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Kalahari Copper Belt covert search while BCL lies moribund

International explorers with high appetite for copper mining have descended on Botswana ground to explore the untapped area of Kalahari Copper Belt whose underground soil is proven to have hid the treasurous red metal.

The Kalahari Copper Belt is said to contain millions of tonnes of copper and silver resources inside the 1,000-kilometre belt running south west to north east and foreign companies are already pouring billions of Pula in investment. This is despite government of Botswana shutting down a copper operation, BCL, citing failure of copper in the markets and the mine’s inability to be financially sustainably. BCL has been left flat on the ground and currently going through a controversial process of liquidation which is now on its third year; politicians and commentators alike are pointing a sharp finger at government as copper is now the new thing with the advent of Asia’s electric vehicles boom.

Recently international exploration companies have come out with their machinery and have eventually found a new home in the Kalahari Copper Belt. There are two mines on the offing at the Kalahari Copper Belt – the T3 (Motheo) project of Tshukudu Metals Botswana and the Zone 5 project of Khoemacau Copper Mining. These projects are expected to take off by 2020.

The most recent company showing desire for Botswana copper is the Australian copper producer Sandfire Resources which has even taken a bold step of engulfing a fellow Australian copper explorer MOD Resources, an entity with copper rights in this country. Sandfire will take over MOD together with its Botswana businesses or subsidiaries. 

MOD Resources, listed on the ASX and LSE, owns the T3 copper project in Botswana where a prefeasibility study estimated that the project would require a capital investment of P1.5 billion for development of an open pit operation and a plant with a 2.5-million-tonne-a-year throughput capacity, producing 23 000 t/y copper and 690 000 oz/y of silver in concentrate.

Sanfire Resources’ cornerstone asset is the high-grade, low cost DeGrussa Copper-Gold Mine in Australia. According to the company, it also has an interest in the Black Butte copper project in Montana, USA.  Before having an eye on African or Botswana, Sandfire is strategically focused on exploring for and bringing on new production that can in the short run augment its current production and in the long run, replace production as DeGrussa production diminishes and ultimately ceases.

Now Sandfire is aiming for the “highly prospective, dominant landholding on the underexplored Kalahari copper belt in Botswana.” According to information from the Australian bourse, combination of Sandfire and MOD leverages the strengths of both companies to both optimise and de-risk development.

According to information seen by this publication, the T3 Project in Botswana meets Sandfire's investment criteria, including returns, cost profile, scale, life and upside potential.  This also represents an attractive premium for MOD shareholders, whilst providing a funding solution for the development of T3 and retaining exposure to MOD’s significant exploration potential, according to information received.

Competition Authority has recently received a merger notification for the proposed acquisition of the entire issued share capital of MOD Resources by Sandfire Resources. The local antitrust body is interested in this acquisition due to MOD’s control on Botswana listed entities which will be involved in this transaction as subsidiaries or shareholders.  MOD controls MOD Resource Botswana which owns Tshukudu Metals Botswana.

Tshukudu Metals Botswana is a company incorporated in accordance with the Laws of the Republic of Botswana. Tshukudu Metal does not directly or indirectly control any firm in Botswana. According to Competition Authority, Tshukudu Metals is a mineral exploration company and currently does not provide any service or sell any products into or from Botswana. Its shareholders do not own shares in any other Botswana company.

The Directors of Tshukudu Metals are: Leutlwetse Tumelo; Gabaikangwe Chinyepi (both Batswana); Julian Phillip Hanna; and Mark Andre Clements (both Australians). MOD also controls Tshukudu Exploration Botswana whose directors are the same as those of Tshukudu Metals. Even though Tshukudu is a company registered in this country it does not directly or indirectly control any firm in Botswana. Though Tshukudu Explorations has not commenced trading, it is a mineral exploration company. Its shareholders also do not own shares in any other company incorporated in Botswana.

One of MOD’s local directors did Leutlwetse Tumelo want to divulge the details of the Sandfire takeover to BusinessPost. He only said, “the acquisition of MOD Resources by Sandfire is still going through some key regulatory approval processes. Until these processes are completed we cannot disclose more details around the transaction.”

Khoemacau bets billions on Kalahari Copper Belt

At last year’s Botswana Resource Sector Conference (BRSC) it was discussed that the Kalahari Copper Belt has a huge potential of becoming the copper hub of Botswana. But it will continue to be dwarfed by the gigantic production of the Central African Copperbelt of Zambia and the DRC. Those who speak for diversification from another mineral, to move from diamonds, hope for copper to take over-but it is still too far according to experts. Copper stands in a pole position at this time of the revolution of Asian markets demanding the red metal for electric vehicles manufacturing.

The Kalahari Copper Belt is referred as a ‘corridor’ of sediment-hosted copper/silver mineralization extending south-west from Maun in Botswana through to the Namibian border and beyond. The copper belt however has its mishaps. In 2015 February, 422 workers who went out to mine for a better life in the Kalahari had their hopes abruptly cut down when Boseto mine was closed. 

Owners of the Boseto mine, Discovery Metals Limited, had spent P1.75 billion on the project had to endure the slump of copper demand and prices in those years, but the mine is said to have been put on a deathbed by over-reliance on the unsustainable diesel generation which contributed to 35 percent of the mine’s operating costs. The Boseto mine used 17.1 million litres of diesel in generating its electricity, spending P26 million monthly, leading to its mothball.

The US-based Cupric Canyon Capital with its subsidiary Khoemacau Copper Mining purchased Boseto mine in 2015 including a new 3 Mt/a concentrator which was commissioned in 2012 by Australia’s Discovery Metals, and a Tailings Storage Facility (TSF). Cupric Canyon Capital has already spent almost P7.3 billion on the Kalahari Copper Belt for the Khoemacau mine. It is recently projected that Khoemacau copper production will increase to 62.000 metric tonnes while that of silver to 1.9 million ounces silver annually.

President Mokgweetsi Masisi evidently ushered the closure of the BCL copper mine in 2016 while still a vice president. But when ushering the opening of Khoemacau recently, Masisi is a man who now speaks with a renewed heart showing a lot of hope in the future of copper as an economic factor in the case of the newly reopened copper mine.

At a time when copper markets were raising most skepticism, government decided to put BCL on a sick bed and (government) claimed that it could not afford to fund the mine. That time Masisi stood firm and defended government’s decision to put the mine on liquidation as the most prudent. But his words and decisions have come back to haunt him and his presidency as copper is now in demand.

“The future looks bright for copper mining as the global forecasts indicated that copper demand globally was expected to exceed supply by mid-2020s because there was a surging growth from the power and utilities sector especially in China, India and other Asian nations,” said Masisi during the r recent opening of Khoemacau Mine.

When addressing attendees during the opening of Khoemacau Masisi said more than P4 billion was dedicated to be spent between 2018 and 2021 for developing the necessary infrastructure required to operate. He further touted Khoemacau to come with revenue of P10 billion over its 22 year operational life from 2021-2042, a tax revenue of P700 million and the creation of about 1200 jobs during the first phase including 1663 jobs on average per year as well as 883 direct jobs.

Copper prices

While appetite on copper mining and production is growing rapidly, latest figures show that there has been an unsettling trend of falling copper prices in recent months.  From a huge fall in price in the end of last year December, copper prices rose from $2.62/lb to $2.96/lb after February this year. This year the month of August shows it is a month of lows in the copper market.

Expects say this is due to US President Donald Trump last week statement that he would impose more tariffs on Chinese import and the Oriental giant retaliating that it will fight back, ending a month-long trade truce between the world’s two biggest economies. The failure of truce also further fuels the two nations’ long standing trade war.

China and its Asian brothers supply the world, including America, with electric vehicles and a lot of goods that uses copper. Hence a spike in tariffs by US means less production of copper using goods in Asia which also results in less demand for copper, subsequently red metal prices go down. The copper prices have been sharply plummeting since the end of July. At the wake of last week Trump announcement on tariffs prices went to the lows at $2.57/lb on 4 August. However there is a positive trend this week, much to the interest of copper producers, on Wednesday this week the prices even reached a high of $2.61/lb.

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The  Bulb World CEO selected for Africa’s prestigious award

22nd July 2021

The Bulb World Chief Executive Officer (CEO) and entrepreneur, Ketshephaone Jacob has been selected as a 2021 Top 50 Africa’s Business Hero.

Jacob was chosen from a pool of 12,000 applicants – many of whom are highly-skilled and accomplished entrepreneurs.

Africa’s Business Hero, sponsored by technology entrepreneur, Jack Ma, aims to identify, support and inspire the next generation of African entrepreneurs who are making a difference in their local communities, working to solve the most pressing problems, and building a more sustainable and inclusive economy for the future.

The initiative is as inclusive as possible and applications were open in English and French to entrepreneurs from all African countries, all sectors, and all ages who operate businesses formally registered and headquartered in an African country, and that have a 3 year-track record.

Every year, finalists are selected to compete in the ABH finale pitch competition and participate in a TV Show that will be broadcast online and across the continent.

The finalists will compete for a share of US $1.5 million in grant money.

The Bulb World, is home grown LED light manufacturing company, which was partly funded by Citizen Entrepreneurial Development Agency (CEDA) at the tune of P4 million, to manufacture LED lighting bulbs for both commercial and residential use in 2017.

The Bulb World operate from the Special Economic Zone of Selibe Phikwe. Early this year, The BulB World announced its expansion to South Africa, setting in motion its ambitious Africa expansion plan.

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Business

Mining production down 12 % IN Q1 2021

14th July 2021

During the first quarter of 2021, production in Botswana’s economic nucleus- the mining sector contracted by 12 percent. This is according to Mining Production Index released by Statistics Botswana this week.

The country’s central data body revealed that Index of Mining production stood at 74.4 during the first quarter of 2021, showing a negative year on-year growth of 12.0 percent, from 84.6 registered during the first quarter of 2020.

The main contributor to the decline in mining production came from the Diamonds sector, which contributed negative 11.7 percentage points. Soda Ash was the only positive contributor in the mining production, contributing 0.1 of a percentage point. However Soda Ash’s contribution was insignificant to offset the negative contribution made by Diamonds.

The quarter-on-quarter analysis by Statistics Botswana experts shows an increase of 16.3 percent from the index of 64.0 during the fourth quarter of 2020 to 74.4 observed during the period under review.

Diamond production decreased by 12.1 percent during the first quarter of 2021 compared to the same quarter of the previous year. The decrease was as a result of planned strategy to align production with weaker trading conditions mostly linked to Covid-19 protocols restrictions.

Botswana’s diamond sector is underpinned by Debswana, the country’s flagship rough producer- a 50-50 joint venture between government and global mining giant De Beers Group. The other producer is Canadian based Lucara Diamond Corp through its wholly owned Karowe Mine which is a relatively small but significant production that has made a name for itself worldwide with rare diamond recoveries of unprecedented carat size.

On the other hand, quarter-on quarter analysis shows that production has improved, registering a positive growth of 17.5 percent during the first quarter of 2021 compared to the preceding quarter – 2020 Q4.

Though production was significantly lower in the first quarter, the two producers ended Q2 with rare diamond recoveries. Debswana early last month found the world’s third largest gem diamond – weighing 1098 carat at Jwaneng Mine, its flagship gem quality diamonds producer, also regarded the world’s richest diamond mine.

A week later Lucara  announced its second biggest recovery, the 1174 carat clivage near-gem dug from its Karowe Mine. The diamond is the world third in carat size after the plus-3000 carat Cullinan found in South Africa back in 1905 and the 1758 carat Sewelo unearthed at its Karowe mine in 2019. Debswana and Lucara are investing billions of pulas in underground mining projects to extend the life of its mines, Jwaneng & Karowe respectively.

In terms of Gold which is produced at Mupani mine near Botswana’s second city of Francistown output decreased by 17.9 percent during the first quarter of 2021 compared to the same quarter of the previous year.

Similarly, quarter-on-quarter analysis reflects that production decreased by 21.4 percent during the first quarter of 2021, compared to the preceding quarter. The decrease was as a result of the deteriorating lifespan of the mine as well as the impact of COVID-19 which slowed down the mining activities.

Soda Ash production increased by 11.1 percent during the first quarter of 2021 compared to the same quarter of the previous year. In terms of quarter-on-quarter Soda Ash production also showed an increase, picking up by 2.1 percent during the period under review. The increase in production is attributable to the effectiveness of the plant following refurbishment which occurred in the third quarter of 2020.

Salt production decreased by 34.0 percent during the first quarter of 2021, compared to the same quarter of the previous year. Similarly, the quarter-on-quarter analysis shows that salt production registered a decrease of 32.9 percent during the period under review. Both salt and Sodash are produced by partly government owned Botswana Ash (BotsAsh) operating from Sowa town near Makgadikgadi pans.

Coal production decreased by 11.2 percent during the first quarter of 2021, compared to the corresponding quarter of the previous year. The decrease was attributed to the reduced demand from Morupule B Power Station following the remedial works being undertaken, as one boiler was in operation during the period under review.

Although production fell, Statistics Botswana says there was no shortfall in supply of coal due to stockpiling. On the other hand, the quarter-on-quarter comparison shows that coal production increased by 20.4 percent compared to the preceding quarter.

Botswana’s flagship coal producer is Morupule Coal Mine; a wholly state owned mining company located in Palapye producing primarily for Botswana Power Corporation (BPC)’s power generation plants Morupule A & B.

The other coal producer is Botswana Stock Exchange listed Minergy which operates a 390 MT Coal Resource mine in Masama near Media in the southwestern edge of the Mmamabula Coalfields.

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Gov’t awards mining licence for Gantsi Copper Mine

14th July 2021
Moagi

Department of Mines in the Ministry of Mineral Resources, Green Technology & Energy Security has awarded mining licence to Tshukudu Metals-a subsidiary of Aussie firm Sandfire Resources ,giving the company a green light to start piecing the ground at its Motheo Copper Project near Gantsi.

Lefoko Moagi, minister in charge of mineral resources in Botswana confirmed to weekendpost on Tuesday. Minister Moagi revealed that “the licence has been approved , but Sandfire Resources as a listed company will report to its shareholders and investors then make an official public statement” he said.

Based on a forecast copper price of US$3.16/lb (reflecting current long-term consensus pricing) the Base Case 3.2Mtpa – Ghantsi copper project is forecast to generate US$664 million (over P7 billion) in pre-tax free cash-flow and US$987 million (over P10 billion) in EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Tax, Depreciation and Amortisation), at a forecast all-in sustaining cost of US$1.76/lb over its first 10 years of operations.

In December 2020, the Board of Sandfire Resources approved the commercial development of the Motheo Copper Mine located in the Kalahari Copper Belt in Botswana, marking a key step in its transformation into a global, diversified, and sustainable mining company.

Tshukudu Metals Botswana (Pty) Limited (Tshukudu) a 100% owned subsidiary will be the owner and operator of the Motheo Copper Mine which is scheduled to produce up to 30,000 tonnes per annum of copper in concentrate over a 12 year mine life.TMB is targeting development of its Motheo Copper Mine in 2021 and 2022, with its first production in 2023.

GOVERNMENT NOT TAKING UP 15 % STAKE ON OFFER

Beginning of this year presentations were made to the Department of Mines as part of the Mining Licence approval process and to the Ghanzi Regional Council, additional information was requested by Department of Mines in April and was duly supplied by the company.

As part of the Mining Licence approval process, the Government of Botswana has a right to acquire up to a 15% fully contributing interest in all mining projects locally. Quizzed on whether government through Mineral Development Corporation Botswana (MDCB) would be taking up stake in the project Minister Moagi said, “No consideration is being made on that regard”.

“Government is not considering taking up a stake in the Ghantsi Copper Mine project, every opportunity is assessed on all risks, but Government makes money all the while from leases, taxes and royalties, remember if you take stake you are liable for liabilities of the project as well,” Moagi said.

MINING CONTRACT

Last month Sandfire announced that it has awarded over P5 billion worth mining contract to African Mining Services (AMS), a subsidiary of Perenti, to deliver the open cast operation.

The contract, which has an estimated value of US$496 million (over 5 billion), is the largest single operational contract for the new Motheo Project covering a period of 7 years and 3 months, with provision for a one-year extension.

The contract according to Sandfire Resources was awarded following a competitive 3-stage tender process which saw a number of key factors taken into consideration when selecting the preferred contractor.

These included Citizen Economic Empowerment, safety culture, equipment suitability and availability, commercial terms and identified improvement opportunities. Under the terms of the contract, AMS has agreed to form a 70:30 Joint Venture with a suitable local Botswana partner or partners.

The JV is expected to be finalized ahead of commencement of mining in early 2022. African Mining Services has been operating in Africa for over 30 years. AMS’ parent company, ASX listed diversified mining services group Perenti, already has a presence in Botswana through Barminco, their underground mining division, at the large-scale Khoemacau Copper Mine located 200km north-east of Motheo.

Last month Sandfire executives said the award of the open pit mining contract represents another key milestone in advancing the Motheo Project towards production, with all components of the contract in line with the key parameters outlined in the December 2020 Definitive Feasibility Study (DFS).

The company said full-scale construction of the US$279 million (over P 3 billion ) mine development is expected to commence immediately upon receipt of the Mining Licence, with mining scheduled to commence in early 2022 ahead of first production in early 2023. This week Sandfire Resources advertised over 10 positions in calling on applications from geologists, mining engineers and geotechnical engineers.

The Motheo mine has an initial mine life of 12.5 years based on production from the T3 pit. The initial development is expected to generate approximately 1,000 jobs during the construction phase and 600 direct full-time jobs during operations, with at least 95% of the total mine workforce expected to be made of up of Botswana citizens.

Later in the week Sandfire Resources announced in the company website that it has received the licence. Sandfire’s Managing Director and CEO, Mr Karl Simich, said the award of the Mining Licence represented a major milestone that would see a significant increase in construction and development activities on site.

“We are absolutely delighted to now be in a position to move to full-scale construction at Motheo, with our construction crews expected to mobilise to site over the next few days. I would like to thank the Government of Botswana for their support throughout the approvals process, which will see Motheo come on-stream in 2023 as one of very few new copper mines commencing production globally.”

Simich said the project is expected to generate approximately 1,000 jobs during construction and 600 full-time jobs during operations, and represents the foundation for Sandfire’s long-term growth plans in Botswana.

“Our vision is that Motheo will form the centre of a new, long-life copper production hub in in the central portion of the world-class Kalahari Copper Belt, where we hold an extensive ground-holding spanning Botswana and Namibia,” he said.

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