocks, will be considered.
“But our bosses should convince the country leadership about this, if not then we are doomed,” concluded a more senior officer.