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Kagiso Mmusi could be Masisi VP – Plan B

President Mokgweetsi Masisi, is reportedly drawing up his own succession plan on who could be his substantive assistant and ultimately President in 2028, and the name of Gabane-Mmankgodi, Botswana Democratic Party (BDP) parliamentary candidate Kagiso Mmusi, is leading the pack, Weekendpost has been informed.

Mmusi is the son to former Vice President, Peter Mmusi and he is said to be in the President’s good books. In fact, it is said, Masisi and Mmusi have always been ‘buddies’, something which the parliamentary hopeful vehemently denies. “He is my boss not my friend,” Mmusi stressed in an interview with this publication.’

Reports from highly placed sources say, Masisi is drawing up his own plan and wants to eliminate all the ‘has-beens’ with his new crop of leaders, hence why the name of Mmusi is leading. Furthermore, it is said that within the BDP, the mood is not that optimistic on the prospects of the current VP Slumber Tsogwane, winning his constituency back. This has motivated Masisi to come up with an alternate name to fill the shoes, should he lose. The same person is expected to be substantive VP who will lead this country in 2028, when Masisi vacates office.

Early last year, Tsogwane had no plans to contest the 2019 General Elections, until he was cajoled to, fueling speculation of a transitional Vice President. Those in the know say this shows that he was just a makeshift VP, who even if he could win this year will not occupy the high office in nine years to come. While the matter is still a confidential matter even within the party except for a select few, reports say the two men (Masisi and Mmusi), have met more than once in South Africa regarding the issue.

The results of the private meetings are also a secret. Initially it was expected that Masisi wanted party Secretary General Mpho Balopi, to succeed him. Again Minister of Transport and Communications Dorcas Makgato’s name, was in the mix to succeed Masisi. Masisi is facing the same predicament as former president Ian Khama regarding the post of VP. The President has lost some of his most senior cabinet ministers in the primaries.

With Pelonomi Venson-Moitoi, Botlogile Tshireletso, and Unity Dow out, Masisi’s pool of Ministerial choices cannot get any shallower. Most of his senior ministers lost in Bulela Ditswe. All his Ministers including Shaw Kgathi, Tshenolo Mabeo, Nonofho Molefhi, Vincent Seretse, Alfred Madigele, Kefentse Mzwinila, Patrick Ralotsia, all lost. This has left Masisi with nothing except to look for a successor.  

Talking to this publication on Thursday this week, Mmusi said he is ready to serve this country in any portfolio. “That one I can’t say much about it,” he said before laughing the matter off. “I am ready to serve in any position, be it either cabinet and or VP like you say. If my boss (Masisi), gives me a vote of confidence to serve in any portfolio, I will definitely do so. All these for me show how much people believe in me and its motivation,” he said in a telephone interview.

Mmusi who is a businessman, is said to be very close with Masisi, hence he is being identified as a possible president for this country. “He is my boss not friend, I get instructions from him. We do meet here and there, mostly on party occasions. But I wouldn’t say we have a relaxed relationship. Maybe after winning elections the relation would be better,” he maintained, as he seemingly laughed the matter off yet again.

Mmusi will be trying to wrestle the constituency from Alliance for Progressives (AP) Major General Pius Mokgware, who won it by 7155. He was then followed by BDP’s Lesedi Mmusi, who garnered 6833, with BCP’s Mzambiya Dibe on third by 3056. This year once again, the constituency is still unpredictable. Should Mmusi lose, Masisi may possibly find himself facing the same predicament as that of his immediate predecessor, Khama.

Ironically, it was the same predicament that worked in Masisi’s favor, leaving him the only preferred choice for Khama’s VP at the time. Khama’s succession plans had initially suffered a blow when his then possible candidate for VP Ramadeluka Seretse, then Minister of Defense, fell out with the President’s blue eyed boy, then Director of the Directorate of Intelligence Security Services (DISS), Isaac Kgosi. Seretse would later suffer a humiliating defeat to the now incumbent Serowe North MP Kgotla Autlwetse, in the BDP primary elections leading up to the 2014 General Elections.

With Seretse out of the picture, Khama pinned his hopes on his next choice, the then Goodhope-Mabule MP Kitso Mokaila. As fate would have it, Mokaila also suffered a devastating loss to the Umbrella for Democratic Change (UDC) candidate James Mathokgwane, in the 2014 General Elections.

Khama pinned his hopes on former Permanent Secretary to the President (PSP), Eric Molale. Again, things did not go according to plan as Molale lost the Goodhope-Mabule Parliamentary by-election to another UDC candidate, Barolong Paramount Chief, Kgosi Lotlaamoreng. Khama was now left with the almost impossible choice of handing down the baton to his younger brother Tshekedi Khama, replacing Masisi. It was a risk he was not prepared to take. He was stuck with Masisi.

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Civil Service volatility: Democracy vs Bureaucracy

19th April 2021
President Masisi

Here is how one Permanent Secretary encapsulates the clear tension between democracy and bureaucracy in Botswana: “President Mokgweetsi Masisi’s Government is behaving like a state surrounded with armed forces in order to capture it or force its surrender. The situation has turned so volatile, for tomorrow is not guaranteed for us top civil servants.

These are the painful results of a personalized civil service in our view as permanent secretaries”. Although his deduction of the situation may be summed as sour grapes because he is one of the ‘victims’ of the reshuffle, he is convinced this is a perfect description of the rationale behind frequent changes and transfers characterising the current civil service.

The result of it all, he said, is that “there is too much instability at managerial and strategic levels of the civil service leading to a noticeable directionless civil service.” He continued: “Changes and transfers are inevitable in the civil service, but to a permissible scale and frequency. Think of soccer team coach who changes and transfers his entire squad every month; you know the consequences?”

The Tsunami has hit hard at critical departments and Ministries leaving a strong wave of uncertainty, many demoralised and some jobless. In traditional approaches to public administration, democracy gives the goals; and bureaucracy delivers the technical efficiency required for implementation. But the recent moves in the civil service are indicative of conflicting imperatives – the notion of separation between politicians and administrators is becoming blurred by the day.

“Look at what happened to Prisons and BDF where second in command were overlooked for outsiders, and these are the people who had sacrificially served for donkey’s years hoping for a seat at the ladder’s end. The frequency of the changes, at times affecting the same Ministry or individual also demonstrates some level of ineptitude, clumsiness and lack of foresight from those in charge,” remarked the PS who added that their view is that the transfers are not related to anything but “settling scores, creating corruption opportunities and pushing out perceived dissident and former president, Ian Khama’s alleged loyalists and most of these transfers are said to be products of intelligence detection.”

Partly blaming Khama for the mess and his unwillingness to let go, the PS dismissed Masisi for falling to the trap and failing to outgrow the destructive tiff. “Khama is here to stay and the sooner Masisi comes to terms with the fact that he (Masisi) is the state President, the better. For a President to still be making these changes and transfers signals signs of a confused man who has not yet started rolling his roadmap, if at all it was ever there. I am saying this because any roadmap comes with key players and policies,” he concluded.

The Ministry of Health and Wellness seems to be the most hard-hit by the transfers, having experienced three Permanent Secretaries changes within a year and a half. Insiders say the changes have everything to do with the Ministry being the centre of COVID-19 tenders and economic opportunities. “The buck stops with the PS and no right-thinking PS can just allow glaring corruption under his watch as an accounting officer. Technocrats are generally law abiding, the pressure comes with politically appointed leaders racing against political terms to loot,” revealed a director in the Ministry preferring anonymity.

The latest transfer of Kabelo Ebineng she says was also motivated by his firm attitude against the President’s blue-eyed Task Team boys. “The Task Team wants to own the COVID-19 pandemic and government interventions and always cry foul when the Ministry reasserts itself as mandated by law,” said the director who added that Masisi who was always caught between the crossfire decided on sacrificing Ebineng to the joy of his team as they (Task Team) were in the habit of threatening to resign citing Ebineng as the problem.

Ebineng joins the Office of the President as a deputy Coordinator (government implementation and coordination office).The incoming PS is the soft-spoken Grace Muzila, known and described by her close associates as a conformist albeit knowledgeable.

One of the losers in the grand scheme is Thato Raphaka who many had seen as the next PSP because of his experience and calm demeanour following a declaration of interest in the Southern African Development Community (SADC) Secretary post by the current PSP, Elias Magosi.

But hardly ten months into his post, Raphaka has been transferred out to the National Strategy Office in what many see as a demotion of some sort. Other notable changes coming into OP are Pearl Ramokoka formerly with the Employment, Labour and Productivity Ministry coming in as a Permanent Secretary and Kgomotso Abi as director of Public Service Reforms.

One of the ousted senior officers in the Office of the President warned that there are no signs that the changes and transfers will stop anytime soon: “If you are observant you would have long noticed that the changes don’t only affect senior officers but government decisions as well. A decision is made today and the government backtracks on it within a week. Not only that, the President says this today, and his deputy denies it the following day in Parliament,” he warned.

Some observers have blamed the turmoil in the civil service partly to lack of accountable presidential advisers or kitchen cabinet properly schooled on matters of statecraft. They point out that politicians or those peripheral to them should refrain from hampering the technical and organizational activities of public managers – or else the party (reshuffling) won’t stop.

In the view expressed by some Permanent Secretaries, Elias Magosi, has not really been himself since joining the civil service; and has cut a picture of indifference in most critical engagements; the most notable been a permanent secretaries platform which he chairs. As things stand there is need to reconcile the imperatives of democracy and democracy in Botswana. Peace will rein only when public value should stand astride the fault that runs between politicians and public managers.

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Morupisi fights for freedom in court

19th April 2021
morupisi

Former Permanent Secretary to the President, Carter Morupisi, is fighting for survival in a matter in which the State has charged him and his wife, Pinnie Morupisi, with corruption and money laundering.

Morupisi has joined a list of prominent figures that served in the previous administration and who have been accused of corruption during their tenure in office. While others have been emerging victorious, Morupisi is yet to find that luck. The High Court recently dismissed his no case to answer application.

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Pressure mounts on Biden to suspend Covid-19 vaccine patents

19th April 2021
Joe Biden

United States President, Joe Biden, is faced with a decision to make relating to the Covid-19 vaccine intellectual property after 175 former world leaders and Nobel laurates joined the campaign urging the US to take “urgent action” to suspend intellectual property rights for Covid-19 vaccines to help boost global inoculation rates.

According to the world leaders, doing so would allow developing countries to make their own copies of the vaccines that have been developed by pharmaceutical companies without fear of being sued for intellectual property infringements.

“A WTO waiver is a vital and necessary step to bringing an end to this pandemic. It must be combined with ensuring vaccine know-how and technology is shared openly,” the signatories, comprising more than 100 Nobel prize-winners and over 70 former world leaders, wrote in a letter to US President Joe Biden, according to Financial Times.

A measure to allow countries to temporarily override patent rights for Covid related medical products was proposed at the World Trade Organization by India and South Africa in October, and has since been backed by nearly 60 countries.

Former leaders who signed the letter included Gordon Brown, former UK Prime Minister; François Hollande, former French President; Mikhail Gorbachev, former President of the USSR; and Yves Leterme, former Belgian Prime Minister.

In their official communication, South Africa and India said: “As new diagnostics, therapeutics and vaccines for Covid-19 are developed, there are significant concerns [about] how these will be made available promptly, in sufficient quantities and at affordable prices to meet global demand.”

While developed countries have been able to secure enough vaccine to inoculate their citizens, developing countries such as Botswana are struggling to source enough to swiftly vaccine their citizens, something which world leaders believe it would work against global recovery therefore proving counter-productive.

Since the availability of vaccines, Botswana has been able to secure only 60 000 doses of vaccines, 30 000 as donation as from the Indian government, while the other 30 000 was sourced through COVAX facility.  Canada, has pre-ordered vaccines in surplus and it will be able to vaccinate each of its citizens six times over. In the UK and US, it is four vaccines per person; and two each in the EU and Australia.

For vaccines produced in Europe, developing countries are forced to pay double what European countries are paying, making it more expensive for already financially struggling economies.  European countries however justify the price of vaccines and that they deserve to buy them cheap since they contributed in their development.

It is evident that vaccines cannot be made available immediately to all countries worldwide with wealthy economies being the only success story in that regard, something that has been referred to as a “catastrophic moral failure”, head of the World Health Organisation (WHO), Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus.

The challenge facing developing countries is not only the price, but also the capacity of vaccine manufactures to be able to do so to meet global demand within a short time. The proposal for a patent waiver by India and South Africa has been rejected by developed countries, known for hosting the world leading pharmaceutical companies such US, European Union, the United Kingdom, and Switzerland.

According to the Financial Times, US business groups including pharmaceutical industry representatives, have urged Biden to resist supporting a waiver to IP rules at the WTO, arguing that the proposal led by India and South Africa was too “vague” and “broad”.

The individuals who signed the letter, including Nobel laureates in economics as well as from across the arts and sciences, warned that inequitable vaccine access would impact the global economy and prevent it from recovering.

“The world saw unprecedented development of safe and effective vaccines, in major part thanks to US public investment,” the group wrote. “We all welcome that vaccination rollout in the US and many wealthier countries is bringing hope to their citizens.”

“Yet for the majority of the world that same hope is yet to be seen. New waves of suffering are now rising across the globe. Our global economy cannot rebuild if it remains vulnerable to this virus.”
The group warned that fully enforcing IP was “self-defeating for the US” as it hindered global vaccination efforts. “Given artificial global supply shortages, the US economy already risks losing $1.3tn in gross domestic product this year.”

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