Surplus budget fails as deficit spills over to second half of NDP 11
The 2020/21 national budget projections forecast another deficit for Botswana; this emerged at a Budget Pitso and launch of the Budget strategy paper by the Ministry of Finance & Economic Development in Gabcorone this week.
Deliberating on the strategy paper, experts from the Ministry said the 2020/21 budget points to a deficit, contrary to one of the NDP 11 fiscal objective of maintaining modest surpluses in the second half of the Plan period. When National Development Plan 11 was launched in 2017 it was revealed that the first three financial years would run at a contained budget deficit financed from both external and domestic capital market. This was reiterated by Minister of Finance Kenneth Matambo when delivering the 2019/20 Budget Speech in February his year. He said government would be eying a slight surplus going into 2020.
However discussions from the Budget Pitso as well as figures contained in the strategy paper reveal something completely different. Budget defict runs will spill over into the second half of NDP 11.The current 2019/2020 budget marks the end of the first half of the implementation of the National Development Plan (NDP) 11.
Since the beginning of the implementation of NDP 11 in 2017/2018, a cumulative budget deficit of P16.11 billion has been recorded. This according to authorities from the national treasury was largely due to a decline in projected mineral revenues against the rising recurrent commitments.
2020/21 EXPENDITURE WILL SUFFOCATE REVENUE STREAMS
In the upcoming financial year projected Total Revenues and Grants for 2020/2021 amounts to P59.1 billion, representing an increase of 1.5 percent, compared to P58.2 billion estimated in 2019/2020. The projected slow growth in total revenues is largely driven by the Mineral revenues, which is expected to account for 29.6 percent to the total revenue, followed by Customs and Excise revenues at 26 percent.
Ministry of Finance says compared to the NDP 11 projected figure of P62.1 billion, the forecast total revenue for 2020/2021 is well below the NDP 11 figure by 4.8 percent, reflecting to a large extent the downward revision in mineral revenues as a result of the anticipated investments at Debswana Cut 3 and Cut 9 projects which are aimed at extending the productive capacity of the two major Debswana mines. This follows the decision by Debswana Shareholders to finance the investments through dividends.
On the expenditure fronts total expenditure and net lending in 2020/2021 is projected at P66.1 billion, of which P54.1 billion is allocated for recurrent expenditure, while P12.0 billion is earmarked for development expenditure. The projected amount for the development expenditure is also below the projected NDP 11 figure of P16.9 billion by 29 percent. The downward revision in the development budget is a result of the growth in recurrent budget, following a 16.5 percent upward revision in order to cater for the projected increase in wages and salaries
OVER P6.9 BILLION DEFICIT PROJECTED
The projected figures depict a fiscal balance stand of P6.94 billion, which is 3.1 percent of GDP. Cumulatively, the deficit points to P10.86 billion during the second half of the Plan period, which is an addition to the P16.11 billion recorded in the first half of the Plan period.
The anticipated budget deficit is expected to be financed through a combination of borrowing mainly domestic and drawing down on Government cash balances held at Bank of Botswana. The ministry says this however compromises fiscal sustainability in the long term, as well as the ability to meet short term obligations such as regular payment for imports of goods and services.
PREVAILING POTENTIAL HEADWINDS
Ministry of Finance and Developmental Planning has cautioned the nation of serious trouble that lies ahead should current macroeconomic and fiscal headwinds persist. The Macroeconomic space will continue receiving headblows from the China –US trade tension putting pressure on rough diamond sales global economic outlook. It is underscored in the Budget Strategy paper that weak diamond sales pose downside risks to mineral revenues, which remain low following the decision by Debswana to finance the Cut 3 and Cut 9 projects from the dividends.
Furthermore, risks to the revenue outlook take into account the continued weak market for rough diamonds which has affected sales through De Beers Global Sightholder Sales. The negative fiscal outlook is exacerbated by increased recurrent pressures arising from the need to cater for the recent salary adjustments as well as other expenditure pressures arising from investment in critical infrastructure such as those for water and electricity. This is expected to raise the recurrent budget in the years ahead, while at the same time, crowding out development spending necessary for growth.
Finance experts say the expected decline in revenues amidst rising expenditure pressures give rise to budget deficits, which in turn, need to be financed by either borrowing or drawing down on Government cash reserves; the latter which has experienced significant deterioration over the past decade. “This has implications on the country’s ability to sustain and cushion the economy against any future external shocks, debt levels, as well as, to meet its import obligations and credit worthiness”
SUBDUED DIAMOND MARKET: HIGH RISK THREAT
Rough diamonds sales fell by well over 50 percent during the sixth De Beers Global Sightholder sales cycle, following a 16 percent drop in the second quarter of 2019. The decline in diamond sales has already started to weigh down on output, as Debswana adjusted mining production downwards during the second quarter of the year in line with the weaker demand for rough diamonds.
Production decreased by nine (9) per cent to 5.7 million carats during the second quarter of the year. This was also exacerbated by a decrease in production by 23 percent at Orapa to 2.5 million carats, following a planned plant shut down. “Should the situation persists, it may pose further risks to the domestic revenue outlook, as it would affect the growth in mining value added and a spill over to other sectors that depend on mining activities such as manufacturing and finance business services, which include diamond cutting and polishing as well as sorting and valuation” writes Ministry of Finance on the Strategy paper.
DIVERSIFICATION OF NATIONAL REVENUE PROFILE KEY
The 2020/21 Budget Strategy paper recommends that appropriate measures such as diversifying the current revenue profile be put in place with a view to cushioning against any future pressures on volatile mineral and customs & excise revenue streams.
“This calls for the need to adhere to Government’s fiscal rule of restricting further growth in the recurrent expenditure in order to create room for the subdued development budget, in particular, by allowing for spending on high return projects, which can create employment opportunities”
On the emphasis the paper underscores that there is need to restore the fiscal position of the country, as part of the maintenance of macroeconomic stability. Ministry of Finance says Successive budget deficits experienced since the commencement of NDP 11 have placed the country on an unsustainable fiscal trajectory, which needs to be seriously addressed in the second half of NDP 11. “Going forward, measures will need to be taken to restore fiscal sustainability, as part of the suite of strategies to maintain macroeconomic stability necessary for growth and employment creation.
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19 Bokamoso Private Hospital nurses graduate at Lenmed Nursing College
The graduation of 19 nurses from Bokamoso Private Hospital at Lenmed Nursing College marks a significant milestone in their careers. These nurses have successfully completed various short learning programs, including Adult Intensive Care Unit, Emergency Nursing Care, Anaesthetic & Recovery Room Nursing, Anaesthetic Nursing, and Recovery Room Nursing. The ceremony, held in Gaborone, was a testament to their hard work and dedication.
Lenmed Nursing College, a renowned healthcare group with a presence in South Africa, Botswana, Mozambique, and Ghana, has been instrumental in providing quality education and training to healthcare professionals. The Group Head of Operations, Jayesh Parshotam, emphasized the importance of upskilling nurses, who are at the forefront of healthcare systems. He also expressed his appreciation for the partnerships with Bokamoso Private Hospital, the Ministry of Health, and various health training institutes in Botswana.
Dr. Morrison Sinvula, a consultant from the Ministry of Health, commended Lenmed Health and Lenmed Nursing College for their commitment to the education and training of these exceptional nurses. He acknowledged their guidance, mentorship, and support in shaping the nurses’ careers and ensuring their success. Dr. Sinvula also reminded the graduates that education does not end here, as the field of healthcare is constantly evolving. He encouraged them to remain committed to lifelong learning and professional development, embracing new technologies and staying updated with the latest medical advancements.
Dr. Gontle Moleele, the Superintendent of Bokamoso Private Hospital, expressed her excitement and pride in the graduating class of 2023. She acknowledged the sacrifices made by these individuals, who have families and responsibilities, to ensure their graduation. Dr. Moleele also thanked Lenmed Nursing College for providing this opportunity to the hospital’s nurses, as it will contribute to the growth of the hospital.
The certificate recipients from Bokamoso Private Hospital were recognized for their outstanding achievements in their respective programs. Those who received the Cum Laude distinction in the Adult Intensive Care Unit program were Elton Keatlholwetse, Lebogang Kgokgonyane, Galaletsang Melamu, Pinkie Mokgosi, Ofentse Seboletswe, Gorata Basupi, Bareng Mosala, and Justice Senyarelo. In the Emergency Nursing Care program, Atlanang Moilwa, Bakwena Moilwa, Nathan Nhiwathiwa, Mogakolodi Lesarwe, Modisaotsile Thomas, and Lorato Matenje received the Cum Laude distinction. Kelebogile Dubula and Gaolatlhe Sentshwaraganye achieved Cum Laude in the Anaesthetic & Recovery Room Nursing program, while Keletso Basele excelled in the Anaesthetic Nursing program. Mompoloki Mokwaledi received recognition for completing the Recovery Room Nursing program.
In conclusion, the graduation of these 19 nurses from Bokamoso Private Hospital at Lenmed Nursing College is a testament to their dedication and commitment to their profession. They have successfully completed various short learning programs, equipping them with the necessary skills and knowledge to excel in their respective fields. The collaboration between Lenmed Nursing College, Bokamoso Private Hospital, and the Ministry of Health has played a crucial role in their success. As they embark on their careers, these nurses are encouraged to continue their professional development and embrace new advancements in healthcare.
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BNF secures 15 constituencies in UDC coalition, wants more
The Botswana National Front (BNF) has recently announced that they have already secured 15 constituencies in the Umbrella for Democratic Change (UDC) coalition, despite ongoing negotiations. This revelation comes as the BNF expresses its dissatisfaction with the current government and its leadership.
The UDC, which is comprised of the BNF, Botswana Peoples Party (BPP), Alliance for Progressives (AP), and Botswana Patriotic Front (BPF), is preparing for the upcoming General Elections. However, the negotiations to allocate constituencies among the involved parties are still underway. Despite this, the BNF Chairman, Patrick Molotsi, confidently stated that they have already acquired 15 constituencies and are expecting to add more to their tally.
Molotsi’s statement reflects the BNF’s long-standing presence in many constituencies across Botswana. With a strong foothold in these areas, it is only natural for the BNF to seek an increase in the number of constituencies they represent. This move not only strengthens their position within the UDC coalition but also demonstrates their commitment to serving the interests of the people.
In a press conference, BNF Secretary General, Ketlhafile Motshegwa, expressed his discontent with the current government leadership. He criticized the ruling Botswana Democratic Party (BDP) for what he perceives as a disregard for the well-being of the Batswana people. Motshegwa highlighted issues such as high unemployment rates and shortages of essential medicines as evidence of the government’s failure to address the needs of its citizens.
The BNF’s dissatisfaction with the current government is a reflection of the growing discontent among the population. The Batswana people are increasingly frustrated with the lack of progress and the failure to address pressing issues. The BNF’s assertion that the government is playing with the lives of its citizens resonates with many who feel neglected and unheard.
The BNF’s acquisition of 15 constituencies, even before the negotiations have concluded, is a testament to their popularity and support among the people. It is a clear indication that the Batswana people are ready for change and are looking to the BNF to provide the leadership they desire.
As the negotiations continue, it is crucial for all parties involved to prioritize the interests of the people. The allocation of constituencies should be done in a fair and transparent manner, ensuring that the voices of all citizens are represented. The BNF’s success in securing constituencies should serve as a reminder to the other parties of the need to listen to the concerns and aspirations of the people they aim to represent.
In conclusion, the BNF’s acquisition of 15 constituencies, despite ongoing negotiations, highlights their strong presence and support among the Batswana people. Their dissatisfaction with the current government leadership reflects the growing discontent in the country. As the UDC coalition prepares for the upcoming General Elections, it is crucial for all parties to prioritize the needs and aspirations of the people. The BNF’s success should serve as a reminder of the importance of listening to the voices of the citizens and working towards a better future for Botswana.
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Children’s summit to discuss funding of NGOS
One of the key issues that will be discussed by the Childrens’ Summit, which will be hosted by Childline Botswana Trust on 28th – 30th November in Gaborone, will be the topical issue of financing and strengthening of civil society organizations.
A statement from Childline Botswana indicates that the summit will adopt a road map for resourcing the children’s agenda by funding organizations. It will also cover issues relating to child welfare and protection; aimed at mobilizing governments to further strengthen Child Helplines; as well as sharing of emerging technologies to enhance the protection of Children and promotion of their rights.
According to Gaone Chepete, Communications Officer at Childline Botswana, the overall objective of the summit is to provide a platform for dialogue and engagement towards promoting practices and policies that fulfil children’s rights and welfare.
“Child Helplines in the region meet on a bi-annual basis to reflect on the state of children; evaluate their contribution and share experiences and best practice in the provision of services for children,” said Chepete.
The financing of non-governmental organizations (NGOs) by the state or its functionaries has generated mixed reactions from within the civil society space, with many arguing that it threatened NGOs activism and operational independence.
In February 2019, University of Botswana academic Kenneth Dipholo released a paper titled “State philanthropy: The demise of charitable organizations in Botswana,” in which he faulted then President Lieutenant General Seretse Khama Ian Khama for using charity for political convenience and annexing the operational space of NGOs.
“Civil society is the domain in which individuals can exercise their rights as citizens and set limits to the power of the state. The state should be developing capable voluntary organizations rather than emaciating or colonizing them by usurping their space,” argued Dipholo.
He further argued that direct involvement of the state or state president in charity breeds unhealthy competition between the state itself and other organizations involved in charity. Under these circumstances, he added, the state will use charity work to remain relevant to the ordinary people and enhance its visibility at the expense of NGOs.
“A consequence of this arrangement is that charitable organizations will become affiliates of the state. This stifles innovation in the sense that it narrows the ability of charitable organizations to think outside the box. It also promotes mono-culturalism, as the state could support only charitable organizations that abide by its wishes,” said Dipholo.
In conclusion, Dipholo urged the state to focus on supporting NGOs so that they operate in a system that combines philanthropic work and state welfare programs.
He added that state philanthropy threatens to relegate and render charitable organizations virtually irrelevant and redundant unless they re-engineer themselves.
Another University of Botswana (UB) academic, Professor Zibani Maundeni, opined that politics vitally shape civil society interaction; as seen in the interactions between the two, where there is mutual criticism in each other’s presence.
Over the years, NGOs have found themselves grappling with dwindling financial resources as donors ran out of money in the face of increased competition for financing. Many NGOs have also been faulted for poorly managing their finances because of limited strategic planning and financial management expertise. This drove NGOs to look to government for funding; which fundamentally altered the relationships between the two. The end result was a complete change in the operational culture of NGOs, which diminished their social impact and made them even more fragile. Increased government control through contract clauses also reduced NGOs activism and autonomy.
However, others believe that NGOs and government need each other, especially in the provision of essential services like child welfare and protection. Speaking at the Civil Society Child Rights Convention in 2020, Assistant Minister of Local Government and Rural Development Setlhabelo Modukanele said government considers NGOs as critical partners in development.
“We recognize the role that NGOs play a critical role in the country’s development agenda,” said Modukanele.